{"id":5625,"date":"2026-05-15T06:04:19","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:04:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=5625"},"modified":"2026-06-03T21:17:32","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T01:17:32","slug":"match-preview-everton-vs-manchester-city-04-05-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-everton-vs-manchester-city-04-05-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Everton vs Manchester City: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Everton finish the home programme on Monday night under the lights at Hill Dickinson Stadium. They host a Manchester City side that has just put a serious dent in Arsenal\u2019s Premier League<\/a> title push. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our Everton vs Manchester City prediction has the visitors winning 1-2. Haaland to score and BTTS Yes is the natural pairing under the Hill Dickinson lights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Toffees have won once in their last five and look short of attacking ideas. City have won three on the spin and are snapping at the leaders\u2019 heels with games in hand still to use.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kick-off is 8 PM BST (3PM ET) on Monday 4 May 2026, the closing fixture of Premier League Matchday 35.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bet365 has Manchester City a strong odds-on favourite at -209, with Everton out to +500 and the draw +375. The reverse fixture at the Etihad in October finished 2-0 to City. The Toffees haven\u2019t beaten Pep Guardiola\u2019s side in any of their last six meetings (W0 D1 L5).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We\u2019re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Manchester City win<\/strong><\/td>\n-209 @ bet365<\/a>
(67.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThree straight wins, including over Arsenal at the Etihad on April 19. Everton have lost three of their last five and managed just one win in eight<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Erling Haaland anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n-188 @ bet365<\/a>
(65.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nCity\u2019s top scorer has been a near-constant in the lineup (31 starts, 2,688 minutes). Everton have conceded in nine of their last ten<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Manchester City Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-163 @ bet365<\/a>
(62.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nCity have scored 2+ in every one of their last three; Everton are leaking late at home and chasing the game tends to open up<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Rayan Cherki anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+162 @ bet365<\/a>
(38.2%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n10 assists this season but starting to find the net himself. Plus money on a player who\u2019s a regular feature off the bench in attacking phases<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 1-2 Manchester City<\/strong><\/td>\n+800 @ bet365<\/a>
(11.1%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nCity have outscored Everton 13-2 across the last six meetings and have scored 2+ in every one of their last three. Hill Dickinson under the lights will be loud enough to drag a goal out of the home side. But a City two-goal away win with an Everton consolation matches the run-in pattern.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both teams to score \u2014 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-134 @ bet365<\/a>
(57.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nCity have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last four away games and Everton have scored in seven of their last nine at home. With a City attack scoring at least twice in every recent fixture, the BTTS line is the cleanest pairing for the 1-2 read.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Our approach: Manchester City to win with Haaland anytime goalscorer is the clean parlay at bet365<\/a>. The 1-2 City correct-score line stands up as the value play if you want to swing for the bigger return.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

\n
\n\t\t\t \n\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"bet365<\/a>\t\t\t\t
\n \n Bet365<\/a> <\/span>\n \n First Bet Safety Net – Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n First Bet Safety Net – Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n

Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

The block below pulls live Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> pricing on Everton vs Manchester City alongside the implied win-probability split. Holding those crowd-funded numbers next to the bet365 lines higher up the page is a quick way to read the room. When prediction-market pricing diverges from the sportsbook, the gap is where the sharper read usually sits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loading match…<\/div>\n\n\n
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\n\t\t\t \n\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"Kalshi\"<\/a>\t\t\t\t
\n \n Kalshi<\/a> <\/span>\n \n Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n\t\t\t\tTrade Markets<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n \n\t\t CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t

\n
\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"\"<\/a>\t\t\t\t
\n \n Polymarket<\/a> <\/span>\n \n 100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n 100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 8.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See <\/i>polymarket.us\/tos<\/a><\/span><\/i>\u00a0for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Manchester City<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n72<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n+32<\/td>\n70<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Everton<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n-14<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Arsenal sit top on 73 points with a game more played; City\u2019s win at the Etihad on April 19 closed the gap and the run-in is wide open. Everton are 13 points clear of the drop and looking up towards a European spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Manchester City<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Erling Haaland<\/strong> (Striker) \u2014 31 starts, 2,688 minutes; 7 assists. The Norwegian is comfortably City\u2019s primary goal threat and has played in every meaningful fixture of the run-in.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Rayan Cherki<\/strong> (Attacking Midfielder) \u2014 17 starts, 1,559 minutes; 10 assists<\/strong>, the highest in the City squad. Has become the chief creator since Kevin De Bruyne\u2019s departure. Adds a goal threat from the edge of the box.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Phil Foden<\/strong> (Attacking Midfielder) \u2014 21 starts, 1,832 minutes; 3 assists. Back in the starting eleven for the title push and producing his usual late-season uptick in goal involvements.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • Jeremy Doku<\/strong> (Attacking Midfielder) \u2014 16 starts, 1,484 minutes; 5 assists. The matchup against Patterson or Ait-Nouri\u2019s opposite number on Everton\u2019s right is one to watch. Doku has been City\u2019s most direct wide threat.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Everton<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

      \n
    • Beto<\/strong> (Striker) \u2014 14 starts, 1,352 minutes across 33 appearances; 1 assist. Everton\u2019s most reliable centre-forward output this season. The obvious focal point against a City back line that has been dipped into recently.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Iliman Ndiaye<\/strong> (Attacking Midfielder) \u2014 28 starts, 2,426 minutes; 3 assists. Ever-present in the front line and Everton\u2019s best at carrying the ball into the final third from deep.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • Jack Grealish<\/strong> (Attacking Midfielder) \u2014 18 starts, 1,631 minutes; 6 assists, joint-team-high. Facing his parent club for the second time this season after the loan deal in summer 2025.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
    • James Garner<\/strong> (Defensive Midfielder) \u2014 34 starts, 3,054 minutes; 6 assists. The metronome \u2014 whenever Everton have created chances this season Garner has often been the one threading the pass.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

      Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
      \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
      Date<\/th>\nCompetition<\/th>\nResult<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
      18 Oct 2025<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\nManchester City 2-0 Everton<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      19 Apr 2025<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\nEverton 0-2 Manchester City<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      26 Dec 2024<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\nManchester City 1-1 Everton<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      10 Feb 2024<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\nManchester City 2-0 Everton<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      27 Dec 2023<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\nEverton 1-3 Manchester City<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
      14 May 2023<\/td>\nPremier League<\/td>\nEverton 0-3 Manchester City<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

      City have taken 16 points from the last 18 available against Everton (W5 D1 L0) and outscored them 13-2 across that stretch. Everton\u2019s last win in this fixture stretches all the way back to February 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

      Recent Form<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

      Everton: L L D W L<\/strong> (most recent first)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        \n
      • 25 Apr 2026: West Ham 2-1 Everton (A)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • 19 Apr 2026: Everton 1-2 Liverpool (H)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • 11 Apr 2026: Brentford 2-2 Everton (A)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • 21 Mar 2026: Everton 3-0 Chelsea (H)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
      • 14 Mar 2026: Arsenal 2-0 Everton (A)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

        The pattern-break is the 3-0 over Chelsea on 21 March 2026, but it sits inside a longer run of one win in eight league games for David Moyes\u2019 side. Everton have scored more than once in just two of their last ten. They have not kept a clean sheet at the new ground since beating Burnley 2-0 on 3 March 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

        Manchester City: W W W D D<\/strong> (most recent first)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          \n
        • 22 Apr 2026: Burnley 0-1 Manchester City (A)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • 19 Apr 2026: Manchester City 2-1 Arsenal (H)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • 12 Apr 2026: Chelsea 0-3 Manchester City (A)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • 14 Mar 2026: West Ham 1-1 Manchester City (A)<\/li>\n\n\n\n
        • 4 Mar 2026: Manchester City 2-2 Nottingham Forest (H)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

          Three wins on the spin including the title-relevant Etihad result against Arsenal. The Chelsea performance was the high mark, a 3-0 win at Stamford Bridge in which Cherki and Haaland combined repeatedly. There\u2019s no question which side is in form coming into Monday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Everton vs Manchester City Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

          The numbers, the form, the H2H, the squad depth: it all points the same way. Everton at home are still a tough night out for plenty of teams. But City under Pep Guardiola, in late-season title-chase mode, are a different proposition entirely. The Arsenal scalp on April 19 reset the title race. Everton can scrap and they can be physical. Hill Dickinson under the lights will be loud. But I can\u2019t see the Toffees scoring twice against a City defence that has tightened up. All in all, City to win comfortably. Haaland on the scoresheet, and Cherki good enough plus money to take a swing at as well. 1-2 City<\/strong> looks the right line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n

          Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

          Everton finish the home programme on Monday night under the lights at Hill Dickinson Stadium. They host a Manchester City side that has just put a serious dent in Arsenal\u2019s Premier League title push. Our Everton vs Manchester City prediction has the visitors winning 1-2. Haaland to score and BTTS Yes is the natural pairing…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":5669,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"everton vs manchester city prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Everton vs Manchester City: Predictions, odds, picks & stats","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Everton vs Manchester City prediction for Monday at Hill Dickinson. 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