{"id":6865,"date":"2026-05-18T09:43:16","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T13:43:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=6865"},"modified":"2026-05-27T11:51:57","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T15:51:57","slug":"match-preview-arsenal-vs-burnley-18-05-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-arsenal-vs-burnley-18-05-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Arsenal vs Burnley: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Arsenal host Burnley on Monday, May 18 at 4:00 PM ET \/ 3:00 PM CT \/ 1:00 PM PT at Emirates Stadium with the title arithmetic in their hands. The Gunners lead Manchester City by two points with two games each remaining; a win over already-relegated Burnley, combined with anything other than a City win at Bournemouth on Tuesday, would deliver the 2025-26 Premier League trophy.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our Arsenal vs Burnley prediction starts with the table. The Gunners sit top on 79 points, two clear of Manchester City with two matches remaining, and the Premier League title race<\/a> is still live going into matchday 37. Burnley, by contrast, are already down \u2014 the Clarets are stuck on 21 points in 19th and cannot mathematically reach the safe spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

bet365 prices Arsenal at -1100 to win, with Burnley at +1800 and the draw at +1000. The market is treating this as a near-formality at the Emirates, and the Clarets’ away form gives that price every reason to hold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Arsenal vs Burnley: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The arsenal vs burnley prediction is straightforward: back the favourite hard, layer in goals, and pick a striker who is on the way to a Golden Boot conversation in the top-scorer race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Arsenal to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-1100 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(91.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nArsenal have won three in a row and kept a clean sheet in each, the last goal conceded at Manchester City on April 19, 2026. Burnley are winless in 10.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Viktor Gyokeres Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n-163 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(62.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nGyokeres has 14 league goals with 7.18 xG and 22 shots on target. Against a side that has conceded in each of its last 6, the volume should find a way through.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-275 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(73.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThree of Arsenal’s last five have gone over 2.5 and the same is true of Burnley. The hosts have scored in 14 straight league outings.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n-200 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(66.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nArsenal have three clean sheets in a row and conceded just 26 league goals all season. Burnley have failed to score in two of their last five.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: Arsenal 3-0<\/strong><\/td>\n+550 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(15.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThe shortest correct score on the board and a scoreline that matches our other reads: hosts win comfortably, no Clarets reply, totals comfortably over the line.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: anchor the slip with Arsenal to win, add Gyokeres anytime and Over 2.5 for value, and let the 3-0 correct score sit as the priced-up flier on the same outcome story. Read the full bet365 review<\/a> before placing the slip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Match-specific prediction market pricing for Arsenal vs Burnley has not yet surfaced at time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match. We will update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.<\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\t\t \n\t\t CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t
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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 8.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See <\/i>polymarket.us\/tos<\/a><\/span><\/i>\u00a0for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n \n\t\t

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"Kalshi\"<\/a>\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\tTrade Markets<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The gap between these sides is the biggest on the matchday: Arsenal are top on 79 points with the league’s best defense (26 conceded), Burnley are 19th on 21 with the league’s joint-worst goal difference at minus-36. Check the full EPL standings<\/a> for the wider picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Arsenal<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n24<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n68<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n+42<\/td>\n79<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Burnley<\/strong><\/td>\n19<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n23<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n73<\/td>\n-36<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Burnley’s relegation has long since been confirmed; the only question over at Turf Moor is finishing position, with the EPL relegation odds<\/a> already settled on the three names going down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n