{"id":14106,"date":"2026-06-23T13:47:49","date_gmt":"2026-06-23T17:47:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=14106"},"modified":"2026-06-23T14:03:12","modified_gmt":"2026-06-23T18:03:12","slug":"match-preview-senegal-vs-iraq-06-26-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-senegal-vs-iraq-06-26-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Senegal vs Iraq: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Senegal meet Iraq at BMO Field in Toronto on Friday, June 26 at 3:00 PM ET \/ 2:00 PM CT \/ 12:00 PM PT, and the table tells two very different stories about how both nations got here. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Teranga Lions are still breathing \u2014 just. Two narrow defeats, three points away from the survival lane, and the slimmest of best-third lifelines still flickering. Iraq, six goals behind on the goal-difference column after a 4-1 mauling by Norway and a 3-0 reverse against France, are playing for pride and the federation’s first-ever World Cup<\/a> point. The Lions of Mesopotamia haven’t scored their first goal at the tournament yet, and their best forward against Norway, Aymen Hussein, was withdrawn at half-time after picking up a knock that has him a major doubt for the finale.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For Senegal<\/a>, the path is narrow but readable. Win, and they finish on three points with a goal difference that \u2014 depending on how Norway vs France resolves in the parallel finale \u2014 could be just good enough to slot into the eight best-third bracket. Lose or draw, and they’re going home from a tournament that arrived with a midfield generation at its peak. For Iraq<\/a>, the maths are colder. Graham Arnold’s side need a win of about five clear goals to even start a best-third conversation, and their two performances so far have not suggested that ceiling is in their range. What they can still do is score, and end a campaign that has felt one-paced with a moment of genuine release.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The line has settled where you’d expect. bet365<\/a> price Senegal at -450<\/strong> on the Match Result, the draw at +475<\/strong>, and Iraq at +1200<\/strong> to win outright. Over\/Under 2.5 goals leans slightly to the Over at -175<\/strong>, with Both Teams To Score a coin-flip Yes at +110<\/strong>. The market is reading this as a controlled Senegal performance \u2014 they don’t need to chase, and they shouldn’t be chased.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Market consensus:<\/strong> Kalshi traders price Senegal at 79%<\/strong>, the draw at 15%<\/strong>, and Iraq at 8%<\/strong>. Full breakdown below<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets \u2014 Senegal vs Iraq<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Senegal to win (Match Result)<\/td>\n-450 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nIraq haven’t kept a clean sheet in nine, Senegal carry the better individuals across the pitch and have a tournament reason to push.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Senegal 3-0 (Correct Score)<\/td>\n+650 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSecond-shortest scoreline; Iraq’s profile is concede early then sit deep, and Senegal carry the firepower to add a late one.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Nicolas Jackson<\/span> to score anytime<\/td>\n+100 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSenegal’s most direct route to the byline; club form translates to the international shirt when the platform is supplied.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Over 2.5 goals (Total Goals)<\/td>\n-175 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSenegal averaged 2.5 goals scored across MD1 and MD2; Iraq’s back line has shipped seven in two outings.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
No (Both Teams To Score)<\/td>\n-150 @ bet365<\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nIraq haven’t scored at the tournament; the goal-difference reality nudges Arnold’s side toward damage limitation rather than a back-and-forth.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at time of writing and subject to change. Check bet365<\/a> for the latest prices.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"bet365<\/a>\t\t\t\t
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\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

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