{"id":1589,"date":"2026-02-17T06:52:30","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T11:52:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1589"},"modified":"2026-04-14T11:09:47","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T15:09:47","slug":"match-preview-borussia-dortmund-vs-atalanta-17-02-26-champions-league","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-borussia-dortmund-vs-atalanta-17-02-26-champions-league\/","title":{"rendered":"Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta face off in the first leg of their Champions League knockout tie on Tuesday evening. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both teams are bidding to make the last-16 and below you can find our match preview for the game that kicks-off at 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday 17 February.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on recent form and season-long trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We\u2019re particularly confident in goals being on the agenda, given Dortmund\u2019s high conversion rate and Atalanta\u2019s underlying attacking metrics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Our Prediction<\/th><th>Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th><th>Confidence<\/th><th>Why We\u2019re Backing It<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Over 2.5 Goals<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">-138 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Both teams\u2019 recent head-to-heads have delivered goals (7 in 2 meetings), and Dortmund\u2019s 19 goals in 8 matches (2.38 per game) indicate attacking intent. Atalanta\u2019s xG (16.74) suggests their matches could open up, especially if their finishing regresses positively.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Julian Brandt to be Booked<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">+650 @ Bet365<\/a><\/td><td>\u2b50\u2b50<\/td><td>Brandt\u2019s role in midfield puts him in the thick of the action, and with Dortmund likely to face spells under pressure, tactical fouls could be on the cards. Atalanta\u2019s midfielders draw plenty of fouls, increasing the risk for Dortmund\u2019s playmakers.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both sides had to navigate the play-off route after missing out on automatic qualification to the last 16 during the league phase. Atalanta showed greater consistency with four wins from eight matches, demonstrating defensive solidity with an even goal difference. Dortmund, meanwhile, proved more unpredictable\u2014capable of explosive attacking performances that yielded 19 goals, but equally vulnerable at the back with 17 conceded. While Atalanta&#8217;s balanced approach earned them 13 points and 15th place, Dortmund&#8217;s high-risk style left them 17th with 11 points, despite their superior firepower suggesting they could hurt any opponent on their day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Pos<\/th><th>P<\/th><th>W<\/th><th>D<\/th><th>L<\/th><th>GF<\/th><th>GA<\/th><th>GD<\/th><th>Pts<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Atalanta<\/td><td>15<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>4<\/td><td>1<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Borussia Dortmund<\/td><td>17<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>19<\/td><td>17<\/td><td>+2<\/td><td>11<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-potential-match-winners\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Serhou Guirassy (Dortmund) <\/strong>\u2013 Leads Dortmund\u2019s line and is central to their high shot accuracy (41.5%). Expect plenty of touches in the opposition box and a real goal threat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Julian Brandt (Dortmund)<\/strong> \u2013 14 assists for Dortmund this campaign underline his creativity. He regularly features among top key pass-makers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta) <\/strong>\u2013 Atalanta\u2019s main striker, looking to improve on a team xG of 16.74 with only 10 goals converted. If he finds his finishing boots, he could be decisive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2022Marten de Roon (Atalanta)<\/strong> \u2013 Controls the tempo in midfield, crucial for breaking up Dortmund\u2019s attacks and launching counters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head\">Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-last-2-meetings\">Last 2 Meetings<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">These sides have only met twice in recent memory, both times in a tense Europa League tie that saw plenty of goals and attacking football. Dortmund edged the two legs with a win and a draw.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Date<\/th><th>Score<\/th><th>Competition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>22\/02\/18<\/td><td>Atalanta 1-1 Borussia Dortmund<\/td><td>UEFA Europa League<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>15\/02\/18<\/td><td>Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Atalanta<\/td><td>UEFA Europa League<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-conclusion-will-dortmund-s-firepower-prevail\">Conclusion: Will Dortmund\u2019s firepower prevail?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dortmund have been ruthless in front of goal, but their defensive record leaves questions. Atalanta, in contrast, have the underlying numbers to suggest a breakthrough in attack is coming, especially if they can start finishing chances at their xG rate. With both teams showing a tendency for open matches, Over 2.5 Goals <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">at -138 @ Bet365<\/a> stands out as an excellent value bet. Will Atalanta\u2019s profligacy continue, or will Dortmund\u2019s defensive woes allow them back into the tie?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>More Champions League stats:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-standings\/\">UCL standings<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-top-scorers\/\">Top scorers<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-assist-leaders\/\">Assist leaders<\/a> | <a href=\"\/us\/champions-league-stats\/\">Full UCL stats hub<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta face off in the first leg of their Champions League knockout tie on Tuesday evening. Both teams are bidding to make the last-16 and below you can find our match preview for the game that kicks-off at 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday 17 February. Best Bets &amp; Predictions Based on recent&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":1591,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"","_yoast_wpseo_title":"","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1589","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats - Squawka | US<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-borussia-dortmund-vs-atalanta-17-02-26-champions-league\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Borussia Dortmund and Atalanta face off in the first leg of their Champions League knockout tie on Tuesday evening. 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