{"id":1593,"date":"2026-02-17T07:13:05","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T12:13:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1593"},"modified":"2026-04-14T11:09:48","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T15:09:48","slug":"match-preview-monaco-vs-psg-17-02-26-champions-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-monaco-vs-psg-17-02-26-champions-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Monaco vs PSG: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Paris Saint-Germain head to Stade Louis II for an all-French affair against Monaco in the Champions League on Tuesday in the first leg of their knockout tie. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The game kicks off at 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday 17 February and below you can find our match preview and best bets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on PSG&#8217;s exceptional attacking output and Monaco&#8217;s inefficiency in front of goal, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in backing Paris Saint-Germain to win, given their superiority in every major metric and a strong head-to-head record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Our Prediction<\/th><th>Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th><th>Confidence<\/th><th>Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Over 2.5 Goals<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-200 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Five of the last six meetings between these sides have produced at least three goals, and PSG&#8217;s attack averages over 21 shots per game. Monaco&#8217;s defence has conceded 14 in 8, so goals look likely once again.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>PSG to Win to Nil<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">+225 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Monaco are averaging just 1 goal per game and have been shut out in multiple recent head-to-heads. PSG&#8217;s high possession and Monaco&#8217;s low conversion rate (just 5 of 19 big chances scored) makes this a value angle.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Both sides had to settle for the play-off route after missing out on automatic qualification to the last 16 during the league phase. PSG demonstrated their attacking quality with 21 goals scored \u2014 the second-highest tally among play-off teams \u2014 though two losses exposed occasional defensive lapses. Monaco, by contrast, struggled throughout the campaign, managing just eight goals while conceding 14, leaving them with a negative goal difference. While PSG&#8217;s four wins and 14 points secured 11th place with relative comfort, Monaco&#8217;s reliance on draws (four in eight matches) and inability to convert chances left them languishing in 21st position with just 10 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Pos<\/th><th>P<\/th><th>W<\/th><th>D<\/th><th>L<\/th><th>GF<\/th><th>GA<\/th><th>GD<\/th><th>Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>PSG<\/td><td>11<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>4<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>21<\/td><td>11<\/td><td>+10<\/td><td>14<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Monaco<\/td><td>21<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>4<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>14<\/td><td>-6<\/td><td>10<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Ousmane Demb\u00e9l\u00e9 (PSG):<\/strong> Among the most creative wide men in Europe, Demb\u00e9l\u00e9&#8217;s dribbling and delivery have contributed to PSG&#8217;s 15 assists this season. Expect him to test Monaco&#8217;s full-backs repeatedly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Folarin Balogun (Monaco): <\/strong>Monaco&#8217;s main threat, Balogun needs to improve his finishing, with Monaco having missed 22 big chances. If he can be clinical, he gives the hosts hope.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u2022Takumi Minamino (Monaco): <\/strong>Creative spark for Monaco, Minamino is their best chance of unlocking a PSG side that dominates possession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-5-meetings\">Last 5 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>PSG have edged the last 5 encounters, winning 3, drawing 1, and losing 1. Four of these matches produced at least three goals, underlining the attacking nature when these two sides meet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Score<\/th><th>Competition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>29\/11\/25<\/td><td>Monaco 1-0 PSG<\/td><td>Ligue 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>07\/02\/25<\/td><td>PSG 4-1 Monaco<\/td><td>Ligue 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>18\/12\/24<\/td><td>Monaco 2-4 PSG<\/td><td>Ligue 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>01\/03\/24<\/td><td>Monaco 0-0 PSG<\/td><td>Ligue 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>24\/11\/23<\/td><td>PSG 5-2 Monaco<\/td><td>Ligue 1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion-will-monaco-resist-psg-s-onslaught\">Conclusion: Will Monaco resist PSG&#8217;s onslaught?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite Monaco&#8217;s upset win in the last head-to-head, the weight of evidence points to Paris Saint-Germain having too much quality \u2014 especially in attack and midfield. With Monaco&#8217;s wastefulness in front of goal and defensive vulnerabilities, it&#8217;s hard to look past PSG this time. Backing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PSG to win to Nil at +225 with Bet365<\/a> looks the best call for value and probability. Expect goals, and don&#8217;t rule out PSG shutting Monaco out completely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>More Champions League stats:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-standings\/\">UCL standings<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-top-scorers\/\">Top scorers<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-assist-leaders\/\">Assist leaders<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-stats\/\">Full UCL stats hub<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Paris Saint-Germain head to Stade Louis II for an all-French affair against Monaco in the Champions League on Tuesday in the first leg of their knockout tie. The game kicks off at 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday 17 February and below you can find our match preview and best bets. Best Bets &amp; Predictions Based&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":1595,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1593","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Monaco vs PSG: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats - Squawka | US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-monaco-vs-psg-17-02-26-champions-league\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monaco vs PSG: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Paris Saint-Germain head to Stade Louis II for an all-French affair against Monaco in the Champions League on Tuesday in the first leg of their knockout tie. 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