{"id":1601,"date":"2026-02-17T08:12:26","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T13:12:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1601"},"modified":"2026-04-14T11:09:51","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T15:09:51","slug":"qarabag-vs-newcastle-united-predictions-stats-tips-odds-preview","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/qarabag-vs-newcastle-united-predictions-stats-tips-odds-preview\/","title":{"rendered":"Qarabag vs Newcastle United: Predictions, odds, picks &#038; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Newcastle United travel to face Qarabag in a high-stakes UEFA Champions League play-off clash where contrasting season form and attacking threats on both sides promise a compelling contest. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With no prior competitive meetings between these clubs, all eyes will be on how Newcastle\u2019s clinical finishing matches up against Qarabag\u2019s creative midfielders. The action unfolds at Qarabag\u2019s Azersun Arena, with kick-off scheduled for 12:45 PM ET on Wednesday 18th February 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on season-long metrics and attacking trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We\u2019re particularly confident in Newcastle United to secure the win, given their defensive record, superior shot accuracy, and the attacking form of Anthony Gordon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Our Prediction<\/th><th>Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th><th>Confidence<\/th><th>Why We\u2019re Backing It<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Newcastle United to Win<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-238 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>We are backing Newcastle to win because they have a 50% win rate from 8 European matches, a +10 goal difference, and a shot accuracy of 50.8%. Qarabag, by contrast, have conceded almost as many as they\u2019ve scored and have a negative goal difference.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Both Teams to Score \u2013 Yes<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-125 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>There could be value here: Qarabag average two goals per game this season, while Newcastle have found the net 17 times in 8 matches. Both teams possess top scorers in form, and Qarabag\u2019s defence has allowed 21 goals in 8 European outings.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Kevin Medina to be Booked<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">+150 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>We are backing Medina to be carded due to the likely pressure he\u2019ll face from Newcastle\u2019s wide attackers and a robust defensive workload. At +150 the price looks appealing for a regular in the referee\u2019s book in European games.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Both teams took contrasting paths to the knockout play-offs. Newcastle secured a comfortable 12th-place finish in the league phase with 14 points, built on a solid defence that conceded just seven goals \u2014the best record of any team in the play-offs. Their attack, led by Anthony Gordon, proved efficient. Qarabag, meanwhile, scraped through in 22nd place with 10 points, relying on their potent attack that netted an impressive 22 goals. However, their defensive frailties were exposed, shipping 21 goals and leaving them with a negative goal difference, a stark contrast to Newcastle\u2019s disciplined backline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Pos<\/th><th>P<\/th><th>W<\/th><th>D<\/th><th>L<\/th><th>GF<\/th><th>GA<\/th><th>GD<\/th><th>Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Newcastle United<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>4<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>17<\/td><td>7<\/td><td>+10<\/td><td>14<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Qaraba\u011f<\/td><td>22<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>1<\/td><td>4<\/td><td>22<\/td><td>21<\/td><td>-8<\/td><td>10<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Anthony Gordon (Newcastle United):<\/strong> 6 goals and 2 assists in 8 European matches, averaging 1 goal contribution every game. Shot accuracy of 50.8% makes him Newcastle\u2019s most efficient finisher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Leandro Andrade (Qarabag): <\/strong>6 goals, 2 assists and 8 big chance assists in 14 games; Qarabag\u2019s leading scorer and a constant creative threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Abdellah Zoubir (Qarabag):<\/strong> 3 assists and a remarkable 14 big chance assists this season, with an outstanding 90% pass accuracy \u2013 expect him to dictate Qarabag\u2019s attacking play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Harvey Barnes (Newcastle United):<\/strong> 5 goals in 8 matches, sharing the attacking load and providing another option for Newcastle in front of goal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-qarabag-vs-newcastle-prediction\">Qarabag vs Newcastle prediction<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Will Newcastle United\u2019s defensive solidity and clinical attack prove too much for Qarabag\u2019s creative midfielders at home? With both sides boasting in-form attackers and a first-ever meeting adding to the intrigue, this tie could produce goals and drama. Backing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Newcastle to win at -238 with Bet365<\/a> looks a solid choice, but those seeking value might also consider both teams to get on the scoresheet at -125 with Bet365.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More Champions League stats:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-standings\/\">UCL standings<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-top-scorers\/\">Top scorers<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-assist-leaders\/\">Assist leaders<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-stats\/\">Full UCL stats hub<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Newcastle United travel to face Qarabag in a high-stakes UEFA Champions League play-off clash where contrasting season form and attacking threats on both sides promise a compelling contest. With no prior competitive meetings between these clubs, all eyes will be on how Newcastle\u2019s clinical finishing matches up against Qarabag\u2019s creative midfielders. The action unfolds at&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":1603,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1601","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Qarabag vs Newcastle United: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats - Squawka | US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/qarabag-vs-newcastle-united-predictions-stats-tips-odds-preview\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Qarabag vs Newcastle United: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Newcastle United travel to face Qarabag in a high-stakes UEFA Champions League play-off clash where contrasting season form and attacking threats on both sides promise a compelling contest. 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