{"id":3642,"date":"2026-05-15T06:09:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T10:09:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=3642"},"modified":"2026-07-11T18:53:40","modified_gmt":"2026-07-11T22:53:40","slug":"match-preview-burnley-vs-brighton-11-04-26-premier-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-burnley-vs-brighton-11-04-26-premier-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Burnley vs Brighton &#038; Hove Albion: Predictions, odds, picks &#038; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Burnley welcome Brighton &amp; Hove Albion to Turf Moor on Saturday, with kickoff at 10:00 AM ET. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The fixture brings together two clubs with very different approaches and ambitions in the 2025\/26 Premier League season. Brighton have shown greater attacking consistency and technical control, while Burnley remain dogged and direct, sometimes surprising opponents when underestimated at home. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Expect a tactical <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/epl-premier-league\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Premier League<\/a> clash where Brighton\u2019s ball dominance meets Burnley\u2019s set-piece threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Brighton &amp; Hove Albion\u2019s superior attacking output, shot creation, and head-to-head edge, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in backing Brighton to win, given their high xG, clinical scoring, and recent 2-0 win in the reverse fixture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Brighton &amp; Hove Albion to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-137 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(57.8%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Brighton outscore, outshoot, and outpass Burnley. Won 2-0 in January, control possession (53%).<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-143 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(58.8%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley often find a goal at home, and Brighton\u2019s attack is among the league\u2019s best.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Over 2.5 Total Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-137 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(57.8%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Brighton average 1.71 goals per game, Burnley 1.38. High shot volume from both sides.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Daniel Welbeck Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">+200 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(33.3%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Welbeck leads Brighton with 12 goals, outperforming xG. Burnley allow clear chances in transition.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our approach: Start with Brighton to win, add Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals for parlay potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"2923\"\n            data-offer-id=\"2928\"\n    >\n\t\t            <span class=\"sq-toplist__label\">CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Polymarket<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">TRADE NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p><i>18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See <\/i><i><span draggable=\"true\"><a href=\"http:\/\/polymarket.us\/tos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">polymarket.us\/tos<\/a><\/span><\/i><i>\u00a0for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 2025\/26 <a href=\"\/us\/epl-standings\/\">Premier League Standings<\/a> reflect two teams separated by style and ambition. Brighton &amp; Hove Albion\u2019s higher possession and attacking creativity have kept them in the European mix, while Burnley\u2019s campaign has been defined by grit and fleeting moments of individual quality. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Daniel Welbeck (Brighton &amp; Hove Albion)<\/strong>: Twelve goals this season (2025\/26), with a shot accuracy of 33.3% and an impressive +5 goals above xG. Welbeck averages a goal every 152 minutes\u2014making him Brighton\u2019s primary threat.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Zian Flemming (Burnley)<\/strong>: Eight goals on the season from just 4.82 xG (2025\/26), highlighting clinical finishing. Shot accuracy stands at 40%\u2014expect him to be Burnley\u2019s focal point in attack.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Jaidon Anthony (Burnley)<\/strong>: Seven goals and strong creative numbers (3.72 xA) in 2025\/26, along with a 40.7% shot accuracy. Anthony\u2019s versatility means he can both create and finish chances for Burnley.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These sides have been inseparable in recent years, with three wins apiece and seven draws across their last 13 meetings. Brighton did claim a 2-0 win in the reverse fixture this January, but Burnley are always a threat at Turf Moor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Jan 3, 2026<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Brighton &amp; Hove Albion 2-0 Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Apr 13, 2024<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley 1-1 Brighton &amp; Hove Albion<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Dec 9, 2023<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Brighton &amp; Hove Albion 1-1 Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Feb 19, 2022<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Brighton &amp; Hove Albion 0-3 Burnley<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Aug 14, 2021<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Burnley 1-2 Brighton &amp; Hove Albion<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Premier League<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Burnley vs Brighton &amp; Hove Albion Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Brighton &amp; Hove Albion enter this clash as clear favorites, boasting superior attacking metrics and recent head-to-head momentum. Burnley\u2019s home form and set-piece threat mean this could be a lively contest, but the edge goes to Brighton\u2019s technical class and clinical finishing. Our top pick: Brighton &amp; Hove Albion to win at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-137 @ Bet365<\/a> (57.8% implied probability) looks the value play as the Seagulls hunt for a European spot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Burnley welcome Brighton &#038; Hove Albion to Turf Moor on Saturday, with kickoff at 10:00 AM ET. The fixture brings together two clubs with very differen&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":3641,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-3642","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Burnley vs Brighton &amp; Hove Albion: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats - Squawka | US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-burnley-vs-brighton-11-04-26-premier-league\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Burnley vs Brighton &amp; Hove Albion: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Burnley welcome Brighton &amp; Hove Albion to Turf Moor on Saturday, with kickoff at 10:00 AM ET. 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