{"id":6179,"date":"2026-05-15T06:03:33","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:03:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=6179"},"modified":"2026-05-27T11:57:56","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T15:57:56","slug":"match-preview-tottenham-vs-leeds-11-05-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-tottenham-vs-leeds-11-05-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Tottenham vs Leeds: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Tottenham host Leeds United at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Monday, May 11 at 3:00 PM ET \/ 2:00 PM CT \/ 12:00 PM PT, and Spurs walk into this one with their season pinned to the wall.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tottenham sit 17th on 37 points. West Ham, the team in the third relegation<\/a> slot, are on 36 going into the gameweek. With three matches left, the gap is one result. Leeds are 14th on 43 points, all-but safe, and free to play without a knot in their stomach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That asymmetry is the whole story. The Premier League standings<\/a> have already cleared most of the noise around this match \u2014 Burnley and Wolves are down, the top five is congested, the Conference race is alive \u2014 and what remains at the foot of the table is one open seat. Spurs are doing the work to avoid it; Leeds are not. The home side also walks in catastrophically depleted: Cristian Romero, Xavi Simons and Ben Davies are out for the season, Dominic Solanke has a grade II muscle injury, Mohammed Kudus and Dejan Kulusevski are both ruled out, and Guglielmo Vicario is a 50% doubt with a hernia. Richarlison and Randal Kolo Muani are the recognised forwards available.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For Leeds, Ilia Gruev is out for the year and Gabriel Gudmundsson is sidelined, but Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Jo\u00ebl Piroe, Wilfried Gnonto, Brenden Aaronson, Anton Stach and Lukas Nmecha are all in the matchday pool. The visitors arrive intact. The home side does not. That is the read on this fixture before a ball is kicked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Tottenham to win<\/strong><\/td>\n-125 @ bet365<\/a>
(55.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSpurs need this more than any other home result this season, and Leeds rarely win on the road.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both teams to score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-143 @ bet365<\/a>
(58.8%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSpurs have shipped at least one in 16 of 17 home league games; Calvert-Lewin’s 12 goals carry a real away threat.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-138 @ bet365<\/a>
(57.8%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSpurs have conceded 54 league goals already this season; Leeds matches average 2.83 goals per game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Dominic Calvert-Lewin<\/span> to score anytime<\/strong><\/td>\n+200 @ bet365<\/a>
(33.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n12 league goals in 32 matches with an xG of 11.50, against a Spurs defense missing Romero, Davies and possibly Vicario.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 2-1 Tottenham<\/strong><\/td>\n+800 @ bet365<\/a>
(11.1%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nLines up with the BTTS and Over 2.5 reads; Spurs edge it on the scoreboard, but it comes with a sweat.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The cleanest approach here is to bundle the BTTS and Over 2.5 lines with a Calvert-Lewin anytime ticket \u2014 three correlated reads on one match where neither defense looks especially trustworthy. Spurs to win is the single anchor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> lean home, but not by as much as the home factor alone would argue. Spurs’ attacking depletion has tempered traders’ confidence; Leeds’ road resilience has the visitor price holding shape. The line is tight rather than decisive. Goals markets sit on the over\/under midline. Use the widget below to compare the two providers’ Match Result book; a divergence between Kalshi and Polymarket is often a useful signal to watch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loading match…<\/div>\n\n\n
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\n\t\t\t \n\t\t CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t
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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 8.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See <\/i>polymarket.us\/tos<\/a><\/span><\/i>\u00a0for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n \n\t\t

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Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Leeds sit six points and three places clear of Tottenham, but the contrast in pressure could not be greater. The visitors are mathematically safe; the hosts are still inside the live drop fight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Leeds United<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n52<\/td>\n-5<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tottenham Hotspur<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n-9<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n