{"id":6169,"date":"2026-05-15T06:03:44","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:03:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=6169"},"modified":"2026-05-27T11:57:44","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T15:57:44","slug":"match-preview-liverpool-vs-chelsea-09-05-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-liverpool-vs-chelsea-09-05-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Liverpool vs Chelsea: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Anfield is the setting with Liverpool fourth in the Premier League<\/a>, Chelsea ninth, and both attacks running on fumes.<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liverpool host Chelsea on Saturday, May 9 at 7:30 AM ET \/ 6:30 AM CT \/ 4:30 AM PT, with the Reds chasing a Champions League<\/a> finish and the Blues still in the European chase but limping into the run-in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The picture either side of this fixture is messier than the table suggests. Liverpool sit fourth on 58 points and ahead of Aston Villa on goal difference for the last Champions League berth, but they arrive without Mohamed Salah<\/strong> (muscle, due back later this month), Hugo Ekitik\u00e9<\/strong> (Achilles, season over) and probably Alexander Isak<\/strong>, who is rated a 75% doubt with a groin issue. Chelsea, ninth on 48 points, have lost five league games in a row and travel north with their own injury issues with goalkeeper Robert S\u00e1nchez<\/strong>, Pedro Neto<\/strong>, Alejandro Garnacho<\/strong> doubtful, with Jamie Gittens<\/strong> and Est\u00eav\u00e3o<\/strong> already ruled out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The market reads it as a Liverpool home favorite, but a low-scoring one \u2014 and that is where this preview’s angle lives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n+175 @ bet365<\/a>
(36.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSalah out, Ekitik\u00e9 done for the season, Isak doubtful \u2014 Liverpool’s xG output thins out, and Chelsea have managed two goals or fewer in eight of their last ten league games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Liverpool to win<\/strong><\/td>\n-120 @ bet365<\/a>
(54.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nAnfield home advantage holds even with a depleted front line, and Chelsea arrive on a five-game losing run with a similarly bruised attack.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n+162 @ bet365<\/a>
(38.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nChelsea’s attack has been blunt through their five-game losing run, scoring once or fewer in four of those games, and a depleted Liverpool back line still has Van Dijk and Konat\u00e9 in front of Alisson at home.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Federico Chiesa<\/strong> to score anytime<\/td>\n+200 @ bet365<\/a>
(33.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWith Salah, Ekitik\u00e9 and Gakpo all unavailable or doubtful, Chiesa is the senior forward most likely to lead the line at Anfield and price reflects the start.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 1-0 Liverpool<\/strong><\/td>\n+1200 @ bet365<\/a>
(7.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nLines up cleanly with the Liverpool win and Under 2.5 angle: Anfield edge, Chelsea’s depleted attack, and Salah’s absence all point to a low-scoring home win.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach treats the Under 2.5 line as the cleanest angle in a stripped-back fixture on both sides, with Liverpool to win the more conservative core call. Use bet365<\/a> for these markets and check the latest bet365 review<\/a> for current welcome offers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> price this Anfield kick-off in line with the sportsbook book \u2014 Liverpool favoured, but the line softer than the home record alone would suggest, with Salah’s absence and Chelsea’s run of defeats pulling the price closer to value than blowout. Goals markets lean modestly under, in keeping with the depleted forward lines on both sides. The widget below merges the two venues’ Match Result book; provider toggle helps when one venue moves on news flow before the other.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loading match…<\/div>\n\n\n
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\n\t\t\t \n\t\t CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t
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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 8.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Liverpool sit fourth in the Premier League standings<\/a> on 58 points, level with Aston Villa but ahead on goal difference. Chelsea are ninth on 48 points, six off the top six and the European race below the Champions League places.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Liverpool<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n59<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n+12<\/td>\n58<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Chelsea<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n54<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n+6<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n