{"id":1861,"date":"2026-02-24T10:44:51","date_gmt":"2026-02-24T15:44:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1861"},"modified":"2026-04-14T11:09:59","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T15:09:59","slug":"match-preview-atalanta-vs-borussia-dortmund-25-02-26-champions-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-atalanta-vs-borussia-dortmund-25-02-26-champions-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Borussia Dortmund travel to Bergamo for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/champions-league\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Champions League<\/a> knockout tie against Atalanta, with the German side aiming to reach the last 16 on Wednesday evening. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Having recently triumphed 2-0 in Dortmund, confidence is high for the visitors, but Atalanta\u2019s underlying numbers suggest this tie is far from over. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday at the New Balance Arena, where both teams carry plenty of attacking threat despite differing fortunes in front of goal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Our Prediction<\/th><th>Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th><th>Confidence<\/th><th>Why We\u2019re Backing It<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-163 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Both teams have scored in two of the last three meetings. Dortmund are averaging over 2 goals per game in Europe (21 in 9), while Atalanta\u2019s xG (17.43) suggests they\u2019re due to convert more. Defensive slips on both sides add value to this market.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Borussia Dortmund to Win<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">+225 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Dortmund have won two of the last three head-to-heads, including a convincing 2-0 win just days ago. They\u2019ve outperformed their xG by nearly double, showing ruthless finishing, and feature all three of the top attacking contributors so far in the competition.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Over 2.5 Goals<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-150 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Recent H2Hs average 2.7 goals per game. Dortmund matches have seen 38 goals in 9 (over 4 per game), while Atalanta create chances but struggle to convert. Expect open football as both sides need a result.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both sides had to navigate the play-off route after missing out on automatic qualification to the last 16 during the league phase. Atalanta showed greater consistency with four wins from eight matches, demonstrating defensive solidity with an even goal difference. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dortmund, meanwhile, proved more unpredictable\u2014capable of explosive attacking performances that yielded 19 goals, but equally vulnerable at the back, with 17 conceded. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While Atalanta&#8217;s balanced approach earned them 13 points and 15th place, Dortmund&#8217;s style left them 17th with 11 points, despite their superior firepower suggesting they could hurt any opponent on their day. Despite this, after a 2-0 first leg defeat, Atalanta have it all to do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Pos<\/th><th>P<\/th><th>W<\/th><th>D<\/th><th>L<\/th><th>GF<\/th><th>GA<\/th><th>GD<\/th><th>Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Atalanta<\/td><td>15<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>4<\/td><td>1<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Borussia Dortmund<\/td><td>17<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>19<\/td><td>17<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>11<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund): <\/strong>4 goals, 3 assists, and a remarkable 62.5% shot accuracy in Europe this season. Averaging a direct goal involvement every 155 minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Felix Nmecha (Borussia Dortmund):<\/strong> 11 big chance assists, 3 goals, and 86.6% pass accuracy \u2013 Dortmund\u2019s main creative threat, setting up more key chances than any other player from Dortmund or Atalanta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Julian Brandt (Borussia Dortmund):<\/strong> 3 goals, 5 big chance assists, and a reliable presence both in front of goal and in build-up play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Atalanta: <\/strong>While no individual stands out statistically, expect regulars like Scamacca or Raspadori to shoulder attacking responsibility, especially at home where Atalanta\u2019s xG remains high (17.43 across 9 games).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-3-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 3 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Borussia Dortmund have the edge in the recent head-to-head, unbeaten in their last three against Atalanta with two wins and a draw. Recent contests have been competitive, but Dortmund\u2019s firepower has proved decisive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Score<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>17\/02\/26<\/td><td>Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Europe<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>22\/02\/18<\/td><td>Atalanta 1-1 Borussia Dortmund<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Europe<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15\/02\/18<\/td><td>Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Atalanta<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Europe<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-atalanta-vs-borussia-dortmund-prediction\">Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This tie has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair, with Dortmund\u2019s clinical finishing and Atalanta\u2019s strong xG hinting at goals at both ends. The visitors\u2019 head-to-head record and superior attacking statistics make <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Borussia Dortmund to win at +225 with Bet365<\/a> a tempting value, but the safest play remains <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">both teams to score at -163 with Bet365<\/a>. Whether the hosts can finally convert their chances or Dortmund\u2019s forwards keep their hot streak alive, this is set to be a thrilling European contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>More Champions League stats:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-standings\/\">UCL standings<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-top-scorers\/\">Top scorers<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-assist-leaders\/\">Assist leaders<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-stats\/\">Full UCL stats hub<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Borussia Dortmund travel to Bergamo for a Champions League knockout tie against Atalanta, with the German side aiming to reach the last 16 on Wednesday evening. Having recently triumphed 2-0 in Dortmund, confidence is high for the visitors, but Atalanta\u2019s underlying numbers suggest this tie is far from over. Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":1863,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1861","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats - Squawka | US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-atalanta-vs-borussia-dortmund-25-02-26-champions-league\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Atalanta vs Borussia Dortmund: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Borussia Dortmund travel to Bergamo for a Champions League knockout tie against Atalanta, with the German side aiming to reach the last 16 on Wednesday evening. 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