{"id":1838,"date":"2026-02-23T12:14:15","date_gmt":"2026-02-23T17:14:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1838"},"modified":"2026-04-14T11:09:57","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T15:09:57","slug":"match-preview-real-madrid-vs-benfica-25-02-26-champions-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-real-madrid-vs-benfica-25-02-26-champions-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Real Madrid vs Benfica: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>With both teams having claimed a win apiece in their recent head-to-heads, Real Madrid and Benfica meet in a finely poised <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/champions-league\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">UEFA Champions League<\/a> clash at the Santiago Bernab\u00e9u. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, 25 February, and the storyline is shaped by Madrid\u2019s clinical attacking edge and Benfica\u2019s search for improved efficiency in the final third, with Real holding a slender 1-0 aggregate lead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Our Prediction<\/th><th>Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th><th>Confidence<\/th><th>Why We\u2019re Backing It<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Real Madrid to Win<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-222 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Madrid have outperformed their expected goals (22 scored from 16.96 xG), indicating clinical finishing. Benfica, by contrast, have underperformed (15 from 20.05 xG). At home, Madrid\u2019s ball retention and pass accuracy (88%) give them a decisive edge.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Both Teams to Score \u2013 Yes<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-163 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Benfica have created plenty of chances (20.05 xG, 182 shots) and Madrid have conceded in six out of nine UCL games. Both sides possess attacking threats, and Benfica have to come at their hosts.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Real Madrid\u2019s journey to the play-offs was defined by their clinical attack, scoring 21 goals and narrowly missing out on the top eight due to some defensive lapses. Benfica, in contrast, endured a turbulent campaign, finishing 24th with just 9 points \u2014 squeezing into the playoffs on goal difference. Their struggles were highlighted by an inability to convert chances, scoring only 10 goals from an expected 20.05 xG. After a narrow 1-0 win for Madrid in the first leg, Benfica must find their finishing touch to stand any chance of turning the tie around at the Bernab\u00e9u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Pos<\/th><th>P<\/th><th>W<\/th><th>D<\/th><th>L<\/th><th>GF<\/th><th>GA<\/th><th>GD<\/th><th>Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Real Madrid<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>5<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>21<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>+9<\/td><td>15<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Benfica<\/td><td>24<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>5<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>-2<\/td><td>9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 (Real Madrid)<\/strong> \u2013 Averaging 1.44 goals per Champions League game (13 in 9), with a shot accuracy above 52%. The Frenchman\u2019s directness and finishing make him the top threat in this tie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Vin\u00edcius J\u00fanior (Real Madrid)<\/strong> \u2013 A key creative outlet, often providing width and dangerous dribbles, and likely to supply Mbapp\u00e9 with chances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Evangelos Pavlidis (Benfica) <\/strong>\u2013 One of Benfica\u2019s most likely goal threats, tasked with converting more of the team\u2019s opportunities given their high xG tally.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica) <\/strong>\u2013 Capable of creating and finishing chances; Benfica will need his sharpness if they\u2019re to match Madrid\u2019s firepower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-two-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last two Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>These sides have met twice in the last month, with Benfica claiming a decisive victory in the league phase meeting before Real Madrid took edged the most recent encounter in Lisbon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Score<\/th><th>Competition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>17\/02\/26<\/td><td>Benfica 0-1 Real Madrid<\/td><td>UEFA Champions League<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>28\/01\/26<\/td><td>Benfica 4-2 Real Madrid<\/td><td>UEFA Champions League<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-real-madrid-vs-benfica-prediction\">Real Madrid vs Benfica prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Madrid\u2019s clinical edge, led by Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 and a high pass accuracy, is likely to be decisive against a Benfica side who are creating chances but struggling to convert. Benfica\u2019s attacking volume cannot be ignored, but unless they find a ruthless touch in front of goal, Madrid\u2019s finishing quality should prove the difference. We&#8217;re expecting a home win at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-222 with Bet365<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More Champions League stats:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-standings\/\">UCL standings<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-top-scorers\/\">Top scorers<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-assist-leaders\/\">Assist leaders<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-stats\/\">Full UCL stats hub<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With both teams having claimed a win apiece in their recent head-to-heads, Real Madrid and Benfica meet in a finely poised UEFA Champions League clash at the Santiago Bernab\u00e9u. Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, 25 February, and the storyline is shaped by Madrid\u2019s clinical attacking edge and Benfica\u2019s search for improved&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":1841,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1838","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Real Madrid vs Benfica: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats - Squawka | US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-real-madrid-vs-benfica-25-02-26-champions-league\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Real Madrid vs Benfica: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"With both teams having claimed a win apiece in their recent head-to-heads, Real Madrid and Benfica meet in a finely poised UEFA Champions League clash at the Santiago Bernab\u00e9u. 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