{"id":5623,"date":"2026-05-15T06:04:31","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:04:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=5623"},"modified":"2026-06-03T21:17:25","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T01:17:25","slug":"match-preview-aston-villa-vs-tottenham-03-05-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-aston-villa-vs-tottenham-03-05-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Aston Villa vs Tottenham: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

Aston Villa welcome Tottenham to Villa Park on Sunday evening with the home side level on points with 4th-placed Liverpool in the Champions League race and the visitors stuck in 18th, occupying the only remaining relegation slot.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Our Aston Villa vs Tottenham prediction has the home side winning, Watkins to score and BTTS Yes baked in against a depleted Spurs back line.<\/p>\n

Spurs are missing a long list of regulars; Villa are at home; the price reflects both.<\/p>\n

Kick-off is 7:00 PM local (2:00 PM ET) on Sunday, May 3. Villa are 5th in the Premier League<\/a> on 58 points. Tottenham sit 18th on 34 points, two points shy of safety. The reverse fixture in October was a 2-1 Villa win at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Spurs are without Romero, Simons, Kudus, Sarr, Solanke, Kulusevski, Maddison and Davies; the squad sheet alone tells you why the market reads the way it does.<\/p>\n

bet365 make Villa narrow home favourites at +115 with Tottenham at +220 and the draw +260. Ollie Watkins at +160 for anytime goalscorer is the cleanest read on the card.<\/p>\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Aston Villa to win<\/strong><\/td>\n+115 @ bet365<\/a>
(46.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nVilla at home with Champions League stakes against a Spurs side missing eight first-team regulars. The price is the price for a reason.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Ollie Watkins anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+160 @ bet365<\/a>
(38.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nEleven goals from 33 matches, 30 shots on target and an xG of 9.93. Villa’s leading scorer at home and the cleanest pairing with the result.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both teams to score \u2014 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-175 @ bet365<\/a>
(63.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nVilla have produced BTTS in seven of their last ten home games; Tottenham have scored in every away game in the last six even when losing.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Richarlison anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+187 @ bet365<\/a>
(34.8%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNine Premier League goals from 29 matches with 22 shots on target. With Solanke a doubt and Kolo Muani the only fit alternative, the workload falls to him.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 2-1 Aston Villa<\/strong><\/td>\n+900 @ bet365<\/a>
(10.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWatkins to score, Villa to win, Spurs to find one for the BTTS Yes line \u2014 2-1 is the clean expression of all three reads. Villa have hit that exact scoreline in three home wins this season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-150 @ bet365<\/a>
(60.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nLast five Premier League meetings between these clubs have produced 17 goals; Villa Park has gone over 2.5 in four of the last five Villa home games. Even a depleted Spurs side has the away xG to stay above the line.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Our approach: Villa to win with Watkins anytime goalscorer is the parlay at bet365<\/a>; Richarlison anytime is the value Spurs counter for those wanting both ends of the BTTS line covered.<\/p>\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

The block below pulls live Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> pricing on Aston Villa vs Tottenham alongside the implied win-probability split. Holding those crowd-funded numbers next to the bet365 lines higher up the page is a quick way to read the room: when prediction-market pricing diverges from the sportsbook, the gap is where the sharper read usually sits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loading match…<\/div>\n\n\n
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\n\t\t\t \n\t\t CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\tTRADE NOW!<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 8.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n

Villa are 5th and Champions League-bound on current form, level on points with 4th-placed Liverpool but trailing on goal difference. Tottenham sit 18th in the only remaining relegation slot, two points behind 17th-placed West Ham. The full Premier League standings<\/a> show the gap between the comfortable top half and the relegation conversation that still has the 18th slot in play.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Aston Villa<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n+5<\/td>\n58<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tottenham Hotspur<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n53<\/td>\n-10<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n