{"id":4562,"date":"2026-05-15T06:07:43","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:07:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-everton-vs-liverpool-19-04-26-premier-league\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T21:15:07","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T01:15:07","slug":"match-preview-everton-vs-liverpool-19-04-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-everton-vs-liverpool-19-04-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Everton vs Liverpool: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Merseyside derby comes to the Hill Dickinson Stadium for the first time on Sunday, April 19, with Everton hosting Liverpool at 9:00 AM ET.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n

Our Everton vs Liverpool prediction starts with the five-point gap in the table: Liverpool fifth on 52, Everton eighth on 47. That looks simple enough. It isn’t. Everton have taken 10 points from their last five league matches; Liverpool have taken seven. The hosts carry the momentum into this one.<\/p>\n\n

bet365 still makes the visitors narrow favourites at +130, with Everton priced at +210 and the draw at +240. A tight derby on recent evidence, and fairly so.<\/p>\n\n

Everton vs Liverpool: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n

Our preferred approach respects Liverpool’s historical edge in this fixture without dismissing Everton’s recent form. The goals markets offer the richest value; the player props sit in attractive price territory.<\/p>\n\n

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Our Prediction<\/th>Odds & Sportsbook<\/th>Confidence<\/th>Why We’re Backing It<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Liverpool to win<\/strong><\/td>+130 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(43.5%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Liverpool have won six of the last 10 Merseyside derbies, including two of three meetings across the past 12 months.<\/td><\/tr>\n
Both Teams To Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>-143 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(58.8%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Everton have scored in four of their last five; Liverpool have scored in 10 of their last 11 league outings.<\/td><\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>-111 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(52.6%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Three of the last five meetings hit three or more; both sides come in from higher-scoring recent fixtures.<\/td><\/tr>\n
Mohamed Salah anytime scorer<\/strong><\/td>+210 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(32.3%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Six league goals and 10 big chances created in 20 starts; Liverpool’s most consistent goal threat against the hosts’ leakier right flank.<\/td><\/tr>\n
Iliman Ndiaye anytime scorer<\/strong><\/td>+240 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(29.4%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Everton’s top scorer on six goals with an xA of 4.01 as well; the most likely home source on a derby afternoon.<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n

Our approach: Build the core around Liverpool and BTTS Yes, with Salah anytime as the natural third leg. The Ndiaye price adds Everton goal insurance at a reasonable number.<\/p>\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Match-specific prediction market pricing for the Merseyside derby has not yet surfaced at time of writing, with traders on both Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> still weighted toward Saturday’s card. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this fixture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n

Five points separate the two sides on the Premier League standings table<\/a>, but the underlying profiles are more alike than the gap suggests. Liverpool’s +10 goal difference is the better number; Everton’s +2 is the lean side of balanced. The hosts are three wins from their last five. The visitors are two from their last five. Derby form, not league form, is what decides these.<\/p>\n\n

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Team<\/th>Pos<\/th>GP<\/th>W<\/th>D<\/th>L<\/th>GF<\/th>GA<\/th>GD<\/th>Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Everton<\/strong><\/td>8<\/td>32<\/td>13<\/td>8<\/td>11<\/td>39<\/td>37<\/td>+2<\/td>47<\/td><\/tr>\n
Liverpool<\/strong><\/td>5<\/td>32<\/td>15<\/td>7<\/td>10<\/td>52<\/td>42<\/td>+10<\/td>52<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n