{"id":3682,"date":"2026-05-15T06:09:03","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:09:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=3682"},"modified":"2026-05-27T11:52:36","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T15:52:36","slug":"match-preview-nottingham-forest-vs-aston-villa-12-04-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-nottingham-forest-vs-aston-villa-12-04-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Predictions, odds, picks &#038; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Sunday morning brings a critical <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/epl-premier-league\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Premier League<\/a> clash as Nottingham Forest host Aston Villa at the City Ground, with kickoff at 10:00 AM ET. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n<p>There&#8217;s plenty at stake for both sides: Forest are fighting to distance themselves from the relegation zone, while Villa aim to solidify their European ambitions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Villa&#8217;s recent dominance in this fixture adds extra intrigue, but Forest have shown they can pull off surprises at home.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Expect a tense, high-stakes contest that could shape the direction of both teams&#8217; campaigns as we head into the season&#8217;s final stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on season-long attacking output and recent head-to-head trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in &#8220;Both Teams to Score&#8221; due to both clubs&#8217; attacking approaches and leaky defenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams To Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-143 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(58.8%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Hit in 10 of last 11 head-to-heads; both defenses average 1+ goal conceded per game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Aston Villa Draw No Bet<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-120 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(54.6%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Villa have won 7 of last 11 vs Forest, better league form, higher xG and attack.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Ollie Watkins to Score or Assist<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">+120 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(45.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9 goals, 16 big chance assists this season; Forest have conceded 43 in 31 games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">+100 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(50%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both teams average 2+ goals per match combined; 8 of last 11 H2Hs over this line.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Our approach: Start with Both Teams to Score as a foundation, add Villa Draw No Bet for parlay value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-polymarket-match-prediction-live-odds-amp-win-probability\">Polymarket Match Prediction: Live Odds &amp; Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Polymarket&#8217;s live tracker offers a real-time perspective on market sentiment for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa. At the time of writing, the moneyline market reflects a fairly balanced outlook, with neither side heavily favored and a notable draw price suggesting the possibility of a close contest. Goal totals markets also hint at expectations of a competitive, open game, in line with recent head-to-head history. For bettors looking for extra signals, this live market view adds another dimension to pre-match research.<script><br \/> {<br \/> \"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\",<br \/> \"@type\": \"SportsEvent\",<br \/> \"name\": \"Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa\",<br \/> \"sport\": \"EPL\",<br \/> \"startDate\": \"2026-04-13T14:00:00Z\",<br \/> \"homeTeam\": {<br \/> \"@type\": \"SportsTeam\",<br \/> \"name\": \"Nottingham Forest\"<br \/> },<br \/> \"awayTeam\": {<br \/> \"@type\": \"SportsTeam\",<br \/> \"name\": \"Aston Villa\"<br \/> },<br \/> \"description\": \"Live prediction market odds for Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa. Odds reflect a balanced market on Polymarket.\",<br \/> \"url\": \"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/sports\/epl\/epl-not-ast-2026-04-13\",<br \/> \"organizer\": {<br \/> \"@type\": \"Organization\",<br \/> \"name\": \"Polymarket\",<br \/> \"url\": \"https:\/\/polymarket.com\"<br \/> }<br \/> }<br \/> <\/script><\/p>\n\n\n\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">\n{\n  \"@context\": \"https:\/\/schema.org\",\n  \"@type\": \"SportsEvent\",\n  \"name\": \"Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC\",\n  \"sport\": \"EPL\",\n  \"startDate\": \"2026-03-30T04:23:47.968931Z\",\n  \"homeTeam\": {\n    \"@type\": \"SportsTeam\",\n    \"name\": \"Nottingham Forest FC\"\n  },\n  \"awayTeam\": {\n    \"@type\": \"SportsTeam\",\n    \"name\": \"Aston Villa FC\"\n  },\n  \"description\": \"Live prediction market odds for Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC. Nottingham Forest FC favored at 36% on Polymarket.\",\n  \"url\": \"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/sports\/premier-league-2025\/epl-not-ast-2026-04-12\",\n  \"organizer\": {\n    \"@type\": \"Organization\",\n    \"name\": \"Polymarket\",\n    \"url\": \"https:\/\/polymarket.com\"\n  }\n}\n<\/script>\n<figure\n\tclass=\"polymarket-embed\"\n\tid=\"polymarket-not-ast-odds\"\n\taria-label=\"Polymarket prediction market: Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC live odds\"\n\titemscope\n\titemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/SportsEvent\"\n\tstyle=\"position:relative;display:inline-block;margin:0\">\n\t<iframe\n\t\ttitle=\"Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC Win Probability \u2014 Polymarket Live Odds\"\n\t\tsrc=\"https:\/\/embed.polymarket.com\/sports?market=epl-not-ast-2026-04-12&#038;buttons=false&#038;width=600&#038;height=300\"\n\t\twidth=\"600\"\n\t\theight=\"300\"\n\t\tframeborder=\"0\"\n\t\tallowtransparency=\"true\">\n\t<\/iframe>\n\t<a href=\"https:\/\/polymarket.com\/sports\/premier-league-2025\/epl-not-ast-2026-04-12\"\n\t\taria-label=\"View on Polymarket\"\n\t\ttarget=\"_blank\"\n\t\trel=\"noopener\"\n\t\tstyle=\"position:absolute;top:16px;right:20px;width:120px;height:24px;z-index:10\">\n\t<\/a>\n\t<figcaption style=\"position:absolute;width:1px;height:1px;padding:0;margin:-1px;overflow:hidden;clip:rect(0,0,0,0);white-space:nowrap;border:0\">\n\t\t<strong>Nottingham Forest FC vs Aston Villa FC \u2014 Live Prediction Market<\/strong><br>\n\t\tCurrent odds: NOT 36% \u00b7 AST 36% \u00b7 EPL<br>\n\t\t<a href=\"http:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-sp\">\n\t\t\tView full market &amp; place a trade on Polymarket\n\t\t<\/a>\n\t<\/figcaption>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-prediction-markets-single-match pm-single-match-root\" data-sport=\"Soccer\" data-league=\"EPL\" data-event-id=\"polymarket_323926\" data-market-types=\"[]\" data-provider-filter=\"polymarket\" data-selected-market=\"match_result_group\">Loading match&#8230;<\/div>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"2923\"\n            data-offer-id=\"2928\"\n    >\n\t\t            <span class=\"sq-toplist__label\">CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Polymarket<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">TRADE NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV and OH. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/na0messaging.icarol.com\/ConsumerRegistration.aspx?org=65800&amp;pid=57&amp;cc=en-US&amp;RIF1=651580\">ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<p>The 2025\/26 Premier League campaign has seen Aston Villa emerge as a clear top-four contender, currently occupying 4th place with 16 wins from 31 games. Their blend of attacking firepower and improved defensive structure has kept them in the Champions League race. Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, sit 16th, just above the drop zone, and know that every point is crucial in a congested bottom half. Villa&#8217;s cup runs have been steady but unspectacular, while Forest&#8217;s focus remains squarely on league survival.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Aston Villa<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">42<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">54<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">43<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Ollie Watkins<\/strong> (Aston Villa): Nine goals, 16 big chance <a href=\"\/us\/premier-league-assist-leaders\/\">assists<\/a>, 52.9% shot accuracy and 8.74 xG in 30 games (2025\/26). Villa&#8217;s main threat, averaging a goal contribution every other game.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Morgan Gibbs-White<\/strong> (Nottingham Forest): Nine goals, 44 big chance assists and 81.8% pass accuracy in 31 games (2025\/26). Forest&#8217;s creative heartbeat, involved in nearly half their goals.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Morgan Rogers<\/strong> (Aston Villa): Eight goals, 40 big chance assists, 51.2% shot accuracy in 31 games (2025\/26). Key playmaker and secondary scorer.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>Aston Villa have dominated recent meetings, claiming seven wins from the last eleven encounters, with both teams often finding the net.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Jan 3, 2026<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Apr 5, 2025<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Aston Villa 2-1 Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Dec 14, 2024<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nottingham Forest 2-1 Aston Villa<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Feb 24, 2024<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Aston Villa 4-2 Nottingham Forest<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nov 5, 2023<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nottingham Forest 2-0 Aston Villa<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>With Aston Villa pushing for Champions League football and Nottingham Forest scrapping for survival, this matchup has all the ingredients for a high-energy, attack-minded affair. Villa&#8217;s clinical edge and the creative spark of Ollie Watkins make them slight favorites, especially given their record in this fixture. Back &#8220;Both Teams to Score&#8221; at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-143 with Bet365<\/a> (58.8% implied probability) as the best way to play a game that should see plenty of chances at both ends.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Saturday afternoon brings a critical Premier League clash as Nottingham Forest host Aston Villa at the City Ground, with kickoff at 10:00 AM ET. There&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":3681,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-3682","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats - Squawka | US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-nottingham-forest-vs-aston-villa-12-04-26-premier-league\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Saturday afternoon brings a critical Premier League clash as Nottingham Forest host Aston Villa at the City Ground, with kickoff at 10:00 AM ET. 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