{"id":14428,"date":"2026-06-24T13:44:41","date_gmt":"2026-06-24T17:44:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=14428"},"modified":"2026-06-24T14:02:57","modified_gmt":"2026-06-24T18:02:57","slug":"match-preview-croatia-vs-ghana-06-27-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-croatia-vs-ghana-06-27-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Croatia vs Ghana: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Croatia meet Ghana on Saturday, June 27 at 5:00 PM ET \/ 4:00 PM CT \/ 2:00 PM PT at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, where Ghana need only avoid defeat to reach the round of 32 and Croatia know nothing short of a win keeps qualification in their own hands.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our Croatia vs Ghana prediction begins with the simplest framing of all: one side can afford to lose the ball, the other cannot afford to lose the game. Ghana sit second in World Cup 2026<\/a> Group L on four points, level with England and unbeaten after a 1-0 win over Panama and a goalless, deeply resistant draw with England. Croatia, beaten 4-2 by England before recovering to edge Panama 1-0, are a point behind on three and must now chase the result their tournament has demanded since that opening night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The maths sharpens the contrast. A draw or a win sends Ghana through; even defeat would leave them with a strong case among the best third-placed sides. Croatia, by contrast, jump above Ghana and into the qualifying places with a victory, while a draw leaves them on four points and reliant on the best-third-placed route. That is the tension the whole night turns on: Croatia must come forward, and Ghana have already shown they are happy to let a game come to them. bet365 price Croatia at -134 to win, with the draw at +230 and Ghana a +450 outsider.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Market consensus:<\/strong> Kalshi traders price Croatia at 55%<\/strong>, the draw at 29%<\/strong>, and Ghana at 17%<\/strong>. Full breakdown below<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Croatia vs Ghana: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Five picks to consider across the headline markets, weighted by where the data and the bet365 lines line up most cleanly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Croatia to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-134 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(57.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nCroatia are the control side in this group, averaging 53.2% possession with 85.1% pass accuracy and 2.44 xG across two games. They need the win and have the platform to chase it; against a Ghana team set up to defend, that combination of motive and method earns the headline pick.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-150 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(60.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nGhana have yet to concede a goal, conjuring clean sheets from just 29.6% possession and 38 tackles across two games. Croatia generated only 1.08 xG in their controlled win over Panama. A patient, low-event evening favours the under.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n-134 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(57.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nGhana arrive with a clean sheet intact but just 1.86 xG and one big chance to their name; Croatia kept Panama out last time out. With one side defence-first and the other yet to find a clinical edge, a goalless team on the scoreboard is the likeliest route.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Ante Budimir (Anytime Goalscorer)<\/strong><\/td>\n+150 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBudimir settled the Panama game and is bet365’s shortest-priced scorer here at +150. Croatia have shared the load between Budimir, Petar Musa and Martin Baturina, but the man who broke down the last low block is a logical pick to do it again.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Croatia 1-0 (Correct Score)<\/strong><\/td>\n+550 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThe 1-0 scoreline ties the card together: it satisfies Croatia to Win, keeps the game Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score: No intact, and mirrors exactly how Croatia broke down Panama. At +550, the precise scoreline is priced as a bonus rather than a stretch.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: anchor with Croatia to Win at the headline price, then lean on Ghana’s defensive record and Croatia’s measured chance creation to layer Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score: No around a narrow, low-scoring victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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