{"id":15536,"date":"2026-06-29T18:07:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T22:07:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=15536"},"modified":"2026-06-29T21:03:49","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T01:03:49","slug":"jonathan-david-golden-boot-odds","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/jonathan-david-golden-boot-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Jonathan David Golden Boot Odds: Canada Star’s World Cup 2026 Top Scorer Chances"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Jonathan David’s Golden Boot odds make him a longshot, and the Squawka Signal does not disagree, even if it likes him a little more than the market. Three goals into co-hosts Canada’s World Cup<\/a>, from an expected-goals figure of 2.8, our model puts David at a 1.6% chance of finishing as the tournament’s top scorer. That is our own number, before the market gets a vote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Set it against the prices and David is barely on the board. Kalshi has him at 0.5%, well under our read in relative terms, while Polymarket has not put up a line at all. In plain terms, the market has written him off more firmly than the model has, which is the one small point in his favor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n