{"id":4776,"date":"2026-05-15T06:07:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:07:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=4776"},"modified":"2026-06-03T21:15:25","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T01:15:25","slug":"match-preview-burnley-vs-manchester-city-22-04-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-burnley-vs-manchester-city-22-04-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Burnley vs Manchester City: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Burnley host Manchester City at Turf Moor on Wednesday night with the gulf in purpose doing most of the talking: the hosts are 19th and ten Premier League matches without a win, while the visitors are two points behind Arsenal in a title race that has suddenly come back to life.<\/strong> One side is trying to stay in the division. The other just beat the league leaders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kick-off is 8:00 PM local (3:00 PM ET) on Wednesday, April 22, and the stakes at each end of the Premier League<\/a> table could not be further apart. Pep Guardiola’s side arrive on the back of a 2-1 home win over Arsenal and a 3-0 demolition of Chelsea before that. The Clarets were beaten 4-1 by Nottingham Forest at the City Ground on Sunday, leaving them twelve points adrift of safety with five to play. Relegation<\/a> for The Clarets is all but confirmed now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

bet365 price Manchester City at -800 to win, an implied 88.5% probability, and the market is not looking for value in the home side. Erling Haaland is -334 to score at any point. That is the centrepiece of the Burnley vs Manchester City prediction this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Manchester City to win<\/strong><\/td>\n-800 @ bet365<\/a>
(88.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nCity have won all ten of the last ten league meetings by a combined 32-3, and Burnley have not won in ten of their own.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Erling Haaland anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n-334 @ bet365<\/a>
(76.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nHaaland has 23 league goals and 51 shots on target this season; the market rarely prices him this short for good reason.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-275 @ bet365<\/a>
(73.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nManchester City have scored at least two in eight of their last ten, and Burnley have conceded 67 goals \u2014 the most in the league.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Phil Foden anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+150 @ bet365<\/a>
(40.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nFoden has seven league goals and nine big chances created this season, and a low-block defence is exactly the kind he picks apart.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: lead with Manchester City to win, pair with Haaland anytime goalscorer for the parlay, and consider Foden as the long-odds third leg at bet365<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n

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Polymarket<\/a> has the fixture live. Traders have Manchester City at 87% implied probability, Burnley at 5%, with 8% for the draw, on around $103K of 24-hour volume. The prediction-market read is the same as the sportsbook read \u2014 this is not a fixture where anyone is hunting value in the home side, and the interesting question is whether the goal and scorer markets carry more than the result.<\/p>\n\n\n

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Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The visitors sit second on 67 points, two behind Arsenal with a game in hand; Saturday’s win over the league leaders put them in sole control of the chase. Burnley are 19th on 20 points and, even in the most generous reading of the run-in, going down. The full table is worth a look in the Premier League standings<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Manchester City<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n65<\/td>\n29<\/td>\n+36<\/td>\n67<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Burnley<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n67<\/td>\n-33<\/td>\n20<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n