{"id":13024,"date":"2026-06-19T13:50:05","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T17:50:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=13024"},"modified":"2026-06-19T14:02:23","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T18:02:23","slug":"match-preview-argentina-vs-austria-06-22-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-argentina-vs-austria-06-22-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Argentina vs Austria: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Argentina meet Austria at AT&amp;T Stadium on Monday, June 22 at 1:00 PM ET \/ 12:00 PM CT \/ 10:00 AM PT, with the holders looking to seal a Group J knockout place before the final round.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Our Argentina vs Austria prediction starts with the gap the MD1 performances exposed. Lionel Scaloni&#8217;s side dismantled Algeria 3-0 in Kansas City \u2014 Lionel Messi&#8217;s hat-trick the centerpiece \u2014 while Austria edged Jordan 3-1 at Levi&#8217;s Stadium in a tighter performance than the scoreline suggested. Both teams sit on three points, but the underlying gap is wider than the table reads. A win in Arlington puts the <a href=\"\/us\/world-cup-2026\/\" rel=\"noopener\">World Cup 2026<\/a> defending champions through with a matchday to spare.<\/p>\n<p>bet365 prices <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/argentina-world-cup-2026-odds\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Argentina<\/a> at -167 to win, the draw at +300, and <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/austria-world-cup-2026-odds\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Austria<\/a> at +475. The market is reflecting form, talent gradient and the second-game momentum the holders have already built.<\/p>\n<p><!--KALSHI_PM_TEASE_START--><p class=\"sq-kalshi-tease\"><strong>Market consensus:<\/strong> Kalshi traders price <strong>Argentina at 62%<\/strong>, the draw at <strong>24%<\/strong>, and <strong>Austria at 16%<\/strong>. <a href=\"#prediction-markets\">Full breakdown below<\/a>.<\/p><!--KALSHI_PM_TEASE_END--><\/p>\n<h2>Argentina vs Austria: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n<p>The picks lean on Argentina&#8217;s clarity in front of goal and Austria&#8217;s struggle to create against organized back lines.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th>Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th>Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Argentina to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-167 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(63%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>The holders opened with a 3-0 win and 90 minutes of total control against Algeria; Austria are a step up but still a clear underdog on talent, tempo and tournament pedigree.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Correct Score: Argentina 3-0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>+1100 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(8%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Mirrors the MD1 scoreline and slots inside the over-2.5 \/ BTTS-no read; Argentina kept a clean sheet on opening night and shut out Algeria&#8217;s only real chance.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong data-player-id=\"c5ryhn04g9goikd0blmh83aol\">Lionel Messi<\/strong> to score anytime<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-111 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(53%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Hat-trick in MD1, four shots on target in 80 minutes, and the penalty box authority that has defined his late-career run with the national team.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>+100 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(50%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Argentina put three past Algeria with another two on the woodwork; even a controlled performance from the favorite has cleared this line all tournament.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-125 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(56%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Cristian Romero and Lisandro Martinez kept Algeria off the scoresheet entirely; Austria leaned on a Jordan miscue for one of their MD1 goals and could struggle to break Emiliano Martinez&#8217;s line.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Our approach: Start with Argentina to win, add Messi anytime for the player-prop value, and treat the 3-0 correct score as the speculative upside leg.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"935\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1071\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#005641\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/01\/20112959\/bet365_Logo_Inline.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"bet365 logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">First Bet Safety Net &#8211; Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">First Bet Safety Net &#8211; Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Get Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Deposit required. 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width: auto; display: block;\n  filter: brightness(0) invert(1); opacity: .97;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-tease {\n  border-left: 3px solid #a8e039;\n  padding: 8px 0 8px 14px;\n  margin: 18px 0;\n  font-size: 15px;\n  color: #15351f;\n  background: linear-gradient(90deg, rgba(168,224,57,.08), rgba(168,224,57,0) 80%);\n}\n.sq-kalshi-tease strong { color: #0a2c1f; font-weight: 800; }\n.sq-kalshi-tease a { color: #0a2c1f; font-weight: 700; text-decoration: underline; text-underline-offset: 2px; text-decoration-color: rgba(10,44,31,.4); }\n.sq-kalshi-tease a:hover { text-decoration-color: #a8e039; }\n@media (max-width: 600px) {\n  .sq-kalshi-block__inner { padding: 24px 22px 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block__title { font-size: 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block thead th, .sq-kalshi-block tbody td { padding: 9px 6px; font-size: 11.5px; }\n}\n<\/style>\n<section class=\"sq-kalshi-block\" id=\"prediction-markets\"><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__pattern\"><\/div><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__inner\"><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__badge\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Prediction Markets &middot; Live Odds<\/span><h2 class=\"sq-kalshi-block__title\">Win Probability &amp; Tournament Outlook<\/h2><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__meta\">Source: Kalshi prediction markets &middot; Updated minutes ago &middot; <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Read our full Kalshi review<\/a><\/p><p>The match-level read on Kalshi points firmly toward Argentina. Traders are pricing Argentina at <strong>62%<\/strong> to win, the draw at <strong>24%<\/strong>, and Austria at <strong>16%<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Across the wider group, Kalshi has Argentina at <strong>99%<\/strong> to qualify from Group J and <strong>85%<\/strong> to win it, with Austria at <strong>93%<\/strong> \/ <strong>15%<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Beyond the group, here is how Kalshi&#8217;s stage-of-elimination market prices each side&#8217;s tournament arc:<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Group exit<\/th><th>R32<\/th><th>R16<\/th><th>QF<\/th><th>SF<\/th><th>Runner-up<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Argentina<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>28%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>13%<\/td><td>10%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Austria<\/td><td>9%<\/td><td>62%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>12%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p>Kalshi is the prediction-market platform available to US traders in all 50 states. Prices move with money, not a bookmaker&#8217;s margin, so the implied probabilities above read as a live market consensus.<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-scaled.png\" alt=\"Kalshi\" width=\"68\" height=\"18\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-text\">Trade on Kalshi &middot; USE CODE SQUAWKA &rarr;<\/span><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-sec\" href=\"\/us\/news\/world-cup-2026-predictions\/#prediction-markets\">See the full live tracker &rarr;<\/a><\/div><!--KALSHI_PM_ALTS_START--><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-divider\"><\/div><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-lead\">If Kalshi isn&rsquo;t your choice, we also rate <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\">Polymarket<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/prophetx\/\">ProphetX<\/a> &mdash; or compare the full lineup.<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" alt=\"Polymarket\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/06\/12062936\/ProphetX.svg\" alt=\"ProphetX\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/us\/bet\/best-prediction-markets\/\">Compare All &rarr;<\/a><\/div><!--KALSHI_PM_ALTS_END--><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__foot\">Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid\/last). Markets move &mdash; not financial advice. 21+. T&amp;Cs apply.<\/p><\/div><\/section>\n<!--KALSHI_PM_BLOCK_END-->\n\n\n<h2>World Cup Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<p>Argentina and Austria are both on three points after MD1, but Argentina&#8217;s plus-three goal difference puts them top of Group J on tie-break ahead of Austria&#8217;s plus-two.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Argentina<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Austria<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Lionel Messi (Argentina):<\/strong> Three goals and four shots on target in 80 minutes against Algeria \u2014 still the line through which everything Argentina builds in the final third runs.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Marko Arnautovic (Austria):<\/strong> Got Austria&#8217;s opener against Jordan inside the first half; remains the center-forward Ralf Rangnick&#8217;s side turns to when a low-block opponent needs unlocking.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rodrigo De Paul (Argentina):<\/strong> One assist and a full 90 in MD1; the midfield connector who lets Messi roam without leaving the spine exposed.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Romano Schmid (Austria):<\/strong> Opened his account in the win over Jordan and offers the late-arriving midfield run that Austria need to break a sitting back line.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>This is the first competitive meeting between Argentina and Austria at a senior men&#8217;s level. The teams have not crossed at a major tournament before, and there is no recent friendly between them in our database \u2014 there is no H2H pattern to read into this one.<\/p>\n<h2>Recent Form at World Cup<\/h2>\n<h3>Argentina \u2014 W<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jun 16, 2026: Argentina 3-0 Algeria (W)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Argentina arrived in Group J having steamrolled the CONMEBOL qualifiers as the region&#8217;s outright leaders. The defensive shape Scaloni has settled on \u2014 Romero and Lisandro Martinez central, Tagliafico and Molina pushed high \u2014 looks very settled.<\/p>\n<h3>Austria \u2014 W D L W W<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jun 17, 2026: Austria 3-1 Jordan (W)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Austria finished their qualifying group strongly and rode that momentum into a comfortable MD1 win. Ralf Rangnick&#8217;s high-press identity sits behind their run.<\/p>\n<h2>Argentina vs Austria Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>Argentina win by two clear goals, Messi scores again, and the second knockout berth from Group J belongs to the holders before Algeria and Jordan even kick MD2 off. Take Argentina to win with bet365 and stack Messi anytime as the player-prop add-on \u2014 <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">see the latest bet365 prices here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Argentina meet Austria at AT&amp;T Stadium on Monday, June 22 at 1:00 PM ET \/ 12:00 PM CT \/ 10:00 AM PT, with the holders looking to seal a Group J knockout place before the final round. Our Argentina vs Austria prediction starts with the gap the MD1 performances exposed. Lionel Scaloni&#8217;s side dismantled Algeria&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":13023,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"argentina vs austria prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Argentina vs Austria: World Cup 2026 Prediction | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Argentina vs Austria prediction, odds, picks and stats for the World Cup 2026 Group J clash at AT&T Stadium on Monday, June 22 \u2014 Messi, Best Bets and more.","footnotes":""},"tags":[273],"news-category":[328],"class_list":["post-13024","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-world-cup-2026","news-category-world-cup"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Argentina vs Austria: World Cup 2026 Prediction | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Argentina vs Austria prediction, odds, picks and stats for the World Cup 2026 Group J clash at AT&amp;T Stadium on Monday, June 22 \u2014 Messi, Best Bets and more.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-argentina-vs-austria-06-22-26-world-cup-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Argentina vs Austria: Predictions, Picks, Odds &amp; 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