{"id":22368,"date":"2026-07-12T10:01:36","date_gmt":"2026-07-12T14:01:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=22368"},"modified":"2026-07-12T10:02:55","modified_gmt":"2026-07-12T14:02:55","slug":"match-preview-england-vs-argentina-07-15-26-world-cup-2026-semifinals","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-england-vs-argentina-07-15-26-world-cup-2026-semifinals\/","title":{"rendered":"England vs Argentina: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Lineups"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>England meet Argentina on Wednesday, July 15 at 3:00 PM ET \/ 2:00 PM CT \/ 12:00 PM PT in the World Cup 2026 semi-finals, a heavyweight last-four tie with a place in the final at stake.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Our England vs Argentina prediction starts with two teams who keep finding a way. Both came through their quarter-finals in extra time &#8212; England edging Norway, Argentina seeing off Switzerland &#8212; and both carry a match-winner capable of settling a tight game on his own: Harry Kane for England, Lionel Messi for Argentina.<\/p>\n\n<p>The prediction market can barely separate them, making England marginal favorites with Argentina and the draw close behind &#8212; though our own Signal model leans Argentina, the side it rates more likely to reach the final. Either way, two sides who have won ugly as often as they have won well &#8212; and a semi-final that could turn on a single moment.<\/p>\n\n\n<style>\n.sq-bpg{--lime:#a8e039;--glow:#c8f24c;--tx:#f4f8f1;--mut:rgba(244,248,241,.62);--line:rgba(255,255,255,.10);--gold:#F7B500;--b365:#ffdd00;position:relative;overflow:hidden;isolation:isolate;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;color:var(--tx);max-width:960px;margin:12px auto 30px;border-radius:18px;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(168,224,57,.20) 0%,rgba(168,224,57,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0e3f29 0%,#0a2c1f 60%,#08251a 100%);box-shadow:0 18px 44px rgba(10,44,31,.32)}\n.sq-bpg 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.sq-bpg__ttl{font-size:21px}\n .sq-bpg__sub{font-size:14px}\n .sq-bpg__perf{gap:7px}\n .sq-bpg__siglink{margin-left:0;flex-basis:100%;margin-top:2px}\n .sq-bpg__row{grid-template-columns:1fr 96px;gap:10px}\n .sq-bpg__prob{font-size:22px}\n .sq-bpg__odd{font-size:11px;padding:2px 6px;line-height:1.3}\n .sq-bpg__act{padding:14px}\n .sq-bpg__act-txt{min-width:0}\n .sq-bpg__cta{width:100%;justify-content:center}\n .sq-bpg__altsbtn{flex:1 1 120px}\n}\n@media(max-width:400px){\n .sq-bpg__ttl{font-size:19px}\n .sq-bpg__pk{font-size:15px}\n .sq-bpg__why{font-size:12.5px}\n .sq-bpg__row{grid-template-columns:1fr 82px}\n .sq-bpg__prob{font-size:19px}\n .sq-bpg__altsbtn{flex:1 1 100%}\n}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sq-bpg\" id=\"sq-bpg-engarg\">\n <div class=\"sq-bpg__wrap\">\n  <input class=\"sq-bpg__r sq-bpg__r--us\" type=\"radio\" name=\"sqbpg-engarg\" id=\"sqbpg-us-engarg\" checked>\n  <input class=\"sq-bpg__r sq-bpg__r--row\" type=\"radio\" name=\"sqbpg-engarg\" id=\"sqbpg-row-engarg\">\n  <span class=\"sq-bpg__tag\">Best Bets<\/span>\n  <h2 class=\"sq-bpg__ttl\">England vs Argentina: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__sub\">Two of the tournament&#8217;s biggest names collide in the last four &#8212; Harry Kane against Lionel Messi &#8212; in a semi-final the market can barely split.<\/p>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__perf\">\n    <span class=\"sq-bpg__perf-h\">Squawka World Cup record<\/span>\n    <span class=\"sq-bpg__chip sq-bpg__chip--big\"><b>71%<\/b> hit rate<\/span>\n    <span class=\"sq-bpg__chip\">99 predictions settled<\/span>\n    <a class=\"sq-bpg__siglink\" href=\"#sq-signal-block\">See our Signal model verdict &darr;<\/a>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__geoq\">Where are you following from? Odds &amp; offers below update to match.<\/div>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__toggle\" role=\"tablist\">\n    <label class=\"sq-bpg__tab sq-bpg__tab--us\" for=\"sqbpg-us-engarg\">&#127482;&#127480; United States<span>Trade on Kalshi<\/span><\/label>\n    <label class=\"sq-bpg__tab sq-bpg__tab--row\" for=\"sqbpg-row-engarg\">&#127758; Outside the US<span>Odds via bet365<\/span><\/label>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__list\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Anytime Goalscorer\" data-selection=\"Lionel Messi\" data-prob=\"39\" data-odds=\"+156\" data-player-id=\"c5ryhn04g9goikd0blmh83aol\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Lionel Messi to score anytime<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Eight goals this tournament, level with Kane as the game&#8217;s shortest-priced scorer &#8212; Argentina&#8217;s talisman and match-winner.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">39%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+156 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Result\" data-selection=\"Argentina to Win\" data-prob=\"53\" data-odds=\"-113\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Argentina to reach the final<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__top\">Top pick<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Our Signal model makes Argentina the more likely to go through at 53% &#8212; Messi&#8217;s eight goals the difference, even if the market marginally prefers England.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">53%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">reach final<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">-113 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Over 2.5 Goals\" data-selection=\"Under 2.5\" data-prob=\"57\" data-odds=\"-133\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Under 2.5 Goals<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Both sides ground out extra-time quarter-finals and semis tend to tighten &#8212; the market&#8217;s clearest lean is on the low side.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">57%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">-133 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Both Teams to Score\" data-selection=\"No\" data-prob=\"46\" data-odds=\"+117\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Both Teams to Score: No<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">In a cautious, low-event game the likeliest shape is one side edged out with the other kept quiet.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">46%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+117 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Correct Score\" data-selection=\"Argentina 1-0\" data-prob=\"13\" data-odds=\"+700\">\n      <div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Correct Score: Argentina 1-0<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">The natural scoreline of a tight Argentina win settled by a single moment &#8212; Messi the man most likely to provide it.<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">13%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><a class=\"sq-bpg__odd\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">+700 @ bet365<\/a><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__approach\"><b>Our approach:<\/b> we side with our Signal model and back Argentina to reach the final, add Messi anytime, and expect a low-scoring semi-final between two sides who keep finding a way.<\/p>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__panel sq-bpg__panel--us\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__act\">\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__act-txt\"><b>Trade these markets on Kalshi<\/b><span>New users get $10 &#8212; trade $10 to unlock. USE CODE SQUAWKA. Prices update live.<\/span><\/div>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__cta sq-bpg__cta--kal\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Trade on Kalshi &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__altsdiv\"><\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__altslead\">If Kalshi isn&rsquo;t your choice, we also rate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\">Polymarket<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/prophetx\/\">ProphetX<\/a> &mdash; or compare the full lineup.<\/p>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__altsrow\">\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__altsbtn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" alt=\"Polymarket\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__altsbtn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/06\/12062936\/ProphetX.svg\" alt=\"ProphetX\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__altsbtn\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/best-prediction-markets\/\">Compare All &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__disc\">Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading, except our Signal model&#8217;s read on who reaches the final. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Polymarket excluded in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__panel sq-bpg__panel--row\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__act\">\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__act-txt\"><b>Back these with bet365<\/b><span>Odds shown for your region &#8212; toggle the odds beside each pick above.<\/span><\/div>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__cta sq-bpg__cta--b365\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Bet with bet365 &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__disc\">Odds shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+\/21+) and T&amp;Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2>World Cup Form &amp; Route to the Semi-Finals<\/h2>\n\n<p>England are unbeaten in six, but it has been a grind: a goalless draw with Ghana, then wins over Panama, DR Congo and Mexico before a 2-1 extra-time win over Norway in the quarter-final. Kane and Jude Bellingham have six goals each, yet Jordan Pickford has been busy with 12 saves and England have conceded in three straight.<\/p>\n\n<p>Argentina arrive on the same unbeaten run, and their road has been every bit as dramatic. Lionel Messi has eight goals, but Argentina needed extra time to beat Cape Verde and again to beat Switzerland 3-1 in the quarter-final, with a 3-2 win over Egypt in between. Fourteen goals scored and six conceded &#8212; they entertain and they leak in equal measure.<\/p>\n\n<!-- SQ-KALSHI-SLOT -->\n\n\n<!--KALSHI_PM_BLOCK_START-->\n<style>\n.sq-kalshi-block {\n  position: relative; overflow: hidden; border-radius: 18px;\n  margin: 28px 0; isolation: isolate;\n  background:\n    radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%, rgba(168,224,57,.22) 0%, rgba(168,224,57,0) 60%),\n    linear-gradient(135deg, #0e3f29 0%, #0a2c1f 60%, #08251a 100%);\n  box-shadow: 0 18px 44px rgba(10,44,31,.32);\n  font-family: 'Bricolage Grotesque', system-ui, -apple-system, sans-serif;\n  color: #f4f8f1;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__pattern {\n  position: absolute; inset: 0; z-index: -1;\n  background-image: url(\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20preserveAspectRatio%3D%22xMidYMid%20slice%22%20viewBox%3D%220%200%203000%203000%22%3E%3Cdefs%3E%3Cpattern%20id%3D%22a%22%20width%3D%2278%22%20height%3D%22175.5%22%20x%3D%220%22%20y%3D%220%22%20patternTransform%3D%22rotate%28-45%29%22%20patternUnits%3D%22userSpaceOnUse%22%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%2303261a%22%20d%3D%22m-38.22%20157.05-.78-78%2078-.78c.45%2043.12-34.12%2078.33-77.22%2078.78%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%2303261a%22%20d%3D%22M77.22%200%2078%2081.6l-78%20.78C-.45%2035.67%2034.12.45%2077.22%200%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%2303261a%22%20d%3D%22m37.78%20158.05-.78-78%2078-.78c.45%2043.12-34.12%2078.33-77.22%2078.78%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fpattern%3E%3C%2Fdefs%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%22100%25%22%20height%3D%22100%25%22%20fill%3D%22url%28%23a%29%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\");\n  background-position: top left;\n  background-size: 380px 380px;\n  opacity: .45;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__inner { padding: 28px 32px 26px; 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font-size: 13px; line-height: 1.55;\n  margin: 0 0 12px 0; letter-spacing: .1px;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__alts-lead a {\n  color: #a8e039; text-decoration: underline; text-underline-offset: 2px;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__alts-lead a:hover { color: #c8f24c; }\n.sq-kalshi-block__alts-row {\n  display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 10px; margin: 0 0 4px 0;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn {\n  display: inline-flex; align-items: center; justify-content: center; gap: 9px;\n  flex: 1 1 160px; min-width: 0;\n  background: var(--sq-purple, #5a26d6);\n  border: 1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.10); border-radius: 9px;\n  padding: 11px 14px;\n  color: #ffffff !important; font-weight: 800; font-size: 13px;\n  letter-spacing: .4px; text-decoration: none !important;\n  box-shadow: 0 4px 14px rgba(90,38,214,.30);\n  transition: transform .15s ease, box-shadow .15s ease, background .15s ease;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn:hover {\n  transform: translateY(-1px);\n  box-shadow: 0 6px 18px rgba(90,38,214,.45);\n  background: #6b34e8;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn img {\n  height: 18px; width: auto; display: block;\n  filter: brightness(0) invert(1); opacity: .97;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-tease {\n  border-left: 3px solid #a8e039;\n  padding: 8px 0 8px 14px;\n  margin: 18px 0;\n  font-size: 15px;\n  color: #15351f;\n  background: linear-gradient(90deg, rgba(168,224,57,.08), rgba(168,224,57,0) 80%);\n}\n.sq-kalshi-tease strong { color: #0a2c1f; font-weight: 800; }\n.sq-kalshi-tease a { color: #0a2c1f; font-weight: 700; text-decoration: underline; text-underline-offset: 2px; text-decoration-color: rgba(10,44,31,.4); }\n.sq-kalshi-tease a:hover { text-decoration-color: #a8e039; }\n@media (max-width: 600px) {\n  .sq-kalshi-block__inner { padding: 24px 22px 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block__title { font-size: 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block thead th, .sq-kalshi-block tbody td { padding: 9px 6px; font-size: 11.5px; }\n}\n<\/style>\n<section class=\"sq-kalshi-block\" id=\"prediction-markets\"><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__pattern\"><\/div><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__inner\"><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__badge\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Prediction Markets &middot; Live Odds<\/span><h2 class=\"sq-kalshi-block__title\">Win Probability &amp; Tournament Outlook<\/h2><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__meta\">Source: Kalshi prediction markets &middot; Updated minutes ago &middot; <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Read our full Kalshi review<\/a><\/p><p>The match-level read on Kalshi has England as the favourite. Traders are pricing England at <strong>38%<\/strong> to win, the draw at <strong>32%<\/strong>, and Argentina at <strong>31%<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Here is how Kalshi&#8217;s stage-of-elimination market prices each side&#8217;s tournament arc:<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Group exit<\/th><th>R32<\/th><th>R16<\/th><th>QF<\/th><th>SF<\/th><th>Runner-up<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>England<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>46%<\/td><td>33%<\/td><td>22%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Argentina<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>55%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p>Kalshi is the prediction-market platform available to US traders in all 50 states. Prices move with money, not a bookmaker&#8217;s margin, so the implied probabilities above read as a live market consensus.<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-scaled.png\" alt=\"Kalshi\" width=\"68\" height=\"18\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-text\">Trade on Kalshi &middot; USE CODE SQUAWKA &rarr;<\/span><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-sec\" href=\"\/us\/news\/world-cup-2026-predictions\/#prediction-markets\">See the full live tracker &rarr;<\/a><\/div><!--KALSHI_PM_ALTS_START--><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-divider\"><\/div><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-lead\">If Kalshi isn&rsquo;t your choice, we also rate <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\">Polymarket<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/prophetx\/\">ProphetX<\/a> &mdash; or compare the full lineup.<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" alt=\"Polymarket\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/06\/12062936\/ProphetX.svg\" alt=\"ProphetX\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/us\/bet\/best-prediction-markets\/\">Compare All &rarr;<\/a><\/div><!--KALSHI_PM_ALTS_END--><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__foot\">Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid\/last). Markets move &mdash; not financial advice. 21+. T&amp;Cs apply.<\/p><\/div><\/section>\n<!--KALSHI_PM_BLOCK_END-->\n\n\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n\n<h3>England: D W W W D<\/h3>\n\n<ul>\n<li>Jul 11: Norway 1-2 England (W, after extra time)<\/li>\n<li>Jul 5: Mexico 2-3 England (W)<\/li>\n<li>Jul 1: England 2-1 DR Congo (W)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 27: Panama 0-2 England (W)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 23: England 0-0 Ghana (D)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p>Unbeaten, but rarely comfortable &#8212; the Norway win needed extra time and the two goalless-or-tight games hint at a side that grinds results out rather than sweeping teams aside.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Argentina: W W D W D<\/h3>\n\n<ul>\n<li>Jul 11: Argentina 3-1 Switzerland (W, after extra time)<\/li>\n<li>Jul 7: Argentina 3-2 Egypt (W)<\/li>\n<li>Jul 3: Argentina 3-2 Cape Verde (W, after extra time)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 27: Jordan 1-3 Argentina (W)<\/li>\n<li>Jun 22: Argentina 2-0 Austria (W)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p>Two of these wins came after extra time, and the goals-for and goals-against columns tell the story &#8212; Argentina are box-office, but they have not kept things tight in the knockouts.<\/p>\n\n<!-- SQ-LINEUPS-START -->\n\n\n<div class=\"sq-teamnews sq-teamnews--theme-world-cup sq-teamnews--predicted\">\n<style>\n.sq-teamnews,.sq-teamnews *{box-sizing:border-box}\n.sq-teamnews{\n  \/* \u2500\u2500 THEME TOKENS \u2014 only these values change per competition \u2500\u2500 *\/\n  --sq-primary:#1B5E3B;      \/* forest green \u2014 accents, formation chip        *\/\n  --sq-accent:#A8E039;       \/* electric lime \u2014 chevron + confirmed pill      *\/\n  --sq-accent-2:#C8F24C;     \/* brighter lime \u2014 chevron highlight             *\/\n  --sq-gold:#F0B429;         \/* gold \u2014 goalkeeper jersey + note markers       *\/\n  --sq-ink:#16201b;          \/* body text                                     *\/\n  --sq-surface:#ffffff;      \/* card background                               *\/\n  --sq-ground:#F4F6F2;       \/* inset background                              *\/\n  --sq-line:#E4E7E2;         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.sq-teamnews__pill{background:rgba(240,180,41,.16);color:var(--sq-gold);border:1px solid rgba(240,180,41,.5);}\n.sq-teamnews--predicted .sq-teamnews__pill-dot{background:var(--sq-gold);}\n.sq-teamnews--confirmed .sq-teamnews__pill{background:var(--sq-accent);color:var(--sq-headB);border:1px solid var(--sq-accent);}\n.sq-teamnews--confirmed .sq-teamnews__pill-dot{background:var(--sq-headB);}\n.sq-teamnews__h2{position:relative;margin:0;font-size:18px;line-height:1.15;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.015em;color:#fff;text-wrap:balance;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 caveat \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__caveat{display:flex;gap:8px;align-items:flex-start;margin:0;padding:11px 18px;\n  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var(--sq-line);}\n.sq-teamnews__name{flex:1;margin:0;font-size:16px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.01em;}\n.sq-teamnews__formation{flex:none;font-size:12px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;color:var(--sq-primary);\n  background:rgba(27,94,59,.09);border:1px solid rgba(27,94,59,.2);border-radius:7px;padding:4px 9px;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 the pitch \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__pitch{position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:11px;min-height:330px;\n  background:repeating-linear-gradient(0deg,rgba(255,255,255,.045) 0 12.5%,rgba(0,0,0,.05) 12.5% 25%),\n    linear-gradient(180deg,var(--sq-turfA) 0%,var(--sq-turfB) 100%);\n  box-shadow:inset 0 0 0 2px rgba(255,255,255,.14),0 6px 18px -12px rgba(14,36,25,.5);}\n.sq-teamnews__pk{position:absolute;pointer-events:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--half{left:7%;right:7%;top:50%;border-top:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--circle{left:50%;top:50%;width:86px;height:86px;transform:translate(-50%,-50%);border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-radius:50%;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--spot{left:50%;top:50%;width:5px;height:5px;transform:translate(-50%,-50%);background:rgba(255,255,255,.3);border-radius:50%;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--boxb{left:24%;right:24%;bottom:0;height:19%;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-bottom:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--boxt{left:24%;right:24%;top:0;height:19%;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.18);border-top:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--goalb{left:41%;right:41%;bottom:-2px;height:7px;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.28);border-bottom:none;background:rgba(255,255,255,.06);}\n.sq-teamnews__pk--goalt{left:41%;right:41%;top:-2px;height:7px;border:2px solid rgba(255,255,255,.28);border-top:none;background:rgba(255,255,255,.06);}\n\/* bands: GK at the bottom (goal), FWD at the top (attacking) *\/\n.sq-teamnews__bands{position:absolute;inset:0;z-index:2;display:flex;flex-direction:column-reverse;padding:12px 4px;}\n.sq-teamnews__band{flex:1;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-evenly;gap:2px;}\n.sq-teamnews__node{display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:3px;flex:1;min-width:0;max-width:98px;}\n.sq-teamnews__jersey{width:27px;height:24px;flex:none;color:#ffffff;filter:drop-shadow(0 1px 2px rgba(0,0,0,.45));}\n.sq-teamnews__band[data-role=\"GK\"] .sq-teamnews__jersey{color:var(--sq-gold);}\n.sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:10.5px;font-weight:700;line-height:1.12;color:#fff;text-align:center;\n  letter-spacing:-.01em;max-width:100%;overflow-wrap:break-word;\n  text-shadow:0 1px 3px rgba(0,0,0,.75),0 0 2px rgba(0,0,0,.55);}\n.sq-teamnews__mark{color:var(--sq-gold);font-weight:800;}\nsup.sq-teamnews__mark{font-size:.72em;margin-left:1px;text-shadow:none;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 footnotes (auto-hides when there are none) \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__notes{list-style:none;margin:0;padding:14px 16px 2px;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:5px;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes:empty{display:none;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes li{font-size:11.5px;line-height:1.4;color:var(--sq-muted);}\n.sq-teamnews__notes strong{color:var(--sq-ink);font-weight:700;}\n.sq-teamnews__notes .sq-teamnews__mark{text-shadow:none;}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 footer \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n.sq-teamnews__foot{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:7px;margin-top:14px;padding:10px 16px;\n  border-top:1px solid var(--sq-line);background:var(--sq-ground);\n  font-size:10.5px;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;font-weight:700;color:var(--sq-muted);}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 narrow phones: stop the header pill + 4-across bands clipping \u2500\u2500 *\/\n@media(max-width:559px){\n  .sq-teamnews__head{padding:14px 14px 13px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__kicker{font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.12em;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pill{font-size:9.5px;padding:4px 9px;letter-spacing:.08em;}\n  .sq-teamnews__h2{font-size:16.5px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__teams{padding:12px;gap:12px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__bands{padding:10px 2px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__band{gap:1px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__node{max-width:none;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:9px;line-height:1.05;}\n  .sq-teamnews__jersey{width:23px;height:20px;}\n}\n\/* \u2500\u2500 desktop: pitches side-by-side \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 *\/\n@media(min-width:560px){\n  .sq-teamnews__teams{grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;}\n  .sq-teamnews__head{padding:18px 20px 17px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__h2{font-size:21px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__name{font-size:17px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pitch{min-height:372px;}\n  .sq-teamnews__pname{font-size:11px;}\n}\n<\/style>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 HEADER \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__head\">\n    <div class=\"sq-teamnews__brandrow\">\n      <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__chev\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n        <path d=\"M4 5l7 7-7 7\" stroke=\"var(--sq-accent-2)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n        <path d=\"M13 5l7 7-7 7\" stroke=\"var(--sq-accent)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n      <\/svg>\n      <span class=\"sq-teamnews__kicker\">Team News<\/span>\n      <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pill\"><span class=\"sq-teamnews__pill-dot\"><\/span>Predicted<\/span>\n    <\/div>\n    <h2 class=\"sq-teamnews__h2\">England vs Argentina Predicted Lineups<\/h2>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 CAVEAT (predicted only) \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  \n  <p class=\"sq-teamnews__caveat\">\n    <svg width=\"14\" height=\"14\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n      <circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"9\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2\"\/>\n      <path d=\"M12 11.2v5M12 7.4v.4\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"2\" stroke-linecap=\"round\"\/>\n    <\/svg>\n    <span>Based on the XI each side started in their last match.<\/span>\n  <\/p>\n  \n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 TWO TEAMS, each on a pitch \u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500\u2500 -->\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teams\">\n    \n    <section class=\"sq-teamnews__team\">\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teamhead\">\n        \n        <h3 class=\"sq-teamnews__name\">England<\/h3>\n        <span class=\"sq-teamnews__formation\">4-2-3-1<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pitch\">\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--half\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--circle\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--spot\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxb\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalb\"><\/div>\n        <!-- bands render GK\u2192FWD; column-reverse puts GK at the goal end -->\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__bands\">\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"GK\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Pickford<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DEF\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">N. O&#39;Reilly<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">M. Guehi<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Stones<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Quansah<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DM\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">E. Anderson<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">D. Rice<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"AM\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">A. Gordon<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Bellingham<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">N. Madueke<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"FWD\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">H. Kane<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    \n    <section class=\"sq-teamnews__team\">\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__teamhead\">\n        \n        <h3 class=\"sq-teamnews__name\">Argentina<\/h3>\n        <span class=\"sq-teamnews__formation\">4-1-3-2<\/span>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pitch\">\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalt\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--half\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--circle\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--spot\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--boxb\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__pk sq-teamnews__pk--goalb\"><\/div>\n        <!-- bands render GK\u2192FWD; column-reverse puts GK at the goal end -->\n        <div class=\"sq-teamnews__bands\">\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"GK\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">E. Martinez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DEF\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">N. Tagliafico<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">L. Martinez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">C. Romero<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">N. Molina<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"DM\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">L. Paredes<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"MID\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">A. Mac Allister<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">E. Fernandez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">R. De Paul<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n          <div class=\"sq-teamnews__band\" data-role=\"FWD\">\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">J. Alvarez<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n            <div class=\"sq-teamnews__node\">\n              <svg class=\"sq-teamnews__jersey\" viewBox=\"0 0 36 32\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" stroke=\"rgba(0,0,0,.22)\" stroke-width=\"1\" d=\"M13 3 4 7 1 14 6 17 10 14 10 30 26 30 26 14 30 17 35 14 32 7 23 3C22 7 14 7 13 3Z\"\/><\/svg>\n              <span class=\"sq-teamnews__pname\">L. Messi<\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            \n          <\/div>\n          \n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    \n  <\/div>\n\n  <!-- \u2500\u2500 FOOTNOTES: one line per player with a note (any team) \u2500\u2500 -->\n  <ul class=\"sq-teamnews__notes\">\n    \n  <\/ul>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-teamnews__foot\">\n    <svg width=\"13\" height=\"13\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n      <path d=\"M5 6l6 6-6 6\" stroke=\"var(--sq-primary)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n      <path d=\"M13 6l6 6-6 6\" stroke=\"var(--sq-primary)\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/>\n    <\/svg>\n    <span>Squawka \u00b7 Team News<\/span>\n  <\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ-LINEUPS-END -->\n\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Harry Kane (England):<\/strong> six goals off 12 shots on target &#8212; England&#8217;s focal point and the man they look to when a game needs settling.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jude Bellingham (England):<\/strong> also on six goals from midfield off an xG of 3.63, giving England a second scorer arriving late into the box.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Lionel Messi (Argentina):<\/strong> eight goals and a tournament-high 21 chances created &#8212; the defining player of the World Cup so far and Argentina&#8217;s everything.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Lautaro Mart&iacute;nez (Argentina):<\/strong> two goals but an xG of 3.00 from a central role; overdue a big one and the natural finisher to Messi&#8217;s supply.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<!-- SQ-SIGNAL-START --><span id=\"sq-signal-block\"><\/span>\n\n<div class=\"sq-sigp\" style=\"font-family:inherit;color:#f4f8f1;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(168,224,57,.18) 0%,rgba(168,224,57,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0e3f29 0%,#0a2c1f 60%,#08251a 100%);border-radius:16px;overflow:hidden;box-shadow:0 18px 42px -28px rgba(10,44,31,.6);margin:24px 0 32px\">\n<style>.sq-sigp *{box-sizing:border-box}.sq-sigp a{text-decoration:none;font-weight:800}.sq-sigp__in{padding:22px 22px 20px}@media(min-width:560px){.sq-sigp__in{padding:26px 28px 24px}}<\/style>\n<div class=\"sq-sigp__in\">\n  <div style=\"display:flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;margin-bottom:6px\">\n    <svg width=\"18\" height=\"18\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M4 5l7 7-7 7\" stroke=\"#a8e039\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><path d=\"M13 5l7 7-7 7\" stroke=\"#a8e039\" stroke-width=\"3\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"\/><\/svg>\n    <span style=\"font-size:11px;letter-spacing:.2em;text-transform:uppercase;font-weight:900;color:#a8e039\">Squawka Signal<\/span>\n    <span style=\"margin-left:auto;font-size:10.5px;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;font-weight:700;color:#d0b6ff;background:rgba(90,38,214,.28);border:1px solid rgba(208,182,255,.4);border-radius:999px;padding:4px 10px\">Data model<\/span>\n  <\/div>\n  <h2 style=\"margin:0 0 3px;font-size:20px;font-weight:900;letter-spacing:-.02em;color:#fff\">England vs Argentina: the model read<\/h2>\n  <p style=\"margin:0 0 18px;font-size:12.5px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.6)\">Squawka Signal &mdash; win probability, tournament outlook &amp; Golden Boot watch. Updated daily.<\/p>\n  <div style=\"display:flex;justify-content:space-between;align-items:center;font-weight:800;font-size:13.5px;margin-bottom:7px\">\n    <span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:8px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB2aWV3Qm94PSIwIDAgNjAgNDAiIHByZXNlcnZlQXNwZWN0UmF0aW89InhNaWRZTWlkIHNsaWNlIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjxyZWN0IHdpZHRoPSI2MCIgaGVpZ2h0PSI0MCIgZmlsbD0iI2ZmZmZmZiIvPjxyZWN0IHg9IjI1IiB5PSIwIiB3aWR0aD0iMTAiIGhlaWdodD0iNDAiIGZpbGw9IiNjZTExMjQiLz48cmVjdCB4PSIwIiB5PSIxNSIgd2lkdGg9IjYwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjEwIiBmaWxsPSIjY2UxMTI0Ii8+PC9zdmc+\" width=\"22\" height=\"14\" style=\"border-radius:3px;box-shadow:0 0 0 1px rgba(255,255,255,.2);vertical-align:middle\" alt=\"\">England<\/span>\n    <span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:8px\">Argentina<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,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\" width=\"22\" height=\"14\" style=\"border-radius:3px;box-shadow:0 0 0 1px rgba(255,255,255,.2);vertical-align:middle\" alt=\"\"><\/span>\n  <\/div>\n  <div style=\"display:flex;height:34px;border-radius:9px;overflow:hidden;font-weight:900;font-size:14px\">\n    <div style=\"width:47%;background:#a8e039;color:#0a2c1f;display:flex;align-items:center;padding:0 12px\">47%<\/div>\n    <div style=\"width:53%;background:rgba(255,255,255,.14);color:#fff;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:flex-end;padding:0 12px\">53%<\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <p style=\"margin:7px 0 18px;font-size:11px;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;color:rgba(255,255,255,.45);font-weight:700\">Single-match win probability (draws split on penalties)<\/p>\n  <div style=\"display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 1fr;gap:12px;margin-bottom:16px\"><div style=\"background:rgba(8,37,26,.5);border:1px solid rgba(168,224,57,.18);border-radius:13px;padding:14px 15px\"><div style=\"display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;font-weight:800;font-size:13px;margin-bottom:10px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB2aWV3Qm94PSIwIDAgNjAgNDAiIHByZXNlcnZlQXNwZWN0UmF0aW89InhNaWRZTWlkIHNsaWNlIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjxyZWN0IHdpZHRoPSI2MCIgaGVpZ2h0PSI0MCIgZmlsbD0iI2ZmZmZmZiIvPjxyZWN0IHg9IjI1IiB5PSIwIiB3aWR0aD0iMTAiIGhlaWdodD0iNDAiIGZpbGw9IiNjZTExMjQiLz48cmVjdCB4PSIwIiB5PSIxNSIgd2lkdGg9IjYwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjEwIiBmaWxsPSIjY2UxMTI0Ii8+PC9zdmc+\" width=\"20\" height=\"13\" style=\"border-radius:3px;box-shadow:0 0 0 1px rgba(255,255,255,.2);vertical-align:middle\" alt=\"\">England<\/div><div style=\"display:flex;gap:16px\"><div><div style=\"font-size:26px;font-weight:900;color:#a8e039;line-height:1\">47%<\/div><div style=\"font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.1em;text-transform:uppercase;color:rgba(255,255,255,.5);font-weight:700;margin-top:3px\">Reach final<\/div><\/div><div><div style=\"font-size:26px;font-weight:900;color:#fff;line-height:1\">17%<\/div><div style=\"font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.1em;text-transform:uppercase;color:rgba(255,255,255,.5);font-weight:700;margin-top:3px\">Win it<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div style=\"background:rgba(8,37,26,.5);border:1px solid rgba(168,224,57,.18);border-radius:13px;padding:14px 15px\"><div style=\"display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;font-weight:800;font-size:13px;margin-bottom:10px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,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\" width=\"20\" height=\"13\" style=\"border-radius:3px;box-shadow:0 0 0 1px rgba(255,255,255,.2);vertical-align:middle\" alt=\"\">Argentina<\/div><div style=\"display:flex;gap:16px\"><div><div style=\"font-size:26px;font-weight:900;color:#a8e039;line-height:1\">53%<\/div><div style=\"font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.1em;text-transform:uppercase;color:rgba(255,255,255,.5);font-weight:700;margin-top:3px\">Reach final<\/div><\/div><div><div style=\"font-size:26px;font-weight:900;color:#fff;line-height:1\">22%<\/div><div style=\"font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.1em;text-transform:uppercase;color:rgba(255,255,255,.5);font-weight:700;margin-top:3px\">Win it<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n  <div style=\"margin-bottom:16px\">\n    <div style=\"font-size:11px;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:#a8e039;font-weight:800;margin-bottom:9px\">Golden Boot watch<\/div>\n    <div style=\"display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:8px\"><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:7px;background:rgba(8,37,26,.55);border:1px solid rgba(168,224,57,.18);border-radius:999px;padding:6px 12px;font-weight:800;font-size:13px;color:#fff\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB2aWV3Qm94PSIwIDAgNjAgNDAiIHByZXNlcnZlQXNwZWN0UmF0aW89InhNaWRZTWlkIHNsaWNlIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjxyZWN0IHdpZHRoPSI2MCIgaGVpZ2h0PSI0MCIgZmlsbD0iI2ZmZmZmZiIvPjxyZWN0IHg9IjI1IiB5PSIwIiB3aWR0aD0iMTAiIGhlaWdodD0iNDAiIGZpbGw9IiNjZTExMjQiLz48cmVjdCB4PSIwIiB5PSIxNSIgd2lkdGg9IjYwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjEwIiBmaWxsPSIjY2UxMTI0Ii8+PC9zdmc+\" width=\"20\" height=\"13\" style=\"border-radius:3px;box-shadow:0 0 0 1px rgba(255,255,255,.2);vertical-align:middle\" alt=\"\">Jude Bellingham <b style=\"color:#a8e039\">6<\/b><\/span><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:7px;background:rgba(8,37,26,.55);border:1px solid rgba(168,224,57,.18);border-radius:999px;padding:6px 12px;font-weight:800;font-size:13px;color:#fff\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,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\" width=\"20\" height=\"13\" style=\"border-radius:3px;box-shadow:0 0 0 1px rgba(255,255,255,.2);vertical-align:middle\" alt=\"\">Lionel Messi <b style=\"color:#a8e039\">8<\/b><\/span><\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <div style=\"display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;gap:10px\">\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/world-cup-2026-outright-odds\/\" style=\"flex:1;min-width:180px;text-align:center;background:#5a26d6;color:#fff;border-radius:9px;padding:11px 14px;font-size:12.5px;letter-spacing:.04em\">Tournament Winner Signal &rarr;<\/a>\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/world-cup-2026-golden-boot-odds\/\" style=\"flex:1;min-width:180px;text-align:center;background:transparent;border:1.5px solid #5a26d6;color:#d0b6ff;border-radius:9px;padding:11px 14px;font-size:12.5px;letter-spacing:.04em\">Golden Boot Signal &rarr;<\/a>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ-SIGNAL-END -->\n\n<h2>England vs Argentina Prediction<\/h2>\n\n<p>This is the tie the tournament wanted: Kane against Messi, two sides who refuse to lose. Neither has been convincing defensively in the knockouts, yet both keep advancing, and the market can barely tell them apart. We expect a tense, low-scoring semi-final decided by a single moment rather than an avalanche of goals. The market edges England, but our Signal model leans Argentina at 53%, and we come down on our model&#8217;s side: <a href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Argentina to reach the final<\/strong><\/a>, with Messi anytime, the under and a tight finish the supporting plays. England will be without the suspended Ezri Konsa at the back, with Quansah in line to deputise. New to prediction markets? Our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Kalshi review<\/a> explains how it works, and there is more on the run-in at our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/world-cup-2026\/\">World Cup 2026 hub<\/a>. Kick-off is 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday.<\/p>\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>England meet Argentina on Wednesday, July 15 at 3:00 PM ET \/ 2:00 PM CT \/ 12:00 PM PT in the World Cup 2026 semi-finals, a heavyweight last-four tie with a place in the final at stake. Our England vs Argentina prediction starts with two teams who keep finding a way. Both came through their&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":22370,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"england vs argentina prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"England vs Argentina: World Cup 2026 Prediction | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"England vs Argentina prediction, picks and odds for the World Cup 2026 semi-final. Kane and Messi headline a tight last-four tie.","footnotes":""},"tags":[273],"news-category":[328],"class_list":["post-22368","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-world-cup-2026","news-category-world-cup"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>England vs Argentina: World Cup 2026 Prediction | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"England vs Argentina prediction, picks and odds for the World Cup 2026 semi-final. 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