{"id":2863,"date":"2026-03-19T07:56:49","date_gmt":"2026-03-19T11:56:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=2863"},"modified":"2026-03-19T07:56:50","modified_gmt":"2026-03-19T11:56:50","slug":"newcastle-united-vs-sunderland-prediction-odds-picks-stats-preview","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/newcastle-united-vs-sunderland-prediction-odds-picks-stats-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Newcastle United vs Sunderland prediction: Odds, picks & stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A fierce North East rivalry reignites as Newcastle United host Sunderland at St James’ Park, with both sides aiming to solidify their positions in the 2025-26 Premier League<\/a> table. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

With just two points separating them and both chasing a top-half finish, this clash could prove pivotal as the season enters its final stretch. Newcastle\u2019s attacking ambition will be tested by Sunderland\u2019s resilience when they kick off this Saturday, March 22, at 10:00 AM ET.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on season-long trends and recent head-to-head history, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re especially confident in backing Newcastle United to win, considering their superior attacking stats and home advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Newcastle United to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-149 @ Bet365<\/a>
(59.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nHome side creates more chances, strong xG edge, superior shot volume.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n-125 @ Bet365<\/a>
(55.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNeither defense is watertight, Newcastle have conceded 43 in 30 games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-110 @ Bet365<\/a>
(52.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nAggressive attacking stats, both teams average over 2.4 total goals per match.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Draw No Bet: Newcastle United<\/strong><\/td>\n-400 @ Bet365<\/a>
(80.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSafety net for Newcastle dominance at home.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n

Our approach: Start with Newcastle United to win, add Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals for parlay potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In the 2025-26 Premier League standings<\/a>, Newcastle United sit ninth with 42 points from 30 matches (12 wins, 6 draws, 12 losses), while Sunderland are just behind in thirteenth with 40 points (10 wins, 10 draws, 10 losses). Newcastle\u2019s neutral goal difference (43 scored, 43 conceded) highlights both their attacking intent and defensive frailty. Sunderland, meanwhile, have a -5 goal difference but have shown remarkable resilience, recovering 16 points from losing positions this season. Both clubs are aiming to break into the top half, with this Derby potentially catalyzing a late-season push.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Newcastle United<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n43<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sunderland<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n-5<\/td>\n40<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n