{"id":1694,"date":"2026-02-18T16:46:42","date_gmt":"2026-02-18T21:46:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=1694"},"modified":"2026-04-14T11:08:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T15:08:53","slug":"chelsea-vs-burnley-predictions-odds-picks-stats-preview","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/chelsea-vs-burnley-predictions-odds-picks-stats-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Chelsea vs Burnley prediction: Odds, picks & stats – EPL game preview"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Chelsea look to tighten their grip on a European place this weekend as they host a Burnley side fighting desperately to escape the Premier League<\/a> relegation zone. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Recent meetings have been one-sided, and with Burnley\u2019s defense leaking goals all season, the pressure is squarely on the visitors to upset the odds in West London.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on Chelsea\u2019s attacking firepower and Burnley\u2019s struggles at both ends, here are our top betting recommendations for this 2025-26 Premier League matchup. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We\u2019re especially confident in Chelsea to win comfortably, given their dominance in the head-to-head and Burnley\u2019s defensive record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Chelsea to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-455 @ Bet365<\/a>
(81.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nChelsea have won nine of the last 13 vs Burnley; home side averages 1.8 goals per game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-227 @ Bet365<\/a>
(69.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBurnley concede nearly two goals per game; Chelsea create big chances in bunches.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Chelsea to Win to Nil<\/strong><\/td>\n-125 @ Bet365<\/a>
(55.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBurnley have failed to score in six of their last 10 away league matches.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n-125 @ Bet365<\/a>
(55.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nChelsea boast nine clean sheets; Burnley have only 28 goals in 26 games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: Start with Chelsea to Win, add Over 2.5 Goals for parlay potential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Chelsea\u2019s 2025-26 campaign has been a model of consistency, with the Blues sitting fifth after 26 matches thanks to 12 wins, eight draws, and only six losses. Their positive goal difference of +17 is the product of a potent attack and a resilient defense. Burnley, by contrast, remain deep in the relegation battle, winning just four times and conceding a league-high 51 goals. Their 18-point total leaves them in nineteenth, and only a dramatic improvement will see them survive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2025-26 Premier League Standings<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Chelsea<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n30<\/td>\n+17<\/td>\n44<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Burnley<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n-23<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n