{"id":5624,"date":"2026-05-15T06:04:23","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:04:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=5624"},"modified":"2026-06-03T21:17:29","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T01:17:29","slug":"match-preview-chelsea-vs-nottingham-forest-04-05-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-chelsea-vs-nottingham-forest-04-05-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

Chelsea host Nottingham Forest at Stamford Bridge on Monday afternoon with the home side on a five-match losing run that has produced no goals at either end of their attack, and the visitors arriving unbeaten in five with three wins in that stretch.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Our Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest prediction has the home side winning, Joao Pedro to score and a 2-1 read at Stamford Bridge to end the losing run.<\/p>\n

The form lines and the price are pulling in opposite directions; the H2H record sits squarely with the home side.<\/p>\n

Kick-off is 3:00 PM local (10:00 AM ET) on Monday, May 4. Chelsea sit 8th in the Premier League<\/a> on 48 points, one point off the Conference League spot held by Bournemouth. They have lost five Premier League matches in a row and have not scored a goal in any of them.<\/p>\n

Nottingham Forest are 16th on 39 points, a few points clear of the relegation conversation, and unbeaten in five since the 2-1 defeat at Brighton on 1 March. Chelsea won the reverse fixture 3-0 at the City Ground in October, and have won three of the last four meetings between these clubs.<\/p>\n

bet365 make Chelsea home favourites at -138 with Forest +375 and the draw +300. Jo\u00e3o Pedro at +140 for anytime goalscorer is the cleanest read on the card.<\/p>\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Chelsea to win<\/strong><\/td>\n-138 @ bet365<\/a>
(58.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nFive defeats in a row will end somewhere; the home record against Forest, a packed front line and the squad gap to the visitors all suggest Stamford Bridge is the place. Cautious confidence given the run.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Jo\u00e3o Pedro anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+140 @ bet365<\/a>
(41.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nFourteen goals from 32 matches with 27 shots on target and an xG of 7.74 \u2014 comfortably outperforming his underlying numbers. Chelsea’s leading scorer at the right price.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both teams to score \u2014 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-150 @ bet365<\/a>
(60.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nForest have scored in nine of their last ten league games; Chelsea’s losing run will eventually break with a goal somewhere. Both attacks should find at least one.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Morgan Gibbs-White anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+333 @ bet365<\/a>
(23.1%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThirteen goals from 34 matches with 28 shots on target and an xG of 7.59. Forest’s leading scorer at value odds and the visitors’ likeliest path to a goal.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 2-1 Chelsea<\/strong><\/td>\n+800 @ bet365<\/a>
(11.1%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nFive Chelsea defeats in a row will end somewhere; home to Forest with Joao Pedro and Palmer in the attack is the natural moment. Forest have scored in four of their last five away, so the late-consolation goal stays in the script \u2014 2-1 is the cleanest read.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-150 @ bet365<\/a>
(60.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nForest have produced 2+ goals in eight of their last ten matches and Chelsea, even in the losing run, have allowed shots from open play. With the BTTS Yes line already strong, Over 2.5 follows naturally.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Our approach: Chelsea to win with Jo\u00e3o Pedro anytime goalscorer is the parlay at bet365<\/a>; Gibbs-White anytime is the value Forest counter on a card that suggests both ends will produce.<\/p>\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n

Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

The block below pulls live Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> pricing on Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest alongside the implied win-probability split. Holding those crowd-funded numbers next to the bet365 lines higher up the page is a quick way to read the room: when prediction-market pricing diverges from the sportsbook, the gap is where the sharper read usually sits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loading match…<\/div>\n\n\n
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"Kalshi\"<\/a>\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\tTrade Markets<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 8.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV and OH. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n

Chelsea sit 8th, one point off the Conference League spot but with the form line collapsing in the closing weeks. Forest are 16th, comfortably clear of the relegation conversation and currently the in-form side of the two. The full Premier League standings<\/a> show how tight the cluster around 7th remains, and how much Chelsea’s losing run has cost their European push.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Chelsea<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n+8<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n15<\/td>\n41<\/td>\n45<\/td>\n-4<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n