{"id":5743,"date":"2026-05-15T05:53:08","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T09:53:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=5743"},"modified":"2026-05-27T12:03:55","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T16:03:55","slug":"match-preview-pumas-vs-club-america-05-10-26-liga-mx-quarterfinals-2nd-leg","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-pumas-vs-club-america-05-10-26-liga-mx-quarterfinals-2nd-leg\/","title":{"rendered":"Pumas vs Club Am\u00e9rica: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Pumas welcome Club Am\u00e9rica to the Estadio Ol\u00edmpico Universitario on Sunday night with the tie level and the higher-seed advantage.<\/strong> A 3-3 draw in leg One at Las \u00c1guilas’ home left the aggregate balanced and the maths simple: Pumas, the regular-phase leaders, advance with a win or a draw. Kick-off is Sunday, May 10, at 9:15 PM ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This was the leg-one thriller of the round. Pumas twice took the lead at the Azteca, but were pegged back at the end by two America penalties. Both sides will know that one mistake decides the tie. Los Universitarios, as the first seed, only need to draw to reach the semi-finals \u2014 Las \u00c1guilas, the eighth seed, must win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Azteca will be heaving. Capital-rivalry semi-final, atmosphere all set. The bookmakers had not priced this fixture at bet365 at time of writing \u2014 Pumas should be priced as a moderate favorite given home advantage, the higher seed and a regular-phase that finished joint-top on points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions: Pumas vs Club Am\u00e9rica<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/strong><\/td>Odds & Sportsbook<\/strong><\/td>Confidence<\/strong><\/td>Why We’re Backing It<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/thead>
Pumas to win or draw<\/strong><\/td>-175 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Tabla General leaders, home, higher seed \u2014 Pumas only need to avoid defeat.<\/td><\/tr>
Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>-175 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Six goals in leg 1, Am\u00e9rica have to chase and are without a clean sheet in 7 Liga MX games.<\/td><\/tr>
Robert Morales to score anytime<\/strong><\/td>+175 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Morales is Pumas’s top scorer with 8 Clausura goals on 21 shots on target.<\/td><\/tr>
Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>-142 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Am\u00e9rica have to win on the road; leg 1 produced 6, Pumas averaged 2.6 goals per match in their last 6.<\/td><\/tr>
Correct Score: 2-1 Pumas<\/strong><\/td>+1000 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Pumas seal the tie, Am\u00e9rica grab one as they push for parity.<\/td><\/tr>
Brian Rodr\u00edguez to score anytime<\/strong><\/td>+175 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Brian Rodr\u00edguez is Las \u00c1guilas’s top scorer with 6 Clausura goals on 16 shots on target.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: Pumas to win or draw is the safest read. Stack with Morales anytime; BTTS Yes is comfortable too once the markets price up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Bet365 had not priced this fixture at time of writing \u2014 check the operator for live pricing closer to kick-off. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n\n

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Match-specific prediction market pricing for Chivas vs Tigres from Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> are listed below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Aggregate State<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Aggregate level at 3-3 from leg one at the Azteca. Pumas, as the first seed, advance on a win or a draw. Las \u00c1guilas need to win on the road in front of a hostile Ol\u00edmpico crowd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Leg one was end-to-end. Both sides traded early blows before Pumas took control either side of half-time. However, a lack of concentration got to them, conceding two late penalties to tie the scores. Keylor Navas made four important saves and kept Pumas alive as they head for the home leg. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tabla General \u2014 Clausura 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Pumas<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n+17<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Club Am\u00e9rica<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n+3<\/td>\n25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Pumas finished first on goals scored, ahead of Chivas \u2014 both on 36 points, but Los Universitarios edge the tiebreak. Club Am\u00e9rica sneaked into the QFs in eighth, just inside the cut-off in the compressed Clausura format that scrapped Reclasificaci\u00f3n. The seven-seed gap reflects the regular-phase quality difference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n