{"id":14124,"date":"2026-06-23T13:49:49","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T17:49:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=14124"},"modified":"2026-06-23T14:03:15","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T18:03:15","slug":"match-preview-paraguay-vs-australia-06-25-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-paraguay-vs-australia-06-25-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Paraguay vs Australia: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Paraguay take on Australia at Levi’s Stadium on Thursday, June 25 at 10:00 PM ET \/ 9:00 PM CT \/ 7:00 PM PT, with both sides tied on three points and chasing the second qualifying spot behind hosts the United States in Group D.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our Paraguay<\/a> vs Australia<\/a> prediction is built around a clean equation in Santa Clara. Both nations sit on three points with two played, La Albirroja on zero goal difference, the Socceroos on minus two. A win sends the victor through; a draw forces both into the best-third-place arithmetic and leaves the door open for Turkey.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

bet365<\/a> prices Paraguay at +190 to win, with the draw at +120 and Australia at +290 \u2014 a market that reads this as a coin-flip between two cautious sides who would each happily strangle the contest at 1-0. There is a route through the World Cup 2026<\/a> group for both, but only one with a clean conscience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Market consensus:<\/strong> Kalshi traders price Paraguay at 33%<\/strong>, the draw at 44%<\/strong>, and Australia at 24%<\/strong>. Full breakdown below<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Paraguay vs Australia: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The market is heavily skewed toward a low-scoring, tight affair \u2014 and the data backs it. Build around Under 2.5 goals and look for value in the goalscorer pool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-275 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(73.3%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nBoth sides arrive needing a result and structurally set up to defend first; Australia have leaned on a back five under their qualification setup and Paraguay’s South American qualifying cycle leaned heavily on 1-0 results.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Draw<\/strong><\/td>\n+120 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(45.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nMarket favorite for a reason. Both nations advance with a stalemate if the parallel Group D fixture goes a particular way \u2014 neither side has to chase, and that breeds caution.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Alex Arce<\/span> Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n+275 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(26.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nArce is Paraguay’s shortest-priced scorer at bet365, a reflection of his late-window form and the willingness to start him over Antonio Sanabria when chasing a result.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams To Score \u2014 No<\/strong><\/td>\n-163 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(62.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nA natural pairing with Under 2.5. One side likely settles for a clean sheet, and the other shape-shifts into chase mode only if forced \u2014 a recipe for one-way pressure rather than open exchanges.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score 0-0<\/strong><\/td>\n+300 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(25.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThe cleanest correct-score expression of the draw + Under + BTTS-No thesis. bet365’s shortest goalless-draw line reflects how often two cautious sides cancel each other out in this kind of decider.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: Anchor on Under 2.5 goals, build a parlay leg with BTTS No, and add the Arce anytime scorer for a speculative dart that doesn’t fight the under thesis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"bet365<\/a>\t\t\t\t
\n \n Bet365<\/a> <\/span>\n \n First Bet Safety Net – Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n First Bet Safety Net – Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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