{"id":4541,"date":"2026-05-15T06:08:29","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:08:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-newcastle-vs-bournemouth-18-04-26-premier-league\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T21:14:43","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T01:14:43","slug":"match-preview-newcastle-vs-bournemouth-18-04-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-newcastle-vs-bournemouth-18-04-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Newcastle vs Bournemouth: Predictions, odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

Newcastle United host AFC Bournemouth at St. James’ Park on Saturday, April 18, with kickoff set for 10:00 AM ET.<\/strong><\/p>\n

There is a strange reversal of gravity at work in this fixture. The Cherries, supposedly the plucky south-coast upstarts, arrive on Tyneside sitting three points and three places above their hosts in the Premier League<\/a> table. They are unbeaten in 12 Premier League matches stretching back to early January, with last weekend’s 2-1 win at the Emirates fresh in the memory and a healthy confidence in the legs. Newcastle, by contrast, have won three of their last ten and come into this one missing a small squad of first-choice names.<\/p>\n

Bruno Guimaraes is sidelined with a hamstring problem. Joelinton is serving the second of his two-match suspension after picking up his tenth yellow of the season. Fabian Schar remains in the treatment room. That is the spine of the side that got the Magpies as high as fifth earlier this campaign, and losing it now leaves the Magpies fielding a threadbare engine room against one of the most in-form attacks in the division.<\/p>\n

The bookmakers still make Newcastle the narrow favourite at home. The form line, the injuries, and the head-to-head history all suggest they might be wrong.<\/p>\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n

Our Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction leans into the Cherries’ momentum, the absence of Newcastle’s midfield engine, and a fixture that has produced goals at both ends in every one of the last five meetings.<\/p>\n

Our Prediction<\/th>Odds & Sportsbook<\/th>Confidence<\/th>Why We’re Backing It<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Bournemouth Double Chance (Draw\/Win)<\/strong><\/td>-150 @ Bet365<\/a>
(60.0%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Newcastle have not beaten the Cherries in their last five meetings. Four draws and a Bournemouth win tells the story, and the visitors arrive on a 12-match unbeaten run.<\/td><\/tr>
Eli Junior Kroupi Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>+162 @ Bet365<\/a>
(38.2%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Kroupi<\/strong> has 10 league goals from 3.82 xG in just 1,246 minutes \u2014 a scoring rate of 0.72 per 90. The numbers say he is due a correction, but the form says he keeps finding the net.<\/td><\/tr>
Both Teams to Score \u2014 Yes<\/strong><\/td>-225 @ Bet365<\/a>
(69.2%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Every one of the last five meetings between these two has seen both teams find the net. The price is short for a reason.<\/td><\/tr>
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>-200 @ Bet365<\/a>
(66.7%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>The last five H2H meetings have averaged three goals per game. Both defences are leaky, and Newcastle have conceded in four of their last five at home.<\/td><\/tr>
Anthony Gordon Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>+162 @ Bet365<\/a>
(38.2%)<\/td>		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>Gordon<\/strong> is Newcastle’s most productive attacker, averaging 0.99 shots on target per 90 with 6 goals from 5.82 xG. With Bruno and Joelinton out, he becomes the focal point.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n

Our approach: Start with Bournemouth Double Chance, add Kroupi anytime goalscorer for parlay potential.<\/p>\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n

Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n

Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

The prediction markets paint a tighter picture than the sportsbooks. On Kalshi<\/a>, traders lean toward the Cherries being live for something from this trip, with the draw looming large as a third option given the historical pattern. Polymarket<\/a> sentiment tracks the same way, reflecting both Bournemouth’s recent form and Newcastle’s injury concerns. The goals markets are decisive \u2014 both platforms expect this to be a high-scoring afternoon on Tyneside.<\/p>\n\n

Loading match…<\/div>\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n

The 2025\/26 Premier League standings<\/a> present a quiet little embarrassment for the Magpies. The Cherries, who spent most of the autumn fighting for survival, are now three points and three places clear of a Newcastle side that spent the first half of the season chasing a European finish. Goal difference tells the tale too: Bournemouth have scored 48, Newcastle 45. The pressure is all on the home side.<\/p>\n

Team<\/th>Pos<\/th>GP<\/th>W<\/th>D<\/th>L<\/th>GF<\/th>GA<\/th>GD<\/th>Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
AFC Bournemouth<\/td>11<\/td>32<\/td>10<\/td>15<\/td>7<\/td>48<\/td>49<\/td>-1<\/td>45<\/td><\/tr>
Newcastle United<\/td>14<\/td>32<\/td>12<\/td>6<\/td>14<\/td>45<\/td>47<\/td>-2<\/td>42<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n