{"id":3707,"date":"2026-06-12T12:19:41","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T16:19:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=bookmaker&#038;p=3707"},"modified":"2026-06-12T12:19:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-12T16:19:41","slug":"kalshi","status":"publish","type":"bookmaker","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/","title":{"rendered":"Kalshi Referral Code 2026: Trade $10, Get $10 with SQUAWKA"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Kalshi<\/strong><\/a> is a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange where you trade yes\/no contracts on real-world events, including a deep slate of US sports markets. It is not a sportsbook in the conventional sense. Is Kalshi legit? Yes \u2014 it operates under federal CFTC oversight as a Designated Contract Market, with segregated customer funds and KYC on every account. Prices are quoted as cents on the dollar, every contract settles at $1 or $0, and the platform is available in all 50 states. New users can claim a <strong>Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/strong> on sign-up. We trade Kalshi for futures, season-long markets, and the kind of edge plays that traditional books do not price cleanly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What is Kalshi?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Kalshi is a federally regulated prediction-market exchange where users trade yes\/no contracts on the outcomes of future real-world events, including a deep slate of US sports markets. Unlike a traditional sportsbook, Kalshi does not act as the house. Instead, traders take the opposite side of each other&rsquo;s positions on a central exchange, with prices reflecting the market&rsquo;s collective view of how likely an event is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The platform is regulated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a Designated Contract Market, the same regulatory category as the major commodities exchanges. Customer funds are held in segregated accounts and every user goes through identity verification. Kalshi is available in all 50 US states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Every Kalshi contract settles at either $1 (the predicted outcome happened) or $0 (it didn&rsquo;t). Prices are quoted in cents between those two endpoints and effectively represent the implied probability of the outcome. A contract trading at 65&cent; means the market thinks there is a 65% chance the event will resolve yes. Traders can buy, sell, and close positions before settlement, the same way you would trade any other financial instrument.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is a <strong>Kalshi review<\/strong> built for US bettors weighing prediction markets against sportsbooks. Below: how the pricing model differs, what is and is not legal in your state, the sports markets you can actually trade, fees, the welcome offer, sign-up steps, and our verdict on who Kalshi suits best.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"background-color:#00a651\"><strong>Claim the Kalshi welcome bonus<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-is-kalshi-legit\">Is Kalshi legit?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Short answer: yes. Kalshi is a federally-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM) licensed by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). That is the same regulatory tier as the major US futures exchanges \u2014 about as legitimate as an event-contract platform gets in the United States.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The practical safeguards that come with that status:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Segregated customer funds<\/strong> \u2014 your deposits are held separately from Kalshi&#8217;s operating capital, so customer money is ring-fenced if the company ever runs into trouble.<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>KYC identity verification<\/strong> on every account \u2014 state-issued ID and SSN at sign-up. No anonymous trading.<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Federal oversight<\/strong> \u2014 the CFTC supervises market integrity, settlement, and contract design. State-level legal challenges to Kalshi&#8217;s sports markets have been filed in Nevada and New Jersey, but Kalshi remains operational nationally while those cases work through the courts.<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Form 1099-B tax reporting<\/strong> \u2014 gains reported as short-term capital gains rather than gambling winnings.<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Real volume<\/strong> \u2014 Kalshi clears tens of millions of dollars across political, economic and sports markets daily, with public order books and live pricing.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>The risks on Kalshi are market risks, not platform risks: you can lose your stake on any contract that resolves against you, and thinner markets carry wider spreads. None of that makes Kalshi a scam \u2014 it makes it a regulated exchange, which is exactly what it sets out to be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-kalshi-welcome-offer\">Kalshi referral code: Trade $10, Get $10 bonus<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>New Kalshi users can claim a <strong>Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/strong> credit. The mechanics are simple: register, fund the account, place qualifying trades totalling $10 within 30 days of sign-up, and the bonus credit lands in the account.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The bonus is tradable on any Kalshi market and can be withdrawn after the qualifying trade settles. There is no rollover requirement of the sort sportsbook welcome offers carry. The $10 size is modest compared with sportsbook welcome bonuses that run to $1,000 in bonus bets, but Kalshi&#8217;s bonus terms are cleaner. No 1x rollover, no expiry cliff, no specific-market restrictions on use. Full T&#038;Cs are listed on the operator page at sign-up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Click through to Kalshi via the link above and you will land on a co-branded welcome page reading <em>&#8220;SQUAWKA sent you $10 on Kalshi.&#8221;<\/em> That confirms the referral tracking is in place and your $10 bonus is queued behind your first qualifying trade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" target=\"_blank\" style=\"background-color:#00a651\"><strong>Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus on Kalshi<\/strong><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><em>No code to copy or remember &mdash; the $10 bonus is automatically applied through the Squawka referral link. New users will see &ldquo;SQUAWKA sent you $10 on Kalshi&rdquo; on the Kalshi sign-up screen. Trade $10 within 30 days of registration to unlock the bonus.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-kalshi-works\">How Kalshi works<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Every Kalshi market is a yes\/no question about a real-world event. &#8220;Will Arsenal win the Premier League?&#8221; &#8220;Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Championship?&#8221; &#8220;Will the US national team reach the World Cup quarter-finals?&#8221; Each market resolves at a specific date based on a defined outcome.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Prices are quoted between 1\u00a2 and 99\u00a2. A price of 65\u00a2 means the market collectively prices the yes outcome at a 65% implied probability. Buy a yes contract at 65\u00a2 and if the event happens, the contract settles at $1.00, paying out 35\u00a2 profit on a 65\u00a2 stake. If it does not happen, the contract settles at $0 and the 65\u00a2 is lost. You can also buy the no side, or sell your position at any time before expiry at whatever the market is currently quoting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-event-contracts-explained\">Event contracts explained<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The legal framework here matters. Kalshi event contracts are classified by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as commodity derivatives, not gambling instruments. That is the regulatory wedge that lets Kalshi operate where sportsbooks cannot. It is also the reason gains are typically reported as short-term capital gains on Form 1099-B rather than as gambling winnings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-pricing-vs-sportsbook-odds\">How pricing differs from sportsbook odds<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>A sportsbook builds its margin into the price. American odds of +110 \/ -130 on a two-way market sum to an implied probability above 100%, with the gap going to the book as overround. Kalshi has no overround built in. The yes and no prices on a true two-way market should sum to roughly 100\u00a2, with the small remainder going to platform fees. For a sharp bettor, the absence of built-in juice is the single biggest structural difference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-is-kalshi-legal-in-the-us\">Is Kalshi legal in the US?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Kalshi operates under federal CFTC regulation as a Designated Contract Market. That federal status means Kalshi is available in all 50 states, including states where sports betting is not legal. For US bettors in Florida, Georgia, Texas, Utah, California, Idaho, Alabama, Minnesota and other states without legal sportsbooks, Kalshi is the only regulated route to trade event outcomes on major sports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>State-level challenges to Kalshi&#8217;s sports markets have been filed, most prominently in Nevada and New Jersey, where regulators have argued the offering encroaches on state gaming jurisdiction. As of writing, Kalshi remains operational nationally while those challenges work through the courts. For the long-form regulatory background, see our <a href=\"\/us\/news\/what-is-kalshi-sports-prediction-markets\/\">Kalshi explainer<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tax treatment is one of the practical upsides. Kalshi issues a Form 1099-B for net gains, treating event-contract profits as short-term capital gains. That is materially different from gambling winnings, which carry their own reporting rules and cannot offset losses against winnings outside the same calendar year. Always consult a tax professional for your specific situation. This is not legal or tax advice.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-sports-markets-covered\">Sports markets covered on Kalshi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Kalshi&#8217;s sports coverage has expanded sharply through 2026. The main markets readers will trade:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>NFL<\/strong> \u2014 game winners, weekly totals, conference championship futures, Super Bowl outright, MVP, regular-season win totals<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>NBA<\/strong> \u2014 game winners, championship futures, MVP, Finals MVP, conference winners<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>MLB<\/strong> \u2014 game winners, World Series outright, league championship futures, MVP<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>NHL<\/strong> \u2014 game winners, Stanley Cup futures, Conn Smythe<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Soccer<\/strong> \u2014 Premier League title, Champions League winners, FIFA <a href=\"\/us\/world-cup-2026\/\">2026 World Cup<\/a> outright, <a href=\"\/us\/mls\/\">MLS Cup<\/a>, Liga MX winner<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Tennis<\/strong> \u2014 Grand Slam winners (Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, US Open)<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Golf<\/strong> \u2014 major championship winners (Masters, PGA, US Open, Open Championship)<\/li>\n\n\n<li><strong>Player awards<\/strong> \u2014 Ballon d&#8217;Or, Heisman, Hart Trophy, Cy Young (see our <a href=\"\/us\/news\/ballon-dor-2026-predictions\/\">Ballon d&#8217;Or predictions<\/a> for live Kalshi pricing)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Where Kalshi lags sportsbooks is in-play markets and prop depth. Kalshi has been adding live markets through 2026, but a sportsbook still beats it on volume of in-game lines and player props during a televised match. For pre-event futures and outrights, Kalshi pricing is often sharper than the sportsbook equivalent because the no-overround structure compresses the spread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--KALSHI_3707_WIDGET_START-->\n<p style=\"font-size:14px;color:#555;margin:18px 0 8px;\"><strong>Live example:<\/strong> Kalshi&#8217;s World Cup 2026 outright winner market &mdash; one of the deepest sports event-contracts on the platform right now.<\/p>\n\n<div class=\"sq-markets\" id=\"prediction-markets\">\n  <style>\n    .sq-markets { --bg:#03261a; --panel:#0a2c1f; --line:#2a5841; --txt:#f4f8f1;\n      --mut:#88a89a; --accent:#a8e039;\n      max-width:640px; margin:28px auto; background:var(--panel);\n      border:1px solid var(--line); border-radius:18px; overflow:hidden;\n      box-shadow:0 24px 60px rgba(0,0,0,.45);\n      font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',-apple-system,BlinkMacSystemFont,'Segoe UI',Inter,sans-serif;\n      color:var(--txt); }\n    .sq-markets *, .sq-markets *::before, .sq-markets *::after { box-sizing:border-box; }\n    .sq-markets__top { display:flex; align-items:center; justify-content:space-between;\n      padding:16px 22px; border-bottom:1px solid var(--line);\n      background:linear-gradient(135deg,#0e3f29 0%,#08251a 100%); }\n    .sq-markets__brand { display:flex; align-items:center; font-weight:800; font-size:21px;\n      letter-spacing:-.5px; color:#fff; }\n    .sq-markets__brand-tag { color:rgba(255,255,255,.7); font-weight:600; font-size:12px;\n      margin-left:8px; align-self:flex-end; padding-bottom:2px; }\n    .sq-markets__powered { font-size:11px; text-align:right; line-height:1.4;\n      color:rgba(255,255,255,.85); }\n    .sq-markets__powered b { color:#fff; }\n    .sq-markets__h1 { font-size:21px; margin:20px 22px 2px; letter-spacing:-.5px;\n      color:#fff; font-weight:900; }\n    .sq-markets__sub { color:var(--mut); font-size:13px; margin:0 22px 16px; }\n    .sq-markets__stats { display:flex; gap:10px; padding:0 22px 18px; }\n    .sq-markets__stat { flex:1; background:var(--bg); border:1px solid var(--line);\n      border-radius:12px; padding:12px 14px; }\n    .sq-markets__stat-k { font-size:11px; color:var(--mut); text-transform:uppercase;\n      letter-spacing:.6px; }\n    .sq-markets__stat-v { font-size:20px; font-weight:800; margin-top:3px; color:#fff; }\n    .sq-markets__stat-v small { font-size:12px; color:var(--mut); font-weight:600; }\n    .sq-markets__chartwrap { padding:6px 16px 12px; }\n    .sq-markets__chartwrap canvas { width:100% !important; height:200px !important; }\n    .sq-markets__secthead { display:flex; align-items:baseline; justify-content:space-between;\n      padding:8px 22px 6px; }\n    .sq-markets__secthead-h { font-size:14px; text-transform:uppercase; letter-spacing:.7px;\n      color:var(--mut); margin:0; font-weight:800; }\n    .sq-markets__list { padding:2px 14px 6px; }\n    .sq-markets__row { display:flex; align-items:center; gap:12px; padding:11px 8px;\n      border-bottom:1px solid var(--line); }\n    .sq-markets__row:last-child { border-bottom:0; }\n    .sq-markets__rank { width:22px; height:22px; flex:0 0 22px; border-radius:7px;\n      background:var(--bg); border:1px solid var(--line);\n      display:grid; place-items:center; font-size:12px; font-weight:800; color:var(--mut); }\n    .sq-markets__team { flex:1; min-width:0; }\n    .sq-markets__tname { font-weight:700; font-size:15px; color:#fff; }\n    .sq-markets__tmeta { font-size:12px; color:var(--mut); margin-top:1px; }\n    .sq-markets__delta { margin-left:6px; font-weight:700; }\n    .sq-markets__delta small { color:var(--mut); font-weight:500; margin-left:2px; }\n    .sq-markets__delta.up { color:var(--accent); }\n    .sq-markets__delta.down { color:#FF6B6B; }\n    .sq-markets__prob { font-size:18px; font-weight:800; font-variant-numeric:tabular-nums;\n      color:#fff; }\n    .sq-markets__back { font-size:12px; font-weight:800; color:#0a2c1f !important;\n      background:var(--accent); padding:7px 11px; border-radius:9px;\n      text-decoration:none !important; white-space:nowrap;\n      transition:transform .1s ease, filter .1s ease; }\n    .sq-markets__back:hover { transform:translateY(-1px); filter:brightness(1.06); }\n    .sq-markets__cta { margin:6px 16px 18px; background:linear-gradient(135deg,#0e3f29,#08251a);\n      border:1px solid var(--accent); border-radius:14px; padding:16px 18px;\n      display:flex; align-items:center; gap:14px; }\n    .sq-markets__cta-txt { flex:1; }\n    .sq-markets__cta-h { font-weight:800; font-size:15px; color:#fff; }\n    .sq-markets__cta-p { font-size:12.5px; color:var(--mut); margin-top:2px; }\n    .sq-markets__cta-p b { color:#0a2c1f; background:var(--accent); padding:2px 7px;\n      border-radius:5px; letter-spacing:.5px; font-weight:900; }\n    .sq-markets__cta a { display:inline-flex; align-items:center; gap:9px;\n      background:var(--accent); color:#0a2c1f !important; font-weight:900; font-size:13.5px;\n      padding:11px 16px; border-radius:10px; text-decoration:none !important;\n      white-space:nowrap; }\n    .sq-markets__cta a img { height:16px; width:auto; filter:brightness(0); }\n    .sq-markets__foot { font-size:10.5px; color:var(--mut); text-align:center;\n      padding:0 22px 18px; line-height:1.5; }\n    @media (max-width:600px) {\n      .sq-markets__row { flex-wrap:wrap; }\n      .sq-markets__back { margin-left:auto; }\n    }\n  <\/style>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-markets__top\">\n    <div class=\"sq-markets__brand\"><svg width=\"28\" height=\"28\" viewBox=\"0 0 28 28\" fill=\"none\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" style=\"margin-right:9px;flex-shrink:0\"><path d=\"M17.024 10.977H22.4C22.4 8.006 19.994 5.6 17.024 5.6H11.648C11.648 8.571 14.054 10.977 17.024 10.977Z\" fill=\"#fff\"\/><path d=\"M10.976 16.353V5.6C8.006 5.6 5.6 8.006 5.6 10.977C5.6 13.947 8.006 16.353 10.976 16.353Z\" fill=\"#fff\"\/><path d=\"M17.023 11.649V22.401C19.993 22.401 22.399 19.996 22.399 17.025C22.399 14.055 19.993 11.649 17.023 11.649Z\" fill=\"#fff\"\/><path d=\"M10.976 17.024H5.6C5.6 19.995 8.006 22.4 10.976 22.4H16.352C16.352 19.43 13.946 17.024 10.976 17.024Z\" fill=\"#fff\"\/><\/svg>Squawka <span class=\"sq-markets__brand-tag\">Markets<\/span><\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-markets__powered\">odds by<br><b>Kalshi<\/b><\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <h2 class=\"sq-markets__h1\">Who wins the 2026 World Cup?<\/h2>\n  <p class=\"sq-markets__sub\">Live implied probability from 48 nation markets &middot; 12 Jun 2026, 16:19 UTC<\/p>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-markets__stats\">\n    <div class=\"sq-markets__stat\"><div class=\"sq-markets__stat-k\">Total volume<\/div><div class=\"sq-markets__stat-v\">185.2M <small>contracts<\/small><\/div><\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-markets__stat\"><div class=\"sq-markets__stat-k\">24h volume<\/div><div class=\"sq-markets__stat-v\">32.9M<\/div><\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-markets__stat\"><div class=\"sq-markets__stat-k\">Open interest<\/div><div class=\"sq-markets__stat-v\">166.9M<\/div><\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-markets__secthead\"><h3 class=\"sq-markets__secthead-h\">Movement &middot; last 90 days<\/h3><\/div>\n  <div class=\"sq-markets__chartwrap\"><canvas id=\"sq-markets-mv\"><\/canvas><\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-markets__secthead\"><h3 class=\"sq-markets__secthead-h\">Top 5 favourites now<\/h3><\/div>\n  <div class=\"sq-markets__list\">\n        <div class=\"sq-markets__row\">\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__rank\">1<\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__team\">\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tname\">Spain<\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tmeta\">7.5M traded <span class=\"sq-markets__delta up\">&#9650; 0.3<small>pt 30d<\/small><\/span><\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__prob\">17.7%<\/div>\n          <a class=\"sq-markets__back\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"\n             href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\">Back on Kalshi &rarr;<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-markets__row\">\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__rank\">2<\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__team\">\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tname\">France<\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tmeta\">10.2M traded <span class=\"sq-markets__delta down\">&#9660; 1.9<small>pt 30d<\/small><\/span><\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__prob\">17.1%<\/div>\n          <a class=\"sq-markets__back\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"\n             href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\">Back on Kalshi &rarr;<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-markets__row\">\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__rank\">3<\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__team\">\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tname\">England<\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tmeta\">6.2M traded <span class=\"sq-markets__delta down\">&#9660; 0.5<small>pt 30d<\/small><\/span><\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__prob\">10.8%<\/div>\n          <a class=\"sq-markets__back\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"\n             href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\">Back on Kalshi &rarr;<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-markets__row\">\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__rank\">4<\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__team\">\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tname\">Portugal<\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tmeta\">11.7M traded <span class=\"sq-markets__delta up\">&#9650; 2.6<small>pt 30d<\/small><\/span><\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__prob\">10.8%<\/div>\n          <a class=\"sq-markets__back\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"\n             href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\">Back on Kalshi &rarr;<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"sq-markets__row\">\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__rank\">5<\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__team\">\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tname\">Argentina<\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-markets__tmeta\">5.8M traded <span class=\"sq-markets__delta down\">&#9660; 0.7<small>pt 30d<\/small><\/span><\/div>\n          <\/div>\n          <div class=\"sq-markets__prob\">8.9%<\/div>\n          <a class=\"sq-markets__back\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"\n             href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\">Back on Kalshi &rarr;<\/a>\n        <\/div><\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-markets__cta\">\n    <div class=\"sq-markets__cta-txt\">\n      <div class=\"sq-markets__cta-h\">Trade the World Cup on Kalshi<\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-markets__cta-p\">Get started &mdash; <b>USE CODE SQUAWKA<\/b><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n    <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">\n      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-scaled.png\" alt=\"Kalshi\" width=\"56\" height=\"14\" loading=\"lazy\" \/>\n      Claim offer &rarr;\n    <\/a>\n  <\/div>\n\n  <div class=\"sq-markets__foot\">\n    Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid\/last). Markets move &mdash; not financial advice. 21+. T&amp;Cs apply.\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<script src=\"https:\/\/cdn.jsdelivr.net\/npm\/chart.js@4.4.1\/dist\/chart.umd.min.js\"><\/script>\n<script>\n(function() {\n  if (!window.Chart) { setTimeout(arguments.callee, 100); return; }\n  var canvas = document.getElementById('sq-markets-mv');\n  if (!canvas || canvas.dataset.sqInit) return;\n  canvas.dataset.sqInit = '1';\n  new Chart(canvas, {\n    type:'line',\n    data:{ labels: [\"Mar 15\", \"Mar 16\", \"Mar 17\", \"Mar 18\", \"Mar 19\", \"Mar 20\", \"Mar 21\", \"Mar 22\", \"Mar 23\", \"Mar 24\", \"Mar 25\", \"Mar 26\", \"Mar 27\", \"Mar 28\", \"Mar 29\", \"Mar 30\", \"Mar 31\", \"Apr 01\", \"Apr 02\", \"Apr 03\", \"Apr 04\", \"Apr 05\", \"Apr 06\", \"Apr 07\", \"Apr 08\", \"Apr 09\", \"Apr 10\", \"Apr 11\", \"Apr 12\", \"Apr 13\", \"Apr 14\", \"Apr 15\", \"Apr 16\", \"Apr 17\", \"Apr 18\", \"Apr 19\", \"Apr 20\", \"Apr 21\", \"Apr 22\", \"Apr 23\", \"Apr 24\", \"Apr 25\", \"Apr 26\", \"Apr 27\", \"Apr 28\", \"Apr 29\", \"Apr 30\", \"May 01\", \"May 02\", \"May 03\", \"May 04\", \"May 05\", \"May 06\", \"May 07\", \"May 08\", \"May 09\", \"May 10\", \"May 11\", \"May 12\", \"May 13\", \"May 14\", \"May 15\", \"May 16\", \"May 17\", \"May 18\", \"May 19\", \"May 20\", \"May 21\", \"May 22\", \"May 23\", \"May 24\", \"May 25\", \"May 26\", \"May 27\", \"May 28\", \"May 29\", \"May 30\", \"May 31\", \"Jun 01\", \"Jun 02\", \"Jun 03\", \"Jun 04\", \"Jun 05\", \"Jun 06\", \"Jun 07\", \"Jun 08\", \"Jun 09\", \"Jun 10\", \"Jun 11\", \"Jun 12\"], datasets: [{\"label\": \"Spain\", \"data\": [18.0, 17.0, 18.0, 18.0, 17.0, 18.0, 18.0, 18.0, 18.0, 18.0, 18.0, 18.0, 17.0, 17.3, 17.2, 17.2, 17.2, 17.1, 17.0, 17.1, 17.1, 17.1, 17.2, 17.2, 17.1, 17.1, 17.2, 17.1, 17.0, 17.1, 17.1, 17.1, 17.1, 17.2, 17.2, 17.2, 17.2, 17.2, 17.0, 17.0, 17.1, 17.2, 16.7, 16.7, 16.7, 16.7, 16.7, 16.6, 16.9, 16.5, 16.9, 16.6, 16.6, 16.6, 16.8, 16.3, 16.8, 16.9, 16.9, 16.9, 16.5, 16.3, 16.6, 15.7, 16.2, 16.2, 16.1, 15.9, 16.4, 16.8, 16.8, 16.8, 16.6, 16.4, 17.1, 17.0, 17.0, 17.6, 17.1, 16.7, 16.7, 16.7, 16.5, 16.5, 16.5, 16.5, 16.5, 16.6, 17.6, 17.2], \"borderColor\": \"#a8e039\", \"backgroundColor\": \"#a8e039\", \"borderWidth\": 2.5, \"tension\": 0.3, \"pointRadius\": 0, \"pointHoverRadius\": 4}, {\"label\": \"France\", \"data\": [12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 11.0, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 11.4, 11.2, 11.3, 11.3, 11.8, 13.6, 15.3, 17.0, 16.1, 15.0, 16.7, 16.9, 16.4, 16.6, 16.3, 16.1, 16.2, 16.2, 16.2, 16.2, 16.2, 16.9, 16.3, 17.0, 16.9, 16.7, 17.8, 17.7, 17.8, 17.6, 17.8, 17.9, 18.7, 19.3, 20.2, 17.7, 18.5, 18.7, 18.7, 19.5, 18.0, 18.1, 18.3, 18.8, 19.1, 19.1, 19.1, 18.3, 18.2, 18.0, 18.1, 18.3, 17.8, 18.4, 18.0, 17.7, 17.9, 17.5, 17.5, 17.2, 16.9, 16.5, 16.8, 16.9, 17.6, 17.5, 17.1, 16.5, 17.0, 16.6, 16.2, 16.3, 16.2, 16.2, 16.2, 16.0, 17.2], \"borderColor\": \"#FFC93C\", \"backgroundColor\": \"#FFC93C\", \"borderWidth\": 2.5, \"tension\": 0.3, \"pointRadius\": 0, \"pointHoverRadius\": 4}, {\"label\": \"England\", \"data\": [13.0, 13.0, 12.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 12.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 13.0, 12.0, 12.3, 12.3, 12.3, 12.3, 12.3, 12.3, 12.3, 12.3, 12.3, 12.1, 12.1, 12.1, 12.0, 12.0, 11.3, 11.3, 11.4, 11.3, 11.2, 11.1, 11.2, 11.2, 11.2, 11.9, 11.9, 11.3, 11.9, 11.8, 11.4, 11.6, 11.6, 11.5, 11.5, 11.4, 11.6, 11.4, 11.5, 11.3, 11.3, 11.2, 11.3, 11.3, 11.3, 11.3, 11.4, 11.3, 11.2, 11.0, 11.0, 11.2, 11.0, 11.1, 11.0, 11.1, 11.0, 11.1, 11.1, 11.2, 11.1, 10.8, 10.9, 10.8, 11.0, 11.4, 11.3, 11.4, 11.1, 11.1, 10.9, 10.2, 10.5, 10.5, 10.2, 10.2, 10.7, 10.8, 10.7], \"borderColor\": \"#FF6B81\", \"backgroundColor\": \"#FF6B81\", \"borderWidth\": 2.5, \"tension\": 0.3, \"pointRadius\": 0, \"pointHoverRadius\": 4}, {\"label\": \"Portugal\", \"data\": [8.0, 9.0, 9.0, 8.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 8.0, 8.0, 8.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 8.3, 8.0, 8.0, 8.1, 8.1, 8.0, 8.1, 8.1, 8.1, 8.2, 8.2, 8.2, 8.1, 8.0, 7.8, 7.8, 7.6, 7.7, 7.7, 7.7, 7.7, 7.7, 7.6, 7.7, 7.7, 7.7, 7.7, 7.9, 7.4, 8.0, 8.1, 8.1, 8.2, 8.2, 8.1, 8.2, 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': ' + c.parsed.y + '%'; } } }\n      },\n      scales:{\n        x:{ ticks:{ color:'#88a89a', maxTicksLimit:6, font:{size:10} },\n             grid:{ color:'rgba(255,255,255,.04)' } },\n        y:{ ticks:{ color:'#88a89a', callback:function(v){ return v + '%'; }, font:{size:10} },\n             grid:{ color:'rgba(255,255,255,.06)' } }\n      }\n    }\n  });\n})();\n<\/script>\n\n<!--KALSHI_3707_WIDGET_END-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"what-to-trade-on-this-week-with-kalshi\">What to trade on this week with Kalshi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>These are Match Result calls drawn from our full <a href=\"\/us\/world-cup-2026\/\">World Cup 2026<\/a> previews. Kalshi prices them as cent-denominated contracts (a &#8220;Mexico Wins&#8221; contract at 58\u00a2 pays $1 if Mexico win, $0 if not), so use the link below to see the live price before committing capital. Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC and is available to verified users in all 50 US states.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Match<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pick<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody>\n<tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/06<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-spain-vs-cape-verde-06-15-26-world-cup-2026\/\">Spain vs Cape Verde<\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Spain to Win<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17\/06<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-england-vs-croatia-06-17-26-world-cup-2026\/\">England vs Croatia<\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">England to Win<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"sponsored noopener\">Trade these markets on Kalshi \u2192<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-fees-and-spreads\">Fees and spreads<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Kalshi charges a small per-trade fee that scales with position size. The fee is typically a fraction of a cent per contract, well below the implied juice on a sportsbook two-way market. Withdrawals process via bank ACH and are free, settling in one to three business days. Instant withdrawal to debit card is available with a small processing fee.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Funding methods are limited to ACH bank transfer and debit card. Kalshi does not accept credit-card deposits, e-wallets, or cryptocurrency. That is intentional, reflecting Kalshi&#8217;s status as a regulated futures exchange rather than a payment-flexible sportsbook. For comparison with the crypto-native alternative \u2014 now live for US real-money trading with a 100% deposit match up to $50 (code ACQUIRE05), available in all states except nine \u2014 see our <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket-review\/\">Polymarket review<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-pros-and-cons\">Pros and cons<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pros<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Available in all 50 states, including states without legal sportsbooks<\/li>\n\n\n<li>CFTC-regulated, providing federal-level oversight<\/li>\n\n\n<li>No overround built into pricing, so true probability sits closer to the quoted price<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Position selling lets you exit before expiry rather than holding to settlement<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Tax treatment as capital gains is cleaner than gambling-winnings reporting<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Welcome bonus has no rollover requirement<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cons<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Liquidity is thinner than sportsbooks on smaller markets, which can widen the spread<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Pricing model takes adjustment for bettors trained on American odds<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Fewer in-play and player-prop markets than a mainstream sportsbook<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Welcome bonus of $10 is small compared with sportsbook offers<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Funding limited to ACH and debit card; no credit card, no e-wallet, no crypto<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-how-to-sign-up\">How to sign up for Kalshi<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Go to the Kalshi sign-up page via our <a rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\">welcome offer link<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n<li>Register with Google sign-on (the primary path Kalshi offers from the welcome lander) or with an email address and password<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Verify your identity by uploading a state-issued ID and providing your Social Security number for tax reporting<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Connect a bank account or debit card and fund the account with at least $10<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Place qualifying trades totalling $10 within 30 days to unlock the bonus credit<\/li>\n\n\n<li>Trade on any open market: NFL, NBA, MLB, soccer, tennis, golf, awards, futures<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-kalshi-vs-polymarket\">Kalshi vs Polymarket: which to use?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The two big prediction-market platforms are now both live for US real-money trading, so the choice comes down to how they work rather than which one you can use. <strong>Kalshi<\/strong> is federally regulated as a CFTC Designated Contract Market, trades in all 50 states, and funds direct from your bank. <strong>Polymarket<\/strong> leads on global liquidity and runs a broader event-type catalogue (sports plus politics, culture, economics), funds in USDC over crypto rails, and is available across the US except for nine states (AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH) following its 2025 QCX acquisition. New Polymarket users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05 \u2014 full breakdown in our <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket-review\/\">Polymarket review<\/a>. For the broader background, the <a href=\"\/us\/news\/what-is-polymarket-sports-prediction-markets\/\">Polymarket explainer<\/a> covers the mechanics. Live soccer prediction-market pricing is tracked in our <a href=\"\/us\/soccer-predictions\/\">soccer predictions hub<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-final-verdict\">Final verdict<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Kalshi is the cleanest legal route for US bettors who want regulated access to sports event outcomes, particularly in states without legal sportsbooks. The pricing model is sharper than sportsbook odds on long-dated futures and outright markets. It is not a like-for-like replacement for a sportsbook on a live NFL Sunday, where market depth and prop volume still matter. For the right reader, Kalshi is a serious tool rather than a curiosity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-faqs\">Kalshi review FAQs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Is Kalshi gambling?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Legally, no. Kalshi operates as a CFTC-regulated commodity-exchange platform, with event contracts treated as derivatives rather than wagers. Gains are reported as short-term capital gains via Form 1099-B, not gambling winnings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Is Kalshi legal in my state?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Kalshi is available in all 50 US states because it operates under federal CFTC regulation. State-level challenges have been filed in Nevada and New Jersey but as of writing Kalshi remains operational nationally while those cases proceed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How do I withdraw money from Kalshi?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Withdrawals process via bank ACH free of charge, settling in one to three business days. Instant withdrawal to debit card is available with a small processing fee. All withdrawals require identity verification on first request.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How are Kalshi gains taxed?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Kalshi issues a Form 1099-B for net gains, treating event-contract profits as short-term capital gains. That tax treatment differs materially from gambling winnings. Consult a qualified tax professional for your specific situation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Can I day-trade on Kalshi?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Yes. Kalshi markets are continuous: you can buy a contract at one price and sell it at a different price before expiry. Active market participants treat Kalshi much like a futures-exchange book rather than a sportsbook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What is the minimum deposit on Kalshi?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The minimum deposit is $10. The Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus welcome offer requires a qualifying $10 trade within 30 days of sign-up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Does Kalshi have a promo code or referral code?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>No \u2014 Kalshi does not use promo codes or bonus codes. The $10 sign-up bonus is unlocked by joining via a referral link (you will land on a welcome page reading <em>&#8220;SQUAWKA sent you $10 on Kalshi&#8221;<\/em>) and trading at least $10 within 30 days of registration. There is no code to enter; the referral attribution comes from the link itself.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How does Kalshi compare with a sportsbook?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Kalshi is sharper on long-dated futures and outright markets thanks to no built-in overround, but sportsbooks beat Kalshi on in-play depth, player props, and welcome-bonus size. Many active bettors run both: sportsbook for live and prop volume, Kalshi for futures and structurally sharper pricing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Must be 18+. Trading event contracts involves risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This page is informational and is not investment advice. If you or someone you know has a problem with gambling, help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Squawka may earn a commission from links on this page at no additional cost to you. Welcome offer terms vary; check the operator&#8217;s site for current T&#038;Cs.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange where you trade yes\/no contracts on real-world events, including a deep slate of US sports markets. It is not a sportsbook in the conventional sense. Is Kalshi legit? Yes \u2014 it operates under federal CFTC oversight as a Designated Contract Market, with segregated customer funds and KYC on every&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":3709,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"kalshi referral code","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Kalshi Referral Code 2026: Trade $10, Get $10 with SQUAWKA","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Kalshi referral code 2026: no code to enter \u2014 the Squawka link auto-applies the $10 bonus on sign-up. 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