{"id":15526,"date":"2026-06-29T18:08:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-29T22:08:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=15526"},"modified":"2026-06-29T21:03:57","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T01:03:57","slug":"harry-kane-golden-boot-odds","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/harry-kane-golden-boot-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Harry Kane Golden Boot Odds: England Star’s World Cup 2026 Top Scorer Chances"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Harry Kane’s Golden Boot odds tell one story; the Squawka Signal tells a quieter one. Three goals into England’s World Cup<\/a>, from an expected-goals figure of 2.6 across three games of work, our model puts Kane at a 3.8% chance of finishing as the tournament’s top scorer. That is our own number, before the market gets a vote.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Set it against the prices and the market sits a fraction high. Polymarket has him at 4.0%, Kalshi at 4.5%, both a touch above our read. In plain terms, the market likes Kane slightly more than the math does. Here is what is driving the number, and where England’s route could move it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n