{"id":1597,"date":"2026-02-17T07:34:09","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T12:34:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1597"},"modified":"2026-04-14T11:09:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T15:09:49","slug":"match-preview-benfica-vs-real-madrid-17-02-26-champions-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-benfica-vs-real-madrid-17-02-26-champions-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Benfica vs Real Madrid: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Benfica and Real Madrid meet in what is sure to be a captivating affair in the Champions League knockout first-leg tie on Tuesday. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jose Mourinho will have his troops ready for battle at the Estadio da Luz, with the game kicking off at 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday 17 February. Find our best bets and match preview below.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Real Madrid\u2019s clinical finishing and Benfica\u2019s tendency to underperform in front of goal, our top betting recommendations focus on attacking markets and standout player contributions. We\u2019re particularly confident in backing Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 to score anytime, given his extraordinary conversion rate in this competition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Our Prediction<\/th><th>Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th><th>Confidence<\/th><th>Why We\u2019re Backing It<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 to score anytime<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-105 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Mbapp\u00e9 has netted 13 goals in 8 matches, exceeding his xG by over 9 goals\u2014a demonstration of finishing at the very highest level. With a shot accuracy of 52.9% and Real Madrid\u2019s attacking style, he\u2019s the most likely match-winner on the pitch.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Benfica or Draw (Double Chance)<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-150 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Benfica won their last home meeting 4-2 and have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 games. Real Madrid have shown defensive lapses, including 3 red cards in 8 matches, giving the hosts a realistic chance to avoid defeat.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both teams endured contrasting fortunes to reach the knockout play-offs. Real Madrid secured a top-ten finish with 15 points, showcasing their lethal attack with 21 goals, including a stunning 13 from Kylian Mbapp\u00e9. However, three defeats and 12 goals conceded highlighted defensive vulnerabilities. Benfica, meanwhile, scraped through in 24th place after a dramatic win over Real Madrid. Their campaign was defined by a struggling attack that scored only 10 goals, and a leaky defence that shipped 12. While Real Madrid\u2019s firepower makes them favourites, Benfica\u2019s recent 4-2 home win over them proves they can\u2019t be underestimated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Pos<\/th><th>P<\/th><th>W<\/th><th>D<\/th><th>L<\/th><th>GF<\/th><th>GA<\/th><th>GD<\/th><th>Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Real Madrid<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>5<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>21<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>+9<\/td><td>15<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Benfica<\/td><td>24<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>5<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>-2<\/td><td>9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 (Real Madrid):<\/strong> 13 goals in 8 games, shot accuracy 52.9%, 25 big chance assists\u2014lethal both as finisher and creator, averaging over 1.6 goals per 90.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Evangelos Pavlidis (Benfica): <\/strong>Benfica\u2019s main attacking threat, will likely shoulder the scoring responsibility, especially with Benfica\u2019s xG suggesting they create good chances but lack clinical finishing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Nicol\u00e1s Otamendi (Benfica):<\/strong> Key in defence, instrumental in Benfica\u2019s 6 clean sheets (in 12), and a leader in aerial duels (team has won 151 this campaign).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-meeting\">Last Meeting<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The most recent clash between these two sides went Benfica\u2019s way in a lively 4-2 victory at home, as the hosts snatched a play-off spot against 10-man Madrid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Score<\/th><th>Competition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>28\/01\/26<\/td><td>Benfica 4-2 Real Madrid<\/td><td>Champions League<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-will-benfica-s-defence-hold-out-against-real-madrid-s-attack\">Will Benfica\u2019s defence hold out against Real Madrid\u2019s attack?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Real Madrid\u2019s attack firing\u2014led by the remarkable Mbapp\u00e9\u2014and Benfica relying on a tight defensive unit and home advantage, this match promises a real tactical battle. Whether Benfica can restrict Madrid\u2019s efficiency in front of goal may well decide the outcome. For those looking to bet, backing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 to score anytime at -105 with Bet365<\/a> looks the smartest play given his track record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>More Champions League stats:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-standings\/\">UCL standings<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-top-scorers\/\">Top scorers<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-assist-leaders\/\">Assist leaders<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-stats\/\">Full UCL stats hub<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Benfica and Real Madrid meet in what is sure to be a captivating affair in the Champions League knockout first-leg tie on Tuesday. Jose Mourinho will have his troops ready for battle at the Estadio da Luz, with the game kicking off at 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday 17 February. Find our best bets and&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":1599,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1597","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Benfica vs Real Madrid: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats - Squawka | US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-benfica-vs-real-madrid-17-02-26-champions-league\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Benfica vs Real Madrid: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Benfica and Real Madrid meet in what is sure to be a captivating affair in the Champions League knockout first-leg tie on Tuesday. 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