{"id":3873,"date":"2026-05-15T05:56:06","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T09:56:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=3873"},"modified":"2026-06-03T21:20:06","modified_gmt":"2026-06-04T01:20:06","slug":"chivas-vs-puebla-predictions-odds-picks-stats-preview","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/chivas-vs-puebla-predictions-odds-picks-stats-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Chivas vs Puebla: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-introduction\">Introduction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Chivas Guadalajara host Puebla at Estadio AKRON on Saturday (9:07pm ET) with the Clausura table painting this as a heavyweight wearing a favorite\u2019s robe. Chivas have set the early pace at the top, while Puebla arrive stuck in the bottom tier and hunting for anything that looks like momentum.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>The hook for bettors is simple: Chivas score like a contender, Puebla defend like a team trying to survive. Chivas have pumped in 28 goals in 14 Clausura matches, and Puebla have managed just 11 in the same span.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That mix points you toward a home win, and it opens up a couple of clean, controlled ways to bet it without needing fireworks for 90 minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Pick<\/th>\n<th>Odds<\/th>\n<th>Confidence<\/th>\n<th>Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Chivas (Moneyline)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-390 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Chivas are built to control games like this at home, and the table backs up the gap in level. They\u2019re sitting first in the Clausura with 31 points, while Puebla are down in 16th on 13. Expect Guadalajara to pin Puebla back early and turn pressure into a lead, even if it takes patience.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-188 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>This sets up for a Chivas game script where chances keep coming, because their attack runs hotter than the league norm. Chivas are averaging 2.0 goals per game in the Clausura compared to the league\u2019s 1.57. If Puebla have to chase at any point, the spaces show up and the total becomes reachable fast.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Both Teams To Score \u2014 No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-111 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Puebla\u2019s best path is to hang on and hope, but that plan still needs a goal they rarely find. Their Clausura scoring rate sits at 0.79 goals per game. If Guadalajara get in front, Puebla can end up playing a lot of the night in front of them without landing a punch.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-polymarket-match-prediction-live-odds-amp-win-probability\">Polymarket Match Prediction: Live Odds &amp; Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0At the time of writing, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Polymarket<\/a> traders are heavily backing a home victory, pricing Chivas at a dominant 73% implied probability on the moneyline. It remains a very thin market with low trading volume so far, but Club Puebla are currently viewed as clear underdogs at just 38\u00a2, with the draw trading at 23\u00a2. Here is how the live market is shaping up ahead of kickoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure id=\"polymarket-gua-pue-odds\" class=\"polymarket-embed\" style=\"position: relative; display: inline-block; margin: 0;\" aria-label=\"Polymarket prediction market: Guadalajara vs Puebla live odds\"><br><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Guadalajara vs Puebla Win Probability \u2014 Polymarket Live Odds\" src=\"https:\/\/embed.polymarket.com\/sports?market=mex-gua-pue-2026-04-18&amp;buttons=false&amp;width=600&amp;height=300\" width=\"600\" height=\"300\" frameborder=\"0\"><br \/><\/iframe><br><a style=\"position: absolute; top: 16px; right: 20px; width: 120px; height: 24px; z-index: 10;\" href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/sports\/mex\/mex-gua-pue-2026-04-18\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" aria-label=\"View on Polymarket\"><br><\/a>\n<figcaption style=\"position: absolute; width: 1px; height: 1px; padding: 0; margin: -1px; overflow: hidden; clip: rect(0,0,0,0); white-space: nowrap; border: 0;\"><strong>Guadalajara vs Puebla \u2014 Live Prediction Market<\/strong><br>Current odds: GUA \u00b7 PUE \u00b7 Liga MX<br><a href=\"http:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-sp\"><br>View full market &amp; place a trade on Polymarket<br><\/a><\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-prediction-markets-single-match pm-single-match-root\" data-sport=\"Soccer\" data-league=\"Liga MX\" data-event-id=\"polymarket_297027\" data-market-types=\"[]\" data-provider-filter=\"polymarket\" data-selected-market=\"match_result_group\">Loading match&#8230;<\/div>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"2923\"\n            data-offer-id=\"2928\"\n    >\n\t\t            <span class=\"sq-toplist__label\">CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Polymarket<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">TRADE NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV and OH. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/na0messaging.icarol.com\/ConsumerRegistration.aspx?org=65800&amp;pid=57&amp;cc=en-US&amp;RIF1=651580\">ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Current Standings<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Pos<\/th>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>P<\/th>\n<th>W<\/th>\n<th>D<\/th>\n<th>L<\/th>\n<th>GF<\/th>\n<th>GA<\/th>\n<th>GD<\/th>\n<th>Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td><strong>Chivas<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>14<\/td>\n<td>10<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>28<\/td>\n<td>17<\/td>\n<td>+11<\/td>\n<td>31<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16<\/td>\n<td><strong>Puebla<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>14<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>7<\/td>\n<td>11<\/td>\n<td>17<\/td>\n<td>-6<\/td>\n<td>13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n<h3>Chivas Recent Form<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Lost 1-4 vs Tigres UANL (Away)\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>Draw 2-2 vs Pumas UNAM (Home)\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>Won 3-2 vs Monterrey (Away)\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>Won 5-0 vs Le\u00f3n (Home)\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>Won 3-0 vs Santos Laguna (Home)\u00a0<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Chivas&#8217; ceiling is obvious when they get rolling at Estadio AKRON, and the Le\u00f3n and Santos Laguna wins showed they can turn good spells into a rout. The slip at Tigres last time was ugly, but it also sets up a sharp response spot back on their own turf.<\/p>\n<h3>Puebla Recent Form<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Lost 0-1 vs Le\u00f3n (Home)\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>Draw 1-1 vs Ju\u00e1rez (Home)<\/li>\n<li>Lost 1-2 vs Santos Laguna (Away)<\/li>\n<li>Draw 0-0 vs Necaxa (Home)\u00a0<\/li>\n<li>Lost 1-2 vs Pachuca (Away)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Puebla keep landing in the same kind of game: tight, low-margin, and usually one big moment away from trouble. They\u2019ve scored once or fewer in four of these five matches, which is why the \u201cPuebla to blank\u201d angle keeps showing up in the best bet menu.<\/p>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>Chivas have won four of the last five meetings between these sides, including the last two without conceding a goal. However, that one slip was a 1-0 victory for Puebla in October 2024, courtesy of a goal from Emiliano Gomez, who is still around and scored his first Clausura goal against Tigres last month.<\/p>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Armando Gonzalez<\/strong>\u00a0is the finisher who turns Guadalajara pressure into a scoreboard problem. He\u2019s already hit 12 goals in 14 Clausura matches, and he carried that edge through Apertura too with 12 goals across 17 matches. If Puebla sit deep, he\u2019s the guy who can still solve it with one clean look.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Efrain Alvarez<\/strong> is the spark plug who makes Guadalajara\u2019s good positions count. He\u2019s created eight big chances in the Clausura, and he backed up that playmaking role in Apertura with four <a href=\"\/us\/liga-mx-most-assists\/\">assists<\/a>. If Guadalajara start stacking attacks early, he\u2019s the one most likely to slide the pass that breaks Puebla\u2019s shape.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Daniel Gutierrez<\/strong>\u00a0is Puebla\u2019s best argument for keeping this respectable. He\u2019s been busy with 48 saves in 14 Clausura matches, and that workload tells you exactly what kind of night Puebla expect when they play the league\u2019s top sides. If he\u2019s sharp early, it can keep unders and correct scores alive deep into the match.<\/p>\n<h2>Chivas vs Puebla Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>Chivas have the profile of a front-runner who doesn\u2019t need a perfect performance to get paid, because they can win with control or win with chaos. Puebla\u2019s recent matches lean toward grind-it-out scorelines, but their lack of punch makes it hard to see them trading blows for long at Estadio AKRON. The cleanest read is Chivas to take care of business and keep Puebla at arm\u2019s length\u2014so the headline play is <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">Chivas -390 @ Bet365<\/a>, with 2-0 sitting there as the sharper, higher-upside script.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nSaturday April 19th at 10.07 PM ET, Guadalajara host Puebla at Estadio AKRON with the Clausura table painting this as a heavyweight weari&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":3871,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Chivas vs Puebla predictions","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Chivas vs Puebla: Predictions, odds, picks & stats","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Our Chivas vs Puebla prediction for Liga MX Clausura 2026. Get picks, Bet365 odds, and key stats for Saturday at Estadio AKRON.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-3873","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Chivas vs Puebla: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Chivas vs Puebla prediction for Liga MX Clausura 2026. 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