{"id":5494,"date":"2026-04-30T18:29:03","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T22:29:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=5494"},"modified":"2026-05-21T07:04:31","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T11:04:31","slug":"match-preview-tigres-vs-chivas-05-02-26-liga-mx-quarterfinals-1st-leg","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-tigres-vs-chivas-05-02-26-liga-mx-quarterfinals-1st-leg\/","title":{"rendered":"Tigres vs Chivas Prediction: Liga MX Clausura 2026 QF Leg 1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Chivas finished second in the Tabla General, but they walk into Estadio Universitario on Saturday night carrying the memory of the 4-1 thumping the same hosts handed them three weeks ago.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Tigres host Chivas on Saturday, May 2, at 9:00 PM ET in the first leg of a <a href=\"\/us\/liga-mx\/\">Liga MX<\/a> Clausura 2026 quarter-final that pits the second seed against the seventh \u2014 but on the run-in, on the scoreboard, and on the injury sheet, that gap looks far smaller than the points column suggests. Tigres come in unbeaten in three and rolling at home; Chivas come in off two goalless draws and short of three regular starting midfielders.<\/p>\n<p>The seeding line says Chivas should be the favourites by status; the form line and the H2H tell a tougher story. Armando Gonz\u00e1lez gives the Reba\u00f1o a single-minded attacking weapon \u2014 24 goals from 35 appearances, the second-best haul in the division \u2014 but the supply lines around him look thin going into the leg. Tigres, by contrast, return to the Universitario with Juan Brunetta and \u00c1ngel Correa both into double-figure goal counts and a 5-1 demolition of Mazatl\u00e1n still ringing.<\/p>\n<h2>Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Market<\/th>\n<th>Our Pick<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th>Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>BTTS<\/td>\n<td>Yes<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">-133 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>The recent league meeting at Estadio Universitario produced five goals; both attacks have scored with regularity this Clausura.\u00a0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Correct Score<\/td>\n<td>2-1 Tigres<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">+2000 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Tigres own home advantage and a recent four-goal demolition of the same opponents; Chivas always carry the threat of Armando Gonz\u00e1lez responding for the away goal.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Anytime Goalscorer<\/td>\n<td><strong>Juan Brunetta<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">+140 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>The Argentine has 18 goals from 40 appearances this season, takes Tigres&#8217; set pieces, and registered 38 shots on target across the campaign \u2014 comfortably the best return on the squad.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Result<\/td>\n<td>Tigres Win<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">+110 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Chivas head north without Luis Romo, Omar Govea, and Richard Ledezma \u2014 three of their regular midfield rotation. Tigres are unbeaten in three and won this fixture 4-1 in mid-April.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Over 2.5 Goals<\/td>\n<td>Yes<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">-111 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Tigres have scored at least three in their last two home matches; the last league meeting between the pair alone produced five.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Our approach: anchor the slip on Brunetta to score, lean into a Tigres home win, and treat Yes BTTS as the foundational play.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"935\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1071\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#005641\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/01\/20112959\/bet365_Logo_Inline.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"bet365 logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">First Bet Safety Net &#8211; Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">First Bet Safety Net &#8211; Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Get Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&amp;Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Season Form &amp; Tabla General<\/h2>\n<p>Chivas finished 11 points and five places clear of Tigres in the Clausura table, but ended the campaign in slightly shakier form, meaning this could be closer than expected.\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Tabla General \u2014 Clausura 2026<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Chivas<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">33<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Tigres<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">28<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Juan Brunetta (Tigres):<\/strong> The Argentine attacking midfielder leads the squad with 18 goals from 40 appearances and tops the assist chart for big chances created (21). He scored twice in the recent win over Chivas.<\/li>\n<li><strong>\u00c1ngel Correa (Tigres):<\/strong> The former Atl\u00e9tico Madrid forward has produced 16 goals and 12 assists across 39 outings, with 61 shots on target \u2014 the highest tally on the team.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Armando Gonz\u00e1lez (Chivas):<\/strong> 24 goals in 35 appearances, the second-most prolific striker in Liga MX this season. If Chivas need a leg-1 lifeline, he is the entire script.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Efra\u00edn \u00c1lvarez (Chivas):<\/strong> With Richard Ledezma a doubt, \u00c1lvarez carries Chivas&#8217; creative load \u2014 seven assists, sixteen big chances created, and the player most likely to manufacture chances against the Tigres back line.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>Chivas are winless in their last eight against Tigres, last beating them back in February 2023. In the two meetings during 2025\/26, Tigres won the most recent 4-1 after a 0-0 Apertura draw.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Apr 12, 2026<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tigres 4-1 Chivas<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Liga MX (Clausura 2026)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Sep 18, 2025<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Chivas 0-0 Tigres<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Liga MX (Apertura 2025)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n<h3>Tigres \u2014 W D D W L<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Apr 26, 2026: Tigres 5-1 Mazatl\u00e1n (W, home)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 23, 2026: Atlas 0-0 Tigres (D, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 19, 2026: Necaxa 1-1 Tigres (D, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 12, 2026: Tigres 4-1 Chivas (W, home)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 4, 2026: Tijuana 1-0 Tigres (L, away)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Tigres are unbeaten in their last three. Joaquim sits out with a knock, and Marco Farfan is sidelined with a foot issue, but the spine of the side that hammered Chivas in mid-April returns. Nicol\u00e1s Ib\u00e1\u00f1ez is racing the calendar back from a calf problem and could feature for the second leg even if absent here.<\/p>\n<h3>Chivas \u2014 D D W L D<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Apr 26, 2026: Chivas 0-0 Tijuana (D, home)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 23, 2026: Necaxa 0-0 Chivas (D, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 19, 2026: Chivas 5-0 Puebla (W, home)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 12, 2026: Tigres 4-1 Chivas (L, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 6, 2026: Chivas 2-2 Pumas (D, home)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Chivas&#8217; last two matches were goalless.. Crucially, the Reba\u00f1o head into the opener without Luis Romo (hamstring), Omar Govea (calf), and Richard Ledezma (knock) \u2014 three midfielders who have anchored most of the regular-phase rotation. \u00c1ngel Sep\u00falveda is also out as a back-up striker option. Brian Gutierrez will shoulder much of the midfield burden off the back of his World Cup call-up for Mexico.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Chivas vs Tigres Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>Tigres&#8217; home-leg ceiling looks higher than Chivas&#8217; away-leg floor, particularly with the Reba\u00f1o&#8217;s midfield gutted by absences and the recent league meeting between the pair still raw on the scoresheet.\u00a0Brunetta is the cleanest path to a goal in this match \u2014 <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">check the latest market<\/a> at <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\">bet365<\/a> and lean into the Argentine&#8217;s price as the goalscorer angle.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<p>For the rest of the bracket, see our previews on <a href=\"\/us\/news\/match-preview-toluca-vs-pachuca-05-03-26-liga-mx-quarterfinals-1st-leg\/\">Toluca vs Pachuca<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/news\/match-preview-america-vs-pumas-05-03-26-liga-mx-quarterfinals-1st-leg\/\">America vs Pumas<\/a>, plus the <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/liga-mx-clausura-2026-winner-odds\/\">Clausura 2026 winner odds<\/a>. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ligamx.net\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Liga MX&#8217;s official site<\/a> will have confirmed lineups closer to kick-off.<\/p>\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chivas finished second in the Tabla General, but they walk into Estadio Universitario on Saturday night carrying the memory of the 4-1 thumping the same hosts handed them three weeks ago. Tigres host Chivas on Saturday, May 2, at 9:00 PM ET in the first leg of a Liga MX Clausura 2026 quarter-final that pits&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":5535,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Tigres vs Chivas prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Tigres vs Chivas Prediction | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Tigres vs Chivas prediction, picks and odds for the Liga MX Clausura 2026 quarter-final first leg.","footnotes":""},"tags":[327],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-5494","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-liga-mx"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Tigres vs Chivas Prediction | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Tigres vs 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