{"id":14108,"date":"2026-06-23T13:50:49","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T17:50:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=14108"},"modified":"2026-06-23T14:03:16","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T18:03:16","slug":"match-preview-tunisia-vs-netherlands-06-25-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-tunisia-vs-netherlands-06-25-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Tunisia vs Netherlands: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Thursday, June 25 at 7:00 PM ET \/ 6:00 PM CT \/ 4:00 PM PT, Arrowhead Stadium plays host to a Group F finale that asks two very different questions of two very different sides.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Our World Cup 2026<\/a> Tunisia vs Netherlands prediction starts from a familiar place at this World Cup: the Dutch on top of the group with progression secured, Tunisia eliminated after back-to-back hammerings. Netherlands<\/a> arrive with four points and a goal difference of plus-four after Saturday’s 5-1 demolition of Sweden in Houston, and need only a draw to lock down top spot in the group. Tunisia<\/a> are already out, having shipped nine goals across MD1 and MD2 and scored just once.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

bet365<\/a> prices the Dutch at -800 on the moneyline, with Tunisia a 22-to-one shot at +2200 and the draw at +700. The market is reflecting what the table already says \u2014 Oranje have the better players, the better recent form, and far less to manage in a fixture they should be able to dictate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Market consensus:<\/strong> Kalshi traders price Tunisia at 4%<\/strong>, the draw at 10%<\/strong>, and Netherlands at 88%<\/strong>. Full breakdown below<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tunisia vs Netherlands: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The shape of the bet is obvious \u2014 a heavy favorite against an eliminated side. The interesting question is whether to take the price on the Dutch straight, or build round goals, scorers, and a likely scoreline. Our picks lean toward the latter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Netherlands to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-800 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(88.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThe Dutch are the only team in Group F with a positive goal difference and four points already on the board. Tunisia have lost both group games by a combined 9-1, with no answer at either end. The draw at +700 looks generous, but the win is the cleaner anchor.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-225 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(69.2%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nNetherlands have scored seven across their two group games and Tunisia have conceded nine. The Dutch put five past Sweden last time out and Japan stuck four past Tunisia. Three goals is comfortably the line of least resistance.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: Tunisia 0-3 Netherlands<\/strong><\/td>\n+550 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(15.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThe bookmaker’s second-shortest correct score on the slate, behind only 0-2. The Dutch put five past Sweden last time out, the Tunisia back line has been there to be exposed, and a clean three-goal margin lands the Netherlands win, Over 2.5, and BTTS No on the same scoreline.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n-200 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(66.7%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTunisia have scored just once across their two group games \u2014 a consolation against Sweden in a 5-1 defeat. With the Eagles of Carthage going home and the Dutch’s defense anchored by Virgil van Dijk, the cleaner read is a Tunisia blank.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Cody Gakpo to Score Anytime<\/strong><\/td>\n-110 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(52.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nCody Gakpo<\/strong> has been Oranje’s most reliable goal threat across the qualifying cycle and the tournament so far. Against a Tunisia back line that has shipped nine goals in two matches, a player operating as the Dutch left-sided forward against tiring legs is the obvious anytime call.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Our approach: anchor on Netherlands to Win, add Over 2.5 for the parlay leg, and treat Gakpo Anytime as the value-add player prop. The correct-score pick is the speculative shot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"bet365<\/a>\t\t\t\t
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\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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