{"id":6991,"date":"2026-05-15T05:51:14","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T09:51:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=6991"},"modified":"2026-05-27T12:05:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T16:05:12","slug":"match-preview-new-york-red-bulls-vs-new-york-city-fc-05-16-26-mls","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-new-york-red-bulls-vs-new-york-city-fc-05-16-26-mls\/","title":{"rendered":"New York Red Bulls vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

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New York Red Bulls host NYCFC on Saturday, May 16 (7:30 PM ET), at Sports Illustrated Stadium for the Hudson River derby, with both clubs level on 18 points and locked in the East playoff scrap.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Our New York Red Bulls vs NYCFC prediction starts where the rivalry always does: it is loud, it is scrappy, and the two clubs cannot be split on the table. Five wins, three draws, five losses, 18 points apiece. NYCFC carry the better goal difference and the cleaner recent run, NYRB the home ground and the in-form striker.<\/p>\n

This is the second New York meeting in quick succession, with NYCFC dumping the Red Bulls out of the US Open Cup 3-1 in this very stadium. In MLS play, NYCFC edged Charlotte FC on the road and the Red Bulls overturned Columbus Crew at home during the week. The mood travels with the teams into a fixture that almost never produces a quiet 90 minutes. Odds for this fixture had not landed at our local sportsbook at the time of writing \u2014 check bet365<\/a> for the latest. <\/p>\n

New York Red Bulls vs NYCFC: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n

The framing here is straightforward: two teams that score and concede in equal measure, a rivalry that almost never throws up a clean sheet at both ends, and a home side that has shipped a goal in 11 straight outings. Lean into goals, lean into the derby’s recent pattern, and lean on the players actually finding the net.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-200 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(see operator)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNYRB have conceded in 11 straight matches; both teams have scored in eight of NYRB’s last 10.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-175 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(see operator)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThe home side has averaged 4.2 goals per match across the last five (10 for, 11 against). Three of those five cleared 2.5.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
NYCFC to Win<\/strong><\/td>\nLines opening soon @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(see operator)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNYCFC have won six of the last 10 Hudson River meetings and out-scored NYRB 15-8 across them.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 1-2 NYCFC<\/strong><\/td>\n+900 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(see operator)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nReflects the both-teams-score read alongside NYCFC’s edge in finishing \u2014 three of the last five Hudson River meetings have produced two or three goals. Four NYCFC wins during that stretch.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nicolas Fern\u00e1ndez<\/strong> Anytime Goalscorer<\/td>\nLines opening soon @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(see operator)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNine goals in 13 MLS matches for NYCFC’s leading scorer, and NYRB have conceded in every one of their last 11 outings.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Julian Hall<\/strong> Anytime Goalscorer<\/td>\nLines opening soon @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(see operator)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNine goals in 13 for the NYRB teenager, who became the youngest MLS player to score a hat-trick in midweek \u2014 top of his side’s scoring chart and the obvious home threat in a derby that tends to open up.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Our approach: anchor on Both Teams to Score and an N. Fern\u00e1ndez anytime card, then add NYCFC to Win for parlay value if the line opens at plus money.<\/p>\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"bet365<\/a>\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n

Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

Match-specific prediction market pricing for New York Red Bulls vs NYCFC has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read via the bet365<\/a> outright market is the cleaner tool for this match. We will update here if and when Kalshi<\/a> or Polymarket<\/a> list the fixture.<\/p>\n\n

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\n\t\t\t \n\t\t CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t
\n
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"<\/a>\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\tTRADE NOW!<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 8.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See <\/i>polymarket.us\/tos<\/a><\/span><\/i>\u00a0for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n \n\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"Kalshi\"<\/a>\t\t\t\t
\n \n Kalshi<\/a> <\/span>\n \n Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n\t\t\t\tTrade Markets<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n

The conference picture could not be closer between these two: both clubs sit on 18 points from 13 matches, separated only by NYCFC’s better goal difference. Either result here will reshape the middle of the MLS standings<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
NYCFC<\/strong><\/td>\n5<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n23<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n+5<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
New York Red Bulls<\/strong><\/td>\n6<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n22<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n-8<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n