{"id":13033,"date":"2026-06-19T13:47:05","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T17:47:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=13033"},"modified":"2026-06-19T14:02:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T18:02:18","slug":"match-preview-portugal-vs-uzbekistan-06-23-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-portugal-vs-uzbekistan-06-23-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Portugal vs Uzbekistan: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- WP_TITLE: Portugal vs Uzbekistan: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats --><\/p>\n<p><strong>Portugal need a win at NRG Stadium when they face Uzbekistan on Tuesday, June 23 at 1:00 PM ET \/ 12:00 PM CT \/ 10:00 AM PT, with Roberto Mart\u00ednez&#8217;s side already on the back foot in Group K after being held 1-1 by DR Congo on matchday one.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Our Portugal vs Uzbekistan prediction starts with the table. Colombia ran out 3-1 winners over Uzbekistan in their opener and sit top of Group K on three points, leaving the other three sides on the back foot. Portugal slipped to third behind DR Congo on the tiebreaker and now look at a <a href=\"\/us\/world-cup-2026\/\" rel=\"noopener\">World Cup 2026<\/a> group they were supposed to coast through. Win at Houston and they reset the table; drop points and the maths gets unfriendly fast.<\/p>\n<p>bet365 prices <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">Portugal at -500<\/a>, with Uzbekistan at +1100 and the draw at +600. The market is treating this as a routine win for the favorites, but the matchday one stalemate against DR Congo means the Selec\u00e7\u00e3o need to make that price honest.<\/p>\n<p><!--KALSHI_PM_TEASE_START--><p class=\"sq-kalshi-tease\"><strong>Market consensus:<\/strong> Kalshi traders price <strong>Portugal at 82%<\/strong>, the draw at <strong>13%<\/strong>, and <strong>Uzbekistan at 6%<\/strong>. <a href=\"#prediction-markets\">Full breakdown below<\/a>.<\/p><!--KALSHI_PM_TEASE_END--><\/p>\n<h2>Portugal vs Uzbekistan: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n<p>The shape of this one is straightforward. Portugal must chase a result; Uzbekistan, beaten by the group&#8217;s best attack, will sit deep. That points to a controlled Portugal win without the goal flood the price implies.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th>Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Portugal to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-500 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(83%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Uzbekistan conceded three to Colombia on matchday one and have never won a senior World Cup match.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/portugal-world-cup-2026-odds\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Portugal<\/a> 3-0 Correct Score<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>+600 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(14%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Portugal need goals to chase down the goal difference tiebreaker on DR Congo, and Uzbekistan conceded three to Colombia without forcing the keeper into a serious save.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong data-player-id=\"h17s3qts1dz1zqjw19jazzkl\">Cristiano Ronaldo<\/strong> to Score Anytime<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-163 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(62%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Ronaldo played the full 90 against DR Congo without finding the net and will be itching to put that right against the group&#8217;s weakest defense; he is bet365&#8217;s shortest-priced scorer in this fixture.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-175 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(64%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Four goals went in when Colombia met <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/uzbekistan-world-cup-2026-odds\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Uzbekistan<\/a> on matchday one, and Portugal have the attacking talent to push the line on their own.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-175 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(64%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Uzbekistan managed one goal across 90 minutes against Colombia and registered just a single shot on target between their forwards; the goal they scored came from a midfielder.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Our approach: Anchor the slate with Portugal to win, then layer the 3-0 correct score and Ronaldo anytime as the value pieces. The 3-0 scoreline lands both the Over 2.5 and BTTS No cleanly, making it the slate&#8217;s pivot.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"935\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1071\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#005641\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/01\/20112959\/bet365_Logo_Inline.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"bet365 logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">First Bet Safety Net &#8211; Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">First Bet Safety Net &#8211; Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Get Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Deposit required. 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width: auto; display: block;\n  filter: brightness(0) invert(1); opacity: .97;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-tease {\n  border-left: 3px solid #a8e039;\n  padding: 8px 0 8px 14px;\n  margin: 18px 0;\n  font-size: 15px;\n  color: #15351f;\n  background: linear-gradient(90deg, rgba(168,224,57,.08), rgba(168,224,57,0) 80%);\n}\n.sq-kalshi-tease strong { color: #0a2c1f; font-weight: 800; }\n.sq-kalshi-tease a { color: #0a2c1f; font-weight: 700; text-decoration: underline; text-underline-offset: 2px; text-decoration-color: rgba(10,44,31,.4); }\n.sq-kalshi-tease a:hover { text-decoration-color: #a8e039; }\n@media (max-width: 600px) {\n  .sq-kalshi-block__inner { padding: 24px 22px 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block__title { font-size: 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block thead th, .sq-kalshi-block tbody td { padding: 9px 6px; font-size: 11.5px; }\n}\n<\/style>\n<section class=\"sq-kalshi-block\" id=\"prediction-markets\"><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__pattern\"><\/div><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__inner\"><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__badge\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Prediction Markets &middot; Live Odds<\/span><h2 class=\"sq-kalshi-block__title\">Win Probability &amp; Tournament Outlook<\/h2><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__meta\">Source: Kalshi prediction markets &middot; Updated minutes ago &middot; <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Read our full Kalshi review<\/a><\/p><p>The match-level read on Kalshi points firmly toward Portugal. Traders are pricing Portugal at <strong>82%<\/strong> to win, the draw at <strong>13%<\/strong>, and Uzbekistan at <strong>6%<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Across the wider group, Kalshi has Portugal at <strong>92%<\/strong> to qualify from Group K and <strong>45%<\/strong> to win it, with Uzbekistan at <strong>19%<\/strong> \/ <strong>1%<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Beyond the group, here is how Kalshi&#8217;s stage-of-elimination market prices each side&#8217;s tournament arc:<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Group exit<\/th><th>R32<\/th><th>R16<\/th><th>QF<\/th><th>SF<\/th><th>Runner-up<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Portugal<\/td><td>8%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>17%<\/td><td>14%<\/td><td>11%<\/td><td>10%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Uzbekistan<\/td><td>79%<\/td><td>26%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p>Kalshi is the prediction-market platform available to US traders in all 50 states. Prices move with money, not a bookmaker&#8217;s margin, so the implied probabilities above read as a live market consensus.<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-scaled.png\" alt=\"Kalshi\" width=\"68\" height=\"18\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-text\">Trade on Kalshi &middot; USE CODE SQUAWKA &rarr;<\/span><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-sec\" href=\"\/us\/news\/world-cup-2026-predictions\/#prediction-markets\">See the full live tracker &rarr;<\/a><\/div><!--KALSHI_PM_ALTS_START--><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-divider\"><\/div><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-lead\">If Kalshi isn&rsquo;t your choice, we also rate <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\">Polymarket<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/prophetx\/\">ProphetX<\/a> &mdash; or compare the full lineup.<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" alt=\"Polymarket\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/06\/12062936\/ProphetX.svg\" alt=\"ProphetX\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/us\/bet\/best-prediction-markets\/\">Compare All &rarr;<\/a><\/div><!--KALSHI_PM_ALTS_END--><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__foot\">Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid\/last). Markets move &mdash; not financial advice. 21+. T&amp;Cs apply.<\/p><\/div><\/section>\n<!--KALSHI_PM_BLOCK_END-->\n\n\n<h2>World Cup Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<p>One round in and Group K is wide open between the chasing pair. Another draw here would put real pressure on Portugal&#8217;s matchday three trip.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Portugal<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Uzbekistan<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Cristiano Ronaldo (Portugal):<\/strong> Played the full 90 against DR Congo without scoring and is bet365&#8217;s outright favorite to break that drought, priced at -163 to find the net at any point.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Jo\u00e3o Neves (Portugal):<\/strong> Scored Portugal&#8217;s opener from defensive midfield against DR Congo and is one of only two Selec\u00e7\u00e3o players to register a shot on target across the whole 90 minutes.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Pedro Neto (Portugal):<\/strong> Provided Portugal&#8217;s only assist of matchday one across 71 minutes off the bench and is the team&#8217;s most-creative wide option behind a defensive Uzbekistan setup.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Eldor Shomurodov (Uzbekistan):<\/strong> Played 89 minutes as Uzbekistan&#8217;s central striker against Colombia and managed the team&#8217;s only shot on target from a forward; if Uzbekistan get on the board it&#8217;s likely through him.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>Portugal and Uzbekistan have never met in a senior competitive fixture. This is the first time the two FAs cross paths at a major tournament, and only Uzbekistan&#8217;s debut as a finalist makes the question of a pattern moot \u2014 there isn&#8217;t one yet.<\/p>\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n<h3>Portugal: D<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jun 17, 2026: Portugal 1-1 Congo DR (D)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The draw with DR Congo was Portugal&#8217;s first competitive game of the World Cup window, and the storyline was wastefulness in front of goal rather than defensive shakiness. Jo\u00e3o Neves opened the scoring; DR Congo equalised through a set-piece, and Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes and Rafael Le\u00e3o all finished the 90 without troubling the keeper.<\/p>\n<h3>Uzbekistan: L<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jun 17, 2026: Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia (L)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Uzbekistan&#8217;s World Cup debut went the predicted way. Abbosbek Fayzullayev pulled one back from midfield but Colombia&#8217;s front three carved through the back five repeatedly, and the visitors went into the half-time break already trailing. Uzbekistan registered just one shot on target from a forward across the full 90.<\/p>\n<h2>Portugal vs Uzbekistan Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>Portugal won&#8217;t be at their fluent best \u2014 they rarely are this early in a tournament \u2014 but the gulf in attacking quality should tell. We&#8217;re calling a controlled 3-0 win with Ronaldo on the scoresheet, anchored by <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>Portugal to win at -500 with bet365<\/strong><\/a>. Kick-off is 1:00 PM ET at NRG Stadium in Houston.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Portugal need a win at NRG Stadium when they face Uzbekistan on Tuesday, June 23 at 1:00 PM ET \/ 12:00 PM CT \/ 10:00 AM PT, with Roberto Mart\u00ednez&#8217;s side already on the back foot in Group K after being held 1-1 by DR Congo on matchday one. Our Portugal vs Uzbekistan prediction starts&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":13032,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"portugal vs uzbekistan prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Portugal vs Uzbekistan: World Cup 2026 Prediction | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Portugal vs Uzbekistan prediction, picks and bet365 odds for the World Cup 2026 Group K matchday two clash in Houston. Best Bets, scorers and full preview.","footnotes":""},"tags":[273],"news-category":[328],"class_list":["post-13033","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-world-cup-2026","news-category-world-cup"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Portugal vs Uzbekistan: World Cup 2026 Prediction | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Portugal vs Uzbekistan prediction, picks and bet365 odds for the World Cup 2026 Group K matchday two clash in Houston. 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