{"id":10129,"date":"2026-06-14T18:21:54","date_gmt":"2026-06-14T22:21:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=10129"},"modified":"2026-06-14T18:23:14","modified_gmt":"2026-06-14T22:23:14","slug":"match-preview-turkey-vs-paraguay-06-19-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-turkey-vs-paraguay-06-19-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Turkey vs Paraguay: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

Turkey and Paraguay meet at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara on Friday, June 19 at 11:00 PM ET \/ 10:00 PM CT \/ 8:00 PM PT, and the loser is pushed to the brink of World Cup 2026<\/a>\u00a0elimination.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Both sides lost their openers. Turkey were beaten 2-0 by Australia in Vancouver, undone by an early goal and a thin attacking return. Paraguay were dismantled 4-1 by the United States in Inglewood, three down at half-time and never in the contest. With USA and Australia heading into a likely points-share in the same Group D window, the Crescent-Stars and La Albirroja both arrive at matchday 2 needing a win to stay alive.<\/p>\n

The market has Turkey as a clear favorite. bet365 prices Vincenzo Montella’s side at +100 (50.0% implied) with Paraguay drifting out to +300, a gap that reflects both the squad-quality difference and the manner of each side’s MD1 defeat. Below, we break down the best bets, the prediction-market read, and where this Group D scrap is likely to be decided.<\/p>\n

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Market consensus:<\/strong> Kalshi traders price Turkey at 48%<\/strong>, the draw at 29%<\/strong>, and Paraguay at 25%<\/strong>. Full breakdown below<\/a>.<\/p>\n

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Turkey vs Paraguay: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n
\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Match Result: Turkey<\/td>\n+100 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(50.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nParaguay shipped four against the USA and looked structurally outmatched. Turkey’s attack misfired in Vancouver but the Arda G\u00fcler\u2013Hakan \u00c7alhano\u011flu axis is a level above anything La Albirroja can put on the pitch.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 1-0 Turkey<\/td>\n+550 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(15.4%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTurkey have the better attack but Paraguay are likely to sit deep after the SoFi mauling. A tight, low-scoring win is the cleanest read on a game where neither team wants to lose first.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Anytime Goalscorer: Kerem Akt\u00fcrko\u011flu<\/span> (Turkey)<\/td>\n+220 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(31.2%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTurkey’s leading attacker from qualifying. Five goals in the road to North America and the man Montella turns to when chances dry up.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Total Goals: Under 2.5<\/td>\n-150 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(60.0%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nParaguay’s instinct will be to tighten up after the SoFi mauling, and Turkey have looked uncomfortable when forced to break a low block. One goal of breathing room may be enough.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/td>\n-125 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(55.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nParaguay rarely score in matches where they sit deep, and a points-driven game plan from Daniel Garnero is now the obvious read.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Our headline call is Turkey to win at +100, paired with Under 2.5 goals (-150) for a low-scoring decisive afternoon. The pre-tournament numbers say Turkey were the stronger side coming in and Paraguay’s MD1 collapse only widens that gap.<\/p>\n

Odds and lines correct at the time of writing via bet365. Bonus Bet offers and operator promotions are subject to operator T&Cs.<\/small><\/p>\n\n

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\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\"bet365<\/a>\t\t\t\t
\n \n Bet365<\/a> <\/span>\n \n First Bet Safety Net – Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n First Bet Safety Net – Get Up To $1,000 in Bonus Bets<\/a> <\/span>\n <\/div>\n
\n\t\t\t\tGet Offer<\/a>
\n Our Score<\/span>\n 9.5<\/span>\n <\/div>\n \n Read our review<\/span>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t

Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n\n\n