{"id":6721,"date":"2026-05-15T05:52:50","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T09:52:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=6721"},"modified":"2026-05-27T12:04:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T16:04:09","slug":"match-preview-orlando-city-vs-philadelphia-union-05-13-26-mls","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-orlando-city-vs-philadelphia-union-05-13-26-mls\/","title":{"rendered":"Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Orlando City host Philadelphia Union at Inter&Co Stadium on Wednesday, May 13, at 7:30 PM ET, in a rock-bottom Eastern Conference clash between two sides badly in need of a result.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Orlando sit 14th in the East on 10 points from 12 games, their campaign a story of inconsistency and costly defensive lapses. Philadelphia Union are 15th and last in the Eastern Conference with just six points from 12 outings \u2014 one of the worst starts to a season the Union have endured in years. Something has to give at Inter&Co Stadium on Wednesday night, with the MLS Eastern Conference standings<\/a> showing both clubs deep in the danger zone. Our Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union prediction is below \u2014 odds from bet365 US<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite their miserable seasons, the market prices this as a proper contest. Philadelphia are +110 favorites \u2014 the away side marginally preferred \u2014 while Orlando are listed at +200 to win at home in MLS<\/a>. That inversion is a reflection of Philly\u2019s superior underlying form at set pieces and their defensive organisation, even if results have not come. BTTS at -163 suggests the market expects goals from both ends.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We\u2019re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Philadelphia Union to win<\/td>\n+110 @ bet365<\/a>
(48% implied)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nPhilly\u2019s record reads terribly, but four of their last five have been draws rather than losses \u2014 they are not being blown away. Orlando\u2019s record is three wins from 12 overall and their defense has shipped 34 goals this season. Philly\u2019s organisation makes them capable of grinding out a result against a side this inconsistent.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
BTTS Yes<\/td>\n-163 @ bet365<\/a>
(62% implied)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nOrlando have scored in all but one home game this season and Philly, have scored in 15 of their last 16 vs the Lions in all comps. Neither defense is reliable enough to keep a clean sheet with any regularity at this stage of the season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/td>\n-150 @ bet365<\/a>
(60% implied)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nOrlando\u2019s home games have averaged 3.1 goals this season. Philly\u2019s away games have averaged 2.6 goals. Four of Orlando\u2019s last five home games have produced three or more goals, and Philly have been involved in high-scoring matches when they travel.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: BTTS and Over 2.5 provide the most data-backed foundation. Philadelphia Union at +110 is a reasonable outright consideration given Orlando\u2019s defensive fragility at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

Polymarket<\/a> has this fixture listed, with the market reflecting Philadelphia as a narrow edge consistent with the sportsbook pricing. Given the poor form of both sides, the probability spread is wide across all three outcomes — this reads as a genuinely open match. Kalshi<\/a> had not listed this fixture at time of writing; we will add their market data here if pricing surfaces before kick-off.<\/p>\n\n

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Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n

These are the two worst-performing clubs in the Eastern Conference right now. Orlando have been in freefall \u2014 eight defeats in 12 games and a goal difference of -18 tells the story of a team that has conceded far too freely. Philadelphia\u2019s single win from 12 games is the starkest number in the East: they have been drawing games they need to win, and the points simply are not coming. The Eastern Conference standings<\/a> show both clubs at severe risk of finishing outside the playoff places if things do not change very soon.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Orlando City<\/td>\n14th (East)<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n-18<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Philadelphia Union<\/td>\n15th (East)<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n-9<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n