{"id":15088,"date":"2026-06-28T11:58:11","date_gmt":"2026-06-28T15:58:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=15088"},"modified":"2026-06-28T11:59:28","modified_gmt":"2026-06-28T15:59:28","slug":"match-preview-germany-vs-paraguay-06-29-26-world-cup-2026-round-of-32","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-germany-vs-paraguay-06-29-26-world-cup-2026-round-of-32\/","title":{"rendered":"Germany vs Paraguay: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Germany begin the knockout rounds as heavy favorites against a Paraguay side that survived on resilience rather than goals, with this World Cup 2026 round of 32 tie kicking off at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough on Monday, June 29 at 5:30 PM ET \/ 4:30 PM CT \/ 2:30 PM PT. Paraguay are without the suspended Miguel Almirón.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The contrast in routes here is stark. Germany won Group E<\/a> with the most potent attack of any side in this matchup — 10 goals, 7.74 expected goals, 53 shots and 22 on target across three games — even allowing for a final-day stumble against Ecuador once top spot was already in hand. Paraguay came through the hard way, finishing third in Group D and squeezing in as the seventh-ranked of the best third-placed teams.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paraguay’s numbers tell the story of a team built to frustrate: just two goals and 2.33 xG, only five shots on target, and a tournament-high seven yellow cards plus Almirón’s red against Türkiye. They kept their nerve to grind out the points they needed, but they have rarely threatened at the other end, and that is the tension Germany will look to exploit early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

bet365 price Germany at -300 to win, with the draw at +400 and Paraguay a distant +850. Germany sit high on the World Cup 2026 outright odds<\/a> board, and the market expects them to control this tie from the front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Germany vs Paraguay: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The slate leans into Germany’s attacking volume and Paraguay’s lack of a cutting edge, with a controlled home-favorite win to nil the most coherent read of the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Germany to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-300 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(75.0%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nGermany scored 10 in the group stage; Paraguay managed two. The gulf in attacking quality is the cleanest edge on the board.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Deniz Undav<\/strong> to score anytime<\/td>\n-105 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(51.2%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nUndav already has two goals this tournament and is the shortest-priced German scorer against a defense that has leaked four.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-138 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(58.0%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nGermany averaged better than three goals a game in the group stage. Their firepower alone can clear this even if Paraguay sit deep.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n-134 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(57.3%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐⭐<\/td>\nParaguay scored twice in three games and created just one big chance all tournament. Backing them to blank is the percentage play.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: Germany 3-0<\/strong><\/td>\n+800 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(11.1%)<\/td>\n		⭐⭐<\/td>\nTies the win, the Over and the clean sheet into one line — the natural shape of a comfortable German night against a blunt attack.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: anchor on Germany to win at -300, layer Deniz Undav anytime, and treat Germany 3-0 as the supporting scoreline that captures a win to nil with goals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"bet365<\/a>\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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World Cup Form & Route to the Round of 32<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
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Team<\/th>\nGroup<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Germany<\/strong><\/td>\nE<\/td>\n1st<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n+6<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Paraguay<\/strong><\/td>\nD<\/td>\n3rd<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n2<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n-2<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Germany topped a group they led on goal difference throughout, the Ecuador defeat arriving only once qualification was settled. Paraguay finished third in Group D and advanced seventh among the best third-placed sides — a route that says everything about their tournament: hard to beat, rarely convincing. The Germany World Cup 2026 odds<\/a> reflect a genuine contender, while the Paraguay World Cup 2026 odds<\/a> mark them as outsiders happy to have made it this far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n