{"id":5225,"date":"2026-04-28T04:40:10","date_gmt":"2026-04-28T08:40:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=5225"},"modified":"2026-05-21T07:04:12","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T11:04:12","slug":"match-preview-psg-vs-bayern-munich-28-04-26-champions-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-psg-vs-bayern-munich-28-04-26-champions-league\/","title":{"rendered":"PSG vs Bayern Munich: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

PSG host Bayern Munich at the Parc des Princes on Tuesday, April 28 at 3:00 PM ET, with a place in the Champions League<\/a> final on the line.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The first leg of this last-four tie pairs the holders, who have rolled through the knockout rounds, with the German champions, who have outscored every team in Europe on their way here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This is the third Champions League meeting between these two in five seasons. Bayern have won seven of the last 10 head-to-head encounters, including the 2-1 win at this same stadium back in November’s League Stage. Paris will know they have to take a lead to Munich.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The market reads close. Bet365 price PSG at +130 to win the leg, with Bayern at +175 and the draw the longest of the three. Goals are the bookmakers’ confident call: Over 2.5 sits at -250, both teams to score at -275. Wednesday’s other semi-final between Atl\u00e9tico Madrid and Arsenal<\/a> is the contrasting tie \u2014 that one looks set up for a low-scoring opener.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
PSG to win<\/strong><\/td>\n+130 @ bet365<\/a>
(43.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBayern arrive without Alphonso Davies and Min-Jae Kim; PSG kept clean sheets in both QF legs against Liverpool.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both teams to score \u2014 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-275 @ bet365<\/a>
(73.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBayern have scored in every Champions League match this season; PSG have scored in their last seven knockout outings.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-250 @ bet365<\/a>
(71.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBoth quarter-final ties cleared this line. Bayern’s last 10 UCL games have averaged 4.0 goals.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+162 @ bet365<\/a>
(38.2%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nEight Champions League goals from 13 appearances \u2014 leads PSG’s scoring chart and is the value option behind Kane.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct score: 2-2<\/strong><\/td>\n+900 @ bet365<\/a>
(10.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBoth attacks fit, both defenses depleted in patches. A high-scoring draw is priced about right and keeps the tie alive.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: Lead with PSG to win and BTTS Yes, layer Kvaratskhelia for the player angle. Full price comparison and other markets are on our bet365 review page<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"bet365<\/a>\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n

Road to the Semi-finals<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

PSG finished 11th in the League Stage and worked the longer route through. Bayern claimed second place behind Arsenal \u2014 the full League Stage table is here<\/a> \u2014 and went straight to the Round of 16 with two ties to navigate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Round<\/th>\nPSG<\/th>\nResult<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
KO Play-offs<\/td>\nv Monaco<\/td>\n3-2 (a), 2-2 (h) \u2014 won 5-4 agg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Round of 16<\/td>\nv Chelsea<\/td>\n5-2 (h), 3-0 (a) \u2014 won 8-2 agg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Quarter-final<\/td>\nv Liverpool<\/td>\n2-0 (h), 2-0 (a) \u2014 won 4-0 agg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Round<\/th>\nBayern<\/th>\nResult<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Round of 16<\/td>\nv Atalanta<\/td>\n6-1 (a), 4-1 (h) \u2014 won 10-2 agg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Quarter-final<\/td>\nv Real Madrid<\/td>\n2-1 (a), 4-3 (h) \u2014 won 6-4 agg<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The contrast is sharp. PSG’s last two rounds have been about defensive control \u2014 they conceded none across the four legs against Chelsea and Liverpool combined. Bayern’s two ties have averaged just over four goals a leg in the other direction.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n