{"id":3177,"date":"2026-05-15T05:59:32","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T09:59:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=3177"},"modified":"2026-07-11T18:54:02","modified_gmt":"2026-07-11T22:54:02","slug":"necaxa-vs-mazatlan-predictions-odds-picks-stats-preview-liga-mx","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/necaxa-vs-mazatlan-predictions-odds-picks-stats-preview-liga-mx\/","title":{"rendered":"Necaxa vs Mazatl\u00e1n prediction: Odds, picks &amp; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Necaxa host Mazatl\u00e1n in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/liga-mx\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Liga MX<\/a> on Friday at Estadio Victoria, with both sides scrapping for traction in a Clausura that\u2019s refused to settle for either of them. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Necaxa are in 11th place with 13 points, while Mazatl\u00e1n sit 16th with 11 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The main draw for bettors is simple: Necaxa look far more stable defensively than the visitors, whose habit of conceding chances often forces them into damage control. In a match where a single disciplined stretch could be the difference, it is difficult to look past the home side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Pick<\/th>\n<th>Odds<\/th>\n<th>Confidence<\/th>\n<th>Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Necaxa to win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-105 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Necaxa are the more reliable side in the moments that decide matches, especially when the game gets stretched and mistakes get punished. Mazatl\u00e1n have leaked 23 goals in 12 Clausura matches, and that\u2019s the sort of defending that makes an away win feel like a reach. Expect the hosts to find a way through and take the points.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Over 2.5 goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-142 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>This has the shape of a match where one goal won\u2019t feel safe for long, because both attacks can land punches even when the overall performance is messy. Necaxa have scored 14 goals in 12 Clausura games, and Mazatl\u00e1n have matched that with 14 of their own. If the visitors open up chasing it, the total can get away quickly.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Both Teams To Score \u2014 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-142 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Mazatl\u00e1n don\u2019t always play well, but they do carry enough threat to nick one, and Necaxa rarely look like a side built to shut games down early. Necaxa have conceded 16 goals in 12 Clausura matches, so the door is usually open for an opponent to land a moment. One goal each feels like the baseline here.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Tomas Badaloni anytime goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">+140 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td>\n<td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td><strong>Tomas Badaloni<\/strong> is the kind of forward who stays involved even when the game goes scrappy, and that matters against a defence that invites pressure. He\u2019s hit three Clausura goals, and he\u2019s put 12 shots on target, which tells you he\u2019s getting into finishable spots. If Necaxa spend long spells in the final third, he\u2019s a prime candidate to be the one who cashes it.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"2923\"\n            data-offer-id=\"2928\"\n    >\n\t\t            <span class=\"sq-toplist__label\">CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Polymarket<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">TRADE NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p><i>18+ Only. 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The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-current-standings\">Current Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Pos<\/th>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th>P<\/th>\n<th>W<\/th>\n<th>D<\/th>\n<th>L<\/th>\n<th>GF<\/th>\n<th>GA<\/th>\n<th>GD<\/th>\n<th>Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>11<\/td>\n<td><strong>Necaxa<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>12<\/td>\n<td>4<\/td>\n<td>1<\/td>\n<td>7<\/td>\n<td>14<\/td>\n<td>16<\/td>\n<td>-2<\/td>\n<td>13<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>16<\/td>\n<td><strong>Mazatlan<\/strong><\/td>\n<td>12<\/td>\n<td>3<\/td>\n<td>2<\/td>\n<td>7<\/td>\n<td>14<\/td>\n<td>23<\/td>\n<td>-9<\/td>\n<td>11<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-recent-form\">Recent Form<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-necaxa-recent-form\">Necaxa Recent Form<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>W 3-0 vs Tijuana (Home)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>D 0-0 vs Puebla (Away)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L 0-1 vs Pumas UNAM (Home)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L 1-2 vs Pachuca (Away)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L 1-2 vs Le\u00f3n (Away)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Necaxa\u2019s recent story is momentum, lost and then reclaimed: three straight defeats gave way to a clean, convincing win last time out. The 3-0 over Tijuana is the result that changes the mood, and it also makes the home angle feel far less scary than it did a fortnight earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-mazatlan-recent-form\">Mazatl\u00e1n Recent Form<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>D 1-1 vs Cruz Azul (Home)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L 0-2 vs Club Am\u00e9rica (Away)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>W 4-2 vs Le\u00f3n (Home)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>L 1-4 vs Atl\u00e9tico San Luis (Away)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>W 1-0 vs Pachuca (Home)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mazatl\u00e1n have shown they can turn matches into shootouts when the front line clicks, but the floor is painfully low once they\u2019re forced to defend for long spells. The 1-4 at Atl\u00e9tico San Luis is the glaring warning sign, and it\u2019s exactly the sort of collapse that makes backing them away from home feel like a leap of faith.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s been tough to call this fixture recently, with a win each and two draws in the last four. That said, Necaxa are unbeaten in the last three, with two draws bookending a 3-1 win just over a year ago in the last Clausura. In fact, Mazatlan have won just one of the last nine meetings, with a lot of draws during that time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Javier Ruiz<\/strong> has been Necaxa\u2019s sharpest finisher in the Clausura, and he doesn\u2019t need a mountain of minutes to leave a mark. He\u2019s scored four goals in seven matches, and that kind of efficiency makes him the obvious danger if Mazatl\u00e1n offer him even a yard in the box. If the hosts get an early foothold, he\u2019s the one most likely to turn pressure into a lead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Edgar Yoel Barcenas Herrera<\/strong> is Mazatl\u00e1n\u2019s best hope of creating something clean when the game gets tense and hurried. He\u2019s produced four big chances in the Clausura, which is the profile of a player who can manufacture a moment even when the team are second-best. If Mazatl\u00e1n score, there\u2019s a good chance it starts with him doing something clever in the final third.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><b>Danny Leyva&nbsp;<\/b>has been Necaxa&#8217;s creative force this Clausura, with a team-high 23 chances and three big chances created &#8212; the former 10 clear of any other player. That&#8217;s converted to two assists, and the Mexican-American midfielder will be the one to unlock Ruiz and Badaloni here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-necaxa-vs-mazatlan-prediction\">Necaxa vs Mazatl\u00e1n Prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Necaxa don\u2019t need to be perfect to win this \u2014 they just need to be more solid than a Mazatl\u00e1n side that\u2019s spent the Clausura giving goals away far too easily. With the visitors shipping 23 goals in 12 matches, the home side should get enough chances to make their edge count, even if Mazatl\u00e1n land a punch at the other end. Keep it simple and ride the stronger side: <strong>Necaxa to win<\/strong> at <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\">-105 @ Bet365<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>More Liga MX coverage:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/us\/liga-mx-standings\/\">Liga MX standings 2026<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/liga-mx-fixtures-results\/\">Fixtures and results<\/a><\/p>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Introduction<br \/>\nNecaxa host Mazatl\u00e1n on 2026-04-04 at Estadio Victoria, with both sides scrapping for traction in a Clausura that\u2019s refused to settle for&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":3175,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-3177","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Necaxa vs Mazatl\u00e1n prediction: Odds, picks &amp; 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