{"id":5622,"date":"2026-05-15T06:04:35","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:04:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=5622"},"modified":"2026-06-03T21:17:21","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T01:17:21","slug":"match-preview-manchester-united-vs-liverpool-03-05-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-manchester-united-vs-liverpool-03-05-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Manchester United vs Liverpool: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

Old Trafford on a Sunday afternoon in May, with the home side on a two-match winning run, the visitors fresh from a 3-1 home win over Crystal Palace, and a top-four picture that still has both clubs in the Champions League conversation.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Our Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction has the home side winning, Mbeumo to score and BTTS Yes \u2014 short for a reason with Salah and Ekitike out.<\/p>\n

Manchester United host Liverpool with the kind of stakes this fixture has occasionally lacked over the last few seasons. The market has the home side narrowly priced as favourite, which says something about the form lines.<\/p>\n

Kick-off is 3:30 PM local (10:30 AM ET) on Sunday, May 3. Manchester United are 3rd in the Premier League<\/a> on 61 points and have won two on the spin \u2014 1-0 at Stamford Bridge and a 2-1 home result over Brentford on Monday. Liverpool sit 4th on 58 points, level on points with 5th-placed Aston Villa but ahead on goal difference. The reverse fixture in October ended 2-1 to Manchester United at Anfield. Salah, Ekitik\u00e9 and Bradley are the main absentees on the visiting side.<\/p>\n

bet365 make Manchester United narrow home favourites at +130 with Liverpool +175 and the draw +280. Bryan Mbeumo at +140 for anytime goalscorer is the cleanest read on the card.<\/p>\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Manchester United to win<\/strong><\/td>\n+130 @ bet365<\/a>
(43.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nHome venue, two wins on the spin including a 1-0 at Stamford Bridge, and a Liverpool side missing Salah, Ekitik\u00e9 and Bradley. The market has called it for a reason.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Bryan Mbeumo anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+140 @ bet365<\/a>
(41.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNine Premier League goals from 29 matches with 30 shots on target and an xG of 7.29. Joint-top United scorer this season and the most reliable striker on the home card.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-200 @ bet365<\/a>
(66.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBoth teams to score is priced at -225, BTTS-and-United is in the air, and the reverse fixture and recent meetings have produced over 2.5 in three of the last five.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cody Gakpo anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+275 @ bet365<\/a>
(26.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSix goals and five assists from 32 matches with 19 shots on target, 30 successful dribbles and an xG of 7.67. The natural goal threat with Salah and Ekitik\u00e9 out.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 2-1 Manchester United<\/strong><\/td>\n+1000 @ bet365<\/a>
(9.1%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nUnited at home with Mbeumo in form and a Liverpool side missing Salah and Ekitike looks the natural framing. A one-goal United win with a Liverpool consolation matches the existing Over 2.5 and the historical pattern at Old Trafford in this fixture.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both teams to score \u2014 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-225 @ bet365<\/a>
(69.2%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nEven short of Salah and Ekitike, Liverpool have scored in every Premier League away game this season. United have only kept one clean sheet at Old Trafford in 2026. The market price is short for a reason.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Our approach: Manchester United to win with Mbeumo anytime goalscorer is the parlay at bet365<\/a>; Gakpo anytime is the value Liverpool counter on a card that has BTTS written all over it.<\/p>\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

The block below pulls live Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> pricing on Manchester United vs Liverpool alongside the implied win-probability split. Holding those crowd-funded numbers next to the bet365 lines higher up the page is a quick way to read the room: when prediction-market pricing diverges from the sportsbook, the gap is where the sharper read usually sits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Loading match…<\/div>\n\n\n
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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"Kalshi\"<\/a>\t\t\t\t
\n \n Kalshi<\/a> <\/span>\n \n Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 8.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n

Manchester United are 3rd and Champions League-bound on current form, with the run of two wins on the spin reinforcing a position they have held for most of the second half of the season. Liverpool are 4th on 58 points, level on points with 5th-placed Aston Villa but ahead on goal difference. The full Premier League standings<\/a> show the top five separated, with Arsenal and Manchester City fighting for the title above them and the gap behind 5th opening up to 8 points.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Manchester United<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n46<\/td>\n+14<\/td>\n61<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Liverpool<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n34<\/td>\n17<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n+13<\/td>\n58<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n