{"id":28593,"date":"2026-07-30T05:04:46","date_gmt":"2026-07-30T09:04:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=28593"},"modified":"2026-07-30T05:05:48","modified_gmt":"2026-07-30T09:05:48","slug":"match-preview-toluca-vs-necaxa-08-02-26-liga-mx","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/liga-mx\/match-preview-toluca-vs-necaxa-08-02-26-liga-mx\/","title":{"rendered":"Toluca vs Necaxa: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Lineups"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- WP_TITLE: Toluca vs Necaxa: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups -->\n\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">\n{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"SportsEvent\",\"name\":\"Toluca vs Necaxa\",\"description\":\"Liga MX preview: prediction, odds, lineups and stats for Toluca vs Necaxa.\",\"sport\":\"Soccer\",\"startDate\":\"2026-08-02T21:00:00-04:00\",\"eventStatus\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\/EventScheduled\",\"eventAttendanceMode\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\/OfflineEventAttendanceMode\",\"location\":{\"@type\":\"Place\",\"name\":\"Estadio Nemesio D\\u00edez\",\"address\":{\"@type\":\"PostalAddress\",\"addressLocality\":\"Toluca\",\"addressCountry\":\"MX\"}},\"homeTeam\":{\"@type\":\"SportsTeam\",\"name\":\"Toluca\"},\"awayTeam\":{\"@type\":\"SportsTeam\",\"name\":\"Necaxa\"},\"competitor\":[{\"@type\":\"SportsTeam\",\"name\":\"Toluca\"},{\"@type\":\"SportsTeam\",\"name\":\"Necaxa\"}],\"organizer\":{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"name\":\"Liga MX\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/liga-mx\/match-preview-toluca-vs-necaxa-08-02-26-liga-mx\/\"}\n<\/script>\n\n\n<p><strong>Toluca host Necaxa at the Estadio Nemesio D&iacute;ez on Sunday, August 2 at 9:00 PM ET \/ 8:00 PM CT \/ 6:00 PM PT, with los Diablos Rojos backed to keep their grip on a fixture they have dominated of late.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Our Toluca vs Necaxa prediction starts with a role reversal. Necaxa sit fourth in the Apertura 2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/liga-mx-standings\/\">Tabla General<\/a> with two wins from two, while Toluca are seventh after a win and a loss &mdash; yet it is the hosts the market trusts.<\/p>\n\n<p>The <a rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi<\/a> Liga MX contracts price Toluca as clear favorites at around 64%, with Necaxa out at 16% and the tie at 20%. bet365 agree, making Toluca a short -217 to win at home.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"sq-bpg\" id=\"sq-bpg-tolnec802\">\n <div class=\"sq-bpg__wrap\">\n  <input class=\"sq-bpg__r sq-bpg__r--us\" type=\"radio\" name=\"sqbpg-geo-tolnec802\" id=\"sqbpg-us-tolnec802\" checked>\n  <input class=\"sq-bpg__r sq-bpg__r--row\" type=\"radio\" name=\"sqbpg-geo-tolnec802\" id=\"sqbpg-row-tolnec802\">\n\n  <h2 class=\"sq-bpg__ttl\">Toluca vs Necaxa: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__sub\">Toluca are strong home favorites against an unbeaten Necaxa side &mdash; our card leans to a Toluca win in a game with goals at both ends.<\/p>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__geoq\">Where are you following from? Odds &amp; offers below update to match.<\/div>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__toggle\" role=\"tablist\">\n    <label class=\"sq-bpg__tab sq-bpg__tab--us\" for=\"sqbpg-us-tolnec802\">&#127482;&#127480; United States<span>Trade on Kalshi<\/span><\/label>\n    <label class=\"sq-bpg__tab sq-bpg__tab--row\" for=\"sqbpg-row-tolnec802\">&#127758; Outside the US<span>Odds via bet365<\/span><\/label>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__list\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Result\" data-selection=\"Toluca to Win\" data-prob=\"64\" data-odds=\"-217\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Toluca to Win<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__top\">Top pick<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">The home side are heavy favorites and own this fixture, having beaten Necaxa 3-0 and 3-1 in their last two meetings. Necaxa arrive in better early form, but the Nemesio D&iacute;ez is a hard place to break that record.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">64%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">win prob.<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">-217 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Over 2.5 Goals\" data-selection=\"Over 2.5\" data-prob=\"64\" data-odds=\"-211\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Over 2.5 Goals<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Every recent game between these two has been open, and both sides have scored in each of their opening two matches this Apertura. The goals should come.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">64%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">-211 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Both Teams to Score\" data-selection=\"Yes\" data-prob=\"61\" data-odds=\"-175\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Necaxa have scored twice in each of their two wins, while Toluca have found the net in both games. Backing a goal at each end is the percentage read.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">61%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">-175 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Anytime Goalscorer\" data-selection=\"Alexis Vega\" data-prob=\"51\" data-odds=\"-105\" data-player-id=\"64gu02ctffkrmdh0pr3lojyeh\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Alexis Vega to score anytime<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Vega already has a goal this Apertura and is Toluca&#8217;s creative hub, drifting inside off the left to shoot. He is the shortest-priced home scorer.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">51%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">-105 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Correct Score\" data-selection=\"Toluca 2-1\" data-prob=\"12\" data-odds=\"+750\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Correct Score: Toluca 2-1<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">A one-goal home win ties the result, the over and both-teams-to-score Yes into a single line that fits two attacks meeting a pair of leaky defenses.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">12%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+750 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__approach\"><b>Our approach:<\/b> anchor on Toluca to win, lean into the goals with Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score Yes, and take Alexis Vega to score anytime as the value add.<\/p>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__panel sq-bpg__panel--us\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__act\">\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__act-txt\"><b>Trade these markets on Kalshi<\/b><span>New users get $10 &#8212; trade $10 to unlock. Prices update live.<\/span><\/div>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__cta sq-bpg__cta--kal\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Trade on Kalshi &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__altsdiv\"><\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__altslead\">If Kalshi isn&rsquo;t your choice, we also rate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\">Polymarket<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/prophetx\/\">ProphetX<\/a> &mdash; or compare the full lineup.<\/p>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__altsrow\">\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__altsbtn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" alt=\"Polymarket\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__altsbtn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/06\/12062936\/ProphetX.svg\" alt=\"ProphetX\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__altsbtn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/best-prediction-markets\/\">Compare All &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__disc\">Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Polymarket excluded in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__panel sq-bpg__panel--row\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__act\">\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__act-txt\"><b>Back these with bet365<\/b><span>Odds shown for your region &#8212; toggle the odds beside each pick above.<\/span><\/div>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__cta sq-bpg__cta--b365\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Bet with bet365 &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__disc\">Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+\/21+) and T&amp;Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Season Form &amp; Tabla General<\/h2>\n\n<p>Necaxa are the early pacesetters of this pair, fourth in the Apertura 2026 Tabla General with a perfect six points from two games. Toluca sit seventh on three points, a 2-0 win at Chivas offset by a 2-1 home loss to Pumas. Both defenses have leaked in every outing.<\/p>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Necaxa<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Toluca<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+1<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n<!-- SQ-LINEUPS-START -->\n\n<!-- SQ-LINEUPS-START -->\n\n\n<div class=\"sq-teamnews sq-teamnews--theme-liga-mx sq-teamnews--predicted\">\n<style>\n.sq-teamnews,.sq-teamnews *{box-sizing:border-box}\n.sq-teamnews{\n  \/* \u2500\u2500 THEME TOKENS \u2014 only these values change per competition \u2500\u2500 *\/\n  --sq-primary:#1B5E3B;      \/* forest green \u2014 accents, formation chip        *\/\n  --sq-accent:#A8E039;       \/* electric lime \u2014 chevron + confirmed pill      *\/\n  --sq-accent-2:#C8F24C;     \/* brighter lime \u2014 chevron highlight             *\/\n  --sq-gold:#F0B429;         \/* gold \u2014 goalkeeper jersey + note markers       *\/\n  --sq-ink:#16201b;          \/* body text                                     *\/\n  --sq-surface:#ffffff;      \/* card background                               *\/\n  --sq-ground:#F4F6F2;       \/* inset background              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rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-radius:50%;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--spot{left:50%;top:50%;width:5px;height:5px;transform:translate(-50%,-50%);background:rgba(255,255,255,.3);border-radius:50%;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--boxb{left:24%;right:24%;bottom:0;height:19%;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-bottom:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--boxt{left:24%;right:24%;top:0;height:19%;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-top:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--goalb{left:41%;right:41%;bottom:-2px;height:7px;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.28);border-bottom:none;background:rgba(255,255,255,.06);}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--goalt{left:41%;right:41%;top:-2px;height:7px;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.28);border-top:none;background:rgba(255,255,255,.06);}\n\/* bands: GK at the bottom (goal), FWD at the top (attacking) *\/\n.sq-teamnews__bands{position:absolute;inset:0;z-index:2;display:flex;flex-direction:column-reverse;padding:12px 4px;}\n.sq-teamnews__band{flex:1;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-evenly;gap:2px;}\n.sq-teamnews__node{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:3px;flex:1;min-width:0;max-width:98px;}\n.sq-teamnews__jersey{width:27px;height:24px;flex:none;color:#ffffff;filter:drop-shadow(0 1px 2px rgba(0,0,0,.45));}\n.sq-teamnews__band[data-role=\"GK\"] .sq-teamnews__jersey{color:var(--sq-gold);}\n.sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:10.5px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.12;color:#fff;text-align:center;\n  letter-spacing:-.01em;max-width:100%;overflow-wrap:break-word;\n  text-shadow:0 1px 3px rgba(0,0,0,.75),0 0 2px rgba(0,0,0,.55);}\n.sq-teamnews__mark{color:var(--sq-gold);font-weight:800;}\nsup.sq-teamnews__mark{font-size:.72em;margin-left:1px;text-shadow:none;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 footnotes (auto-hides when there are none) \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__notes{list-style:none;margin:0;padding:14px 16px 2px;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:5px;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes:empty{display:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes li{font-size:11.5px;line-height:1.4;color:var(--sq-muted);}\n.sq-teamnews__notes strong{color:var(--sq-ink);font-weight:700;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes .sq-teamnews__mark{text-shadow:none;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 footer \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__foot{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:7px;margin-top:14px;padding:10px 16px;\n  border-top:1px solid var(--sq-line);background:var(--sq-ground);\n  font-size:10.5px;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;font-weight:700;color:var(--sq-muted);}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 narrow phones: stop the header pill + 4-across bands clipping \u2500\u2500 *\/\n@media(max-width:559px){\n  .sq-teamnews__head{padding:14px 14px 13px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__kicker{font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.12em;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pill{font-size:9.5px;padding:4px 9px;letter-spacing:.08em;}\n  .sq-teamnews__h2{font-size:16.5px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__teams{padding:12px;gap:12px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__bands{padding:10px 2px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__band{gap:1px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__node{max-width:none;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:9px;line-height:1.05;}\n  .sq-teamnews__jersey{width:23px;height:20px;}\n}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 desktop: pitches side-by-side \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n@media(min-width:560px){\n  .sq-teamnews__teams{grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;}\n  .sq-teamnews__head{padding:18px 20px 17px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__h2{font-size:21px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__name{font-size:17px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pitch{min-height:372px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:11px;}\n}\n<\/style>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 HEADER \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__head\">\n    <div class=\"sq-teamnews__brandrow\">\n      <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__chev\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n        <path d=\"M4 5l7 7-7 7\" stroke=\"var(--sq-accent-2)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n        <path d=\"M13 5l7 7-7 7\" stroke=\"var(--sq-accent)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n      <\/svg>\n      <span class=\"sq-teamnews__kicker\">Team News<\/span>\n      <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pill\"><span class=\"sq-teamnews__pill-dot\"><\/span>Predicted<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n    <h2 class=\"sq-teamnews__h2\">Toluca vs Necaxa Predicted Lineups<\/h2>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 CAVEAT (predicted only) \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  \n  <p class=\"sq-teamnews__caveat\">\n    <svg width=\"14\" height=\"14\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n      <circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"9\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2\"\/>\n      <path d=\"M12 11.2v5M12 7.4v.4\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/>\n    <\/svg>\n    <span>Based on the XI each side started in their last match.<\/span>\n  <\/p>\n  \n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 TWO TEAMS, each on a pitch \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teams\">\n    \n    <section class=\"sq-teamnews__team\">\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teamhead\">\n        \n        <h3 class=\"sq-teamnews__name\">Toluca<\/h3>\n        <span class=\"sq-teamnews__formation\">4-2-3-1<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pitch\">\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--half\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--circle\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--spot\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxb\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalb\"><\/div>\n        <!-- bands render GK\u2192FWD; column-reverse puts GK at the goal end -->\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__bands\">\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"GK\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">H. Gonzalez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DEF\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">B. Garcia<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">Luan<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">B. Mendez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">D. Barbosa<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DM\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">F. Arce<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">V. Guzman<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"AM\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">A. Vega<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Angulo<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">Helinho<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"FWD\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Diaz<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    \n    <section class=\"sq-teamnews__team\">\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teamhead\">\n        \n        <h3 class=\"sq-teamnews__name\">Necaxa<\/h3>\n        <span class=\"sq-teamnews__formation\">3-4-2-1<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pitch\">\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--half\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--circle\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--spot\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxb\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalb\"><\/div>\n        <!-- bands render GK\u2192FWD; column-reverse puts GK at the goal end -->\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__bands\">\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"GK\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">L. Jimenez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DEF\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">A. Oliveros<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">F. Mendez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">R. Martinez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"MID\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">C. Vargas<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">D. Leyva<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">L. Faravelli<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">R. Monreal<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"AM\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Ruiz<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Torres<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"FWD\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Carranza<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    \n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 FOOTNOTES: one line per player with a note (any team) \u2500\u2500 -->\n  <ul class=\"sq-teamnews__notes\">\n    \n  <\/ul>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__foot\">\n    <svg width=\"13\" height=\"13\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n      <path d=\"M5 6l6 6-6 6\" stroke=\"var(--sq-primary)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n      <path d=\"M13 6l6 6-6 6\" stroke=\"var(--sq-primary)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n    <\/svg>\n    <span>Squawka \u00b7 Team News<\/span>\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ-LINEUPS-END -->\n<!-- SQ-LINEUPS-END -->\n\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Alexis Vega (Toluca):<\/strong> Toluca&#8217;s creative talisman already has a goal this Apertura and starts wide-left, cutting inside to shoot and pull the strings for the hosts.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jorge D&iacute;az (Toluca):<\/strong> The striker has a goal and three shots on target across the opening two rounds, a rate of 1.5 on target per 90 leading the Toluca line.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Helinho (Toluca):<\/strong> The Brazilian has laid on two assists in barely 121 minutes, roughly 1.5 per 90, and is the hosts&#8217; sharpest supply line from the right.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Juli&aacute;n Carranza (Necaxa):<\/strong> The summer signing has hit the ground running with two goals and an assist in his first two games, four of them on target &mdash; a goal a game so far.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n\n<h3>Toluca: W L<\/h3>\n\n<ul>\n<li>Jul 21, 2026: Toluca 1-2 Pumas UNAM (L, home)<\/li>\n<li>Jul 18, 2026: Chivas 0-2 Toluca (W, away)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p>Toluca have scored in each of their opening two games but paid for a soft night at home against Pumas. The road win at Chivas showed their ceiling.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Necaxa: W W<\/h3>\n\n<ul>\n<li>Jul 26, 2026: Necaxa 2-1 Monterrey (W, home)<\/li>\n<li>Jul 16, 2026: Necaxa 2-1 Atlante FC (W, away)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p>Two games, two 2-1 wins, and a 100% start that has Necaxa flying. They have scored twice each time but conceded in both, so this is a team that trades punches rather than shuts up shop.<\/p>\n\n<!-- SQ-SIGNAL-START --><!-- SQ-SIGNAL reserved: no Liga MX Signal model yet (\/us\/ only) --><!-- SQ-SIGNAL-END -->\n\n<h2>Toluca vs Necaxa Prediction<\/h2>\n\n<p>Necaxa arrive in the better shape, but this fixture keeps going one way. Toluca have won the last two meetings 3-0 and 3-1, they are the stronger side at home, and both the market and our read back them. We will side with a home win that has goals in it, <a rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Toluca to win<\/strong><\/a>, and lean the total over. For the wider picture, our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/soccer-predictions\/\">soccer predictions<\/a> and the full <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/liga-mx\/\">Liga MX<\/a> hub track every angle, while the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/liga-mx-fixtures-results\/\">schedule page<\/a> has the rest of the round. Prefer to shop the price? The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\">bet365 review<\/a> covers the sign-up. Kick-off is 9:00 PM ET at the Estadio Nemesio D&iacute;ez.<\/p>\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toluca host Necaxa at the Estadio Nemesio D&iacute;ez on Sunday, August 2 at 9:00 PM ET \/ 8:00 PM CT \/ 6:00 PM PT, with los Diablos Rojos backed to keep their grip on a fixture they have dominated of late. Our Toluca vs Necaxa prediction starts with a role reversal. Necaxa sit fourth in&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":28592,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"toluca vs necaxa prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Toluca vs Necaxa: Liga MX Predictions & Odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Our Toluca vs Necaxa prediction, picks and odds for Liga MX: Toluca are backed to beat an unbeaten Necaxa at home, with goals at both ends.","footnotes":""},"tags":[327],"news-category":[336],"class_list":["post-28593","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-liga-mx","news-category-liga-mx"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Toluca vs Necaxa: Liga MX Predictions &amp; Odds<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Toluca vs Necaxa prediction, picks and odds for Liga MX: Toluca are backed to beat an unbeaten Necaxa at home, with goals at both ends.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/liga-mx\/match-preview-toluca-vs-necaxa-08-02-26-liga-mx\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Toluca vs Necaxa: Predictions, Picks, Odds &amp; 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