{"id":13016,"date":"2026-06-19T13:45:05","date_gmt":"2026-06-19T17:45:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=13016"},"modified":"2026-06-19T14:02:13","modified_gmt":"2026-06-19T18:02:13","slug":"match-preview-panama-vs-croatia-06-23-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-panama-vs-croatia-06-23-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Panama vs Croatia: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Panama vs Croatia kicks off on Tuesday, June 23 at 7:00 PM ET \/ 6:00 PM CT \/ 4:00 PM PT at BMO Field in Toronto, with both sides chasing a first <a href=\"\/us\/world-cup-2026\/\" rel=\"noopener\">World Cup 2026<\/a> point after losing their Group L openers.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our Panama vs Croatia prediction starts from a simple table: Group L&#8217;s bottom two meet on the second matchday, and the loser is left hanging by a thread. England top the group on three points after a 4-2 win over Croatia in Arlington. Ghana also have three points after edging <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/panama-world-cup-2026-odds\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Panama<\/a> 1-0 on this same BMO Field pitch five days earlier.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>bet365 prices Croatia at -188 to win, the draw at +300, and Panama at +550. The market treats this as a one-way fixture, and the goalscoring lines tilt heavily towards the Vatreni: Ante Budimir and Andrej Kramari\u0107 are the shortest-priced anytime scorers in the match, with Petar Musa just behind after his goal against England.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><!--KALSHI_PM_TEASE_START--><p class=\"sq-kalshi-tease\"><strong>Market consensus:<\/strong> Kalshi traders price <strong>Panama at 14%<\/strong>, the draw at <strong>24%<\/strong>, and <strong>Croatia at 64%<\/strong>. <a href=\"#prediction-markets\">Full breakdown below<\/a>.<\/p><!--KALSHI_PM_TEASE_END--><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-panama-vs-croatia-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Panama vs Croatia: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The angle here is straightforward: Croatia have to win, the model agrees, and the value sits in the goalscorer markets rather than the headline price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th>Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Croatia to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-188 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br>(65%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Croatia outshot England in Arlington and were level at 2-2 at the break before the bench depth ran out. Against a Panama side already beaten on this pitch, that midfield should boss the game.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Croatia 2-0<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>+600 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br>(14%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Panama have scored once in their last three competitive games and were shut out by Ghana on Wednesday. Croatia win comfortably without needing a third.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong data-player-id=\"ew18qvvupaejxubhqmxmbd39x\">Andrej Kramari\u0107<\/strong> Anytime Scorer<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>+125 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br>(44%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Kramari\u0107 scored seven in qualifying and is the senior penalty taker. With Croatia chasing the win from minute one, he is the most likely man on the end of a chance.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-125 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br>(56%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Panama&#8217;s last three competitive matches have produced one, two and one goals. A controlled Croatia performance fits the pattern.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-134 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br>(57%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Panama have been blanked in three of their last six competitive outings, including the opener against Ghana. The market is right to lean No.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Our approach: anchor on Croatia to win, add the 2-0 correct score as the long-shot leg, and treat the Kramaric goalscorer line as the parlay add.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"935\"\n            data-offer-id=\"1071\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#005641\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/01\/20112959\/bet365_Logo_Inline.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"bet365 logo\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Bet365<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">First Bet Safety Net &#8211; Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">First Bet Safety Net &#8211; Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Bet365\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Get Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Deposit required. 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width: auto; display: block;\n  filter: brightness(0) invert(1); opacity: .97;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-tease {\n  border-left: 3px solid #a8e039;\n  padding: 8px 0 8px 14px;\n  margin: 18px 0;\n  font-size: 15px;\n  color: #15351f;\n  background: linear-gradient(90deg, rgba(168,224,57,.08), rgba(168,224,57,0) 80%);\n}\n.sq-kalshi-tease strong { color: #0a2c1f; font-weight: 800; }\n.sq-kalshi-tease a { color: #0a2c1f; font-weight: 700; text-decoration: underline; text-underline-offset: 2px; text-decoration-color: rgba(10,44,31,.4); }\n.sq-kalshi-tease a:hover { text-decoration-color: #a8e039; }\n@media (max-width: 600px) {\n  .sq-kalshi-block__inner { padding: 24px 22px 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block__title { font-size: 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block thead th, .sq-kalshi-block tbody td { padding: 9px 6px; font-size: 11.5px; }\n}\n<\/style>\n<section class=\"sq-kalshi-block\" id=\"prediction-markets\"><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__pattern\"><\/div><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__inner\"><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__badge\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Prediction Markets &middot; Live Odds<\/span><h2 class=\"sq-kalshi-block__title\">Win Probability &amp; Tournament Outlook<\/h2><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__meta\">Source: Kalshi prediction markets &middot; Updated minutes ago &middot; <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Read our full Kalshi review<\/a><\/p><p>The match-level read on Kalshi points firmly toward Croatia. Traders are pricing Panama at <strong>14%<\/strong> to win, the draw at <strong>24%<\/strong>, and Croatia at <strong>64%<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Across the wider group, Kalshi has Panama at <strong>11%<\/strong> to qualify from Group L and <strong>1%<\/strong> to win it, with Croatia at <strong>78%<\/strong> \/ <strong>2%<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Beyond the group, here is how Kalshi&#8217;s stage-of-elimination market prices each side&#8217;s tournament arc:<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Group exit<\/th><th>R32<\/th><th>R16<\/th><th>QF<\/th><th>SF<\/th><th>Runner-up<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Panama<\/td><td>90%<\/td><td>10%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>3%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Croatia<\/td><td>20%<\/td><td>42%<\/td><td>37%<\/td><td>10%<\/td><td>19%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>4%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p>Kalshi is the prediction-market platform available to US traders in all 50 states. Prices move with money, not a bookmaker&#8217;s margin, so the implied probabilities above read as a live market consensus.<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-scaled.png\" alt=\"Kalshi\" width=\"68\" height=\"18\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-text\">Trade on Kalshi &middot; USE CODE SQUAWKA &rarr;<\/span><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-sec\" href=\"\/us\/news\/world-cup-2026-predictions\/#prediction-markets\">See the full live tracker &rarr;<\/a><\/div><!--KALSHI_PM_ALTS_START--><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-divider\"><\/div><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-lead\">If Kalshi isn&rsquo;t your choice, we also rate <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\">Polymarket<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/prophetx\/\">ProphetX<\/a> &mdash; or compare the full lineup.<\/p><div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" alt=\"Polymarket\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/06\/12062936\/ProphetX.svg\" alt=\"ProphetX\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__alts-btn\" href=\"\/us\/bet\/best-prediction-markets\/\">Compare All &rarr;<\/a><\/div><!--KALSHI_PM_ALTS_END--><p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__foot\">Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid\/last). Markets move &mdash; not financial advice. 21+. T&amp;Cs apply.<\/p><\/div><\/section>\n<!--KALSHI_PM_BLOCK_END-->\n\n\n<h2>World Cup Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<p>Group L sits split clean down the middle after the opening round: England and Ghana on three points apiece, Panama and Croatia both on zero and both on negative goal difference. The next 90 minutes settle which of the bottom two carries any progression chance into the final group game.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Panama<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Croatia<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Andrej Kramari\u0107 (Croatia):<\/strong> The 34-year-old Hoffenheim forward scored seven in qualifying and is the senior penalty taker. A late substitute against England, he is the most likely man to start through the middle here.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Petar Musa (Croatia):<\/strong> Got off the mark against England with a sharp finish from a Peri\u0161i\u0107 cross. Six goals in qualifying made him Croatia&#8217;s joint-top scorer in the campaign and he gives the Vatreni a more direct lead-line option than Budimir.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Martin Baturina (Croatia):<\/strong> The 22-year-old Dinamo Zagreb playmaker started against England, played 78 minutes and scored from outside the box. Croatia&#8217;s most progressive midfielder once <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/croatia-world-cup-2026-odds\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Croatia<\/a> get into the final third.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Adalberto Carrasquilla (Panama):<\/strong> Houston Dynamo&#8217;s midfield anchor. Played all 90 against Ghana and remains Panama&#8217;s chief outlet for transition. If Panama keep this scoreless past the hour, it will be because Carrasquilla and Carlos Harvey have controlled the engine room.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>This is the first competitive meeting between Panama and Croatia. The two nations have not crossed paths at senior level in qualifying or at a major tournament.<\/p>\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n<h3>Panama: L<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jun 17, 2026: Ghana 1-0 Panama (L)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Panama actually arrived at this World Cup off the back of three Concacaf qualifying wins and a draw, but the opener against Ghana broke the rhythm. The attack went quiet for the first time in seven competitive games.<\/p>\n<h3>Croatia: L<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>Jun 17, 2026: England 4-2 Croatia (L)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Croatia ran England close in Arlington and only fell away once the bench depth told late on. The qualifying run before that was clean: four wins and a draw in their last five before the tournament, with Musa and Kramaric both into double figures across the campaign.<\/p>\n<h2>Panama vs Croatia Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>Panama play their football with discipline and structure, but they were shut out by a less-creative Ghana side on the same pitch and Croatia&#8217;s midfield is a tier above that. Take <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>Croatia to Win at -188 with bet365<\/strong><\/a> as the anchor, with Kramaric to score anytime as the natural add. Kick-off is 7:00 PM ET at BMO Field in Toronto.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Panama vs Croatia kicks off on Tuesday, June 23 at 7:00 PM ET \/ 6:00 PM CT \/ 4:00 PM PT at BMO Field in Toronto, with both sides chasing a first World Cup 2026 point after losing their Group L openers. Our Panama vs Croatia prediction starts from a simple table: Group L&#8217;s bottom&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":13015,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"panama vs croatia prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Panama vs Croatia: World Cup 2026 Prediction | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Panama vs Croatia prediction, picks and odds for the Group L matchday-2 clash at BMO Field. Croatia at -188 is the anchor with Kramaric to score.","footnotes":""},"tags":[273],"news-category":[328],"class_list":["post-13016","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-world-cup-2026","news-category-world-cup"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Panama vs Croatia: World Cup 2026 Prediction | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Panama vs Croatia prediction, picks and odds for the Group L matchday-2 clash at BMO Field. 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