{"id":1487122,"date":"2026-09-08T11:54:37","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T10:54:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/outright-markets\/nfl-super-bowl-odds\/"},"modified":"2026-09-08T12:20:23","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T11:20:23","slug":"nfl-super-bowl-odds","status":"publish","type":"outright_markets","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/outright-markets\/nfl-super-bowl-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Super Bowl Odds 2027: Squawka Signal Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Squawka Signal is our own NFL model, and it is live for Super Bowl LXI. It rates all 32 teams from five seasons of results and each side&rsquo;s projected quarterback, then simulates the season tens of thousands of times to give every team a title probability. The full board is below, and it sharpens after every week of results &mdash; tap any team for its Squawka Rating and playoff odds.<\/p>\n<!-- SQ_SIGNAL_START -->\n\n<div class=\"sq-nsig\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__inner\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__tag\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Squawka Signal &middot; Model read<\/div><h2 class=\"sq-nsig__title\">NFL Super Bowl LXI &mdash; Squawka Signal<\/h2><p class=\"sq-nsig__meta\">Our model&rsquo;s Super Bowl LXI probability for every team. Pre-season it leans on five seasons of team strength plus each side&rsquo;s projected quarterback, and sharpens as results land. Tap any team for its Squawka Rating and playoff odds.<\/p><div class=\"sq-nsig__cards\"><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">1<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/BUF.png\" alt=\"BUF\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Buffalo Bills<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">13.8%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>97<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>13.8%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>88%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">2<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/DEN.png\" alt=\"DEN\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Denver Broncos<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">12.6%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>94<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>12.6%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>87%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">3<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/SEA.png\" alt=\"SEA\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Seattle Seahawks<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">11.6%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>89<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>11.6%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>84%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">4<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/LA.png\" alt=\"LA\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Los Angeles Rams<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">10.5%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>89<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>10.5%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>81%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">5<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/PHI.png\" alt=\"PHI\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Philadelphia Eagles<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">7.9%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>80<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>7.9%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>83%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">6<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/HOU.png\" alt=\"HOU\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Houston Texans<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">6.9%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>83<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>6.9%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>79%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">7<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/DET.png\" alt=\"DET\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Detroit Lions<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">6.8%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>78<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>6.8%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>80%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">8<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/JAC.png\" alt=\"JAC\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Jacksonville Jaguars<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">5.3%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>82<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>5.3%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>74%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">9<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/NE.png\" alt=\"NE\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">New England Patriots<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">5.1%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>85<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>5.1%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>72%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">10<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/BAL.png\" alt=\"BAL\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Baltimore Ravens<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">3.8%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>77<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>3.8%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>72%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">11<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/SF.png\" alt=\"SF\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">San Francisco 49ers<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">2.7%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>71<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>2.7%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>55%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">12<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/GB.png\" alt=\"GB\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Green Bay Packers<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">2.6%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>71<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>2.6%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>55%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">13<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/LAC.png\" alt=\"LAC\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Los Angeles Chargers<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">2.2%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>73<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>2.2%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>50%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">14<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/PIT.png\" alt=\"PIT\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Pittsburgh Steelers<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">1.5%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>67<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>1.5%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>51%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">15<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/CHI.png\" alt=\"CHI\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Chicago Bears<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">1.5%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>66<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>1.5%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>41%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><details class=\"sq-nsig__card\" name=\"sqnsig\"><summary class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__rank\">16<\/span><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/CIN.png\" alt=\"CIN\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Cincinnati Bengals<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">1.1%<\/span><\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__expand\" aria-hidden=\"true\">&#9662;<\/span><\/summary><div class=\"sq-nsig__det\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metrics\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Squawka Rating<\/span><b>62<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Win Super Bowl<\/span><b>1.1%<\/b><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__metric\"><span>Make playoffs<\/span><b>52%<\/b><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/details><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__cta-row\"><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/boylesports?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">BoyleSports<\/a><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">bet365<\/a><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/sky-bet?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Sky Bet<\/a><\/div><p class=\"sq-nsig__foot\">Squawka Rating = each team&rsquo;s strength on a 0&ndash;100 scale. Model % = Super Bowl probability across tens of thousands of season simulations, updated as games are played. These are model predictions, not a bookmaker&rsquo;s price. 18+. BeGambleAware.org. Please gamble responsibly. Read the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/nfl\/nfl-news\/nfl-signal-methodology\/\">Signal methodology<\/a>. Full T&amp;Cs &amp; geo-restrictions apply: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/boylesports\/\">BoyleSports<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/bet365\/\">bet365<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/sky-bet\/\">Sky Bet<\/a>.<\/p><style>\n.sq-nsig{position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:18px;margin:28px 0;isolation:isolate;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(47,230,201,.14) 0%,rgba(47,230,201,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 60%,#040f1d 100%);box-shadow:0 18px 44px rgba(4,15,29,.5);font-family:'Bricolage 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style=\"align-self:flex-start;margin-top:4px;background:#fff;color:#141018;font-weight:800;font-size:13.5px;text-decoration:none;padding:11px 18px;border-radius:10px;\">Browse NFL jerseys<\/a><span style=\"font-size:10.5px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.5);margin-top:4px;\">Affiliate links \u2014 Squawka may earn a commission on purchases.<\/span><\/div><div style=\"position:relative;z-index:1;flex:0 0 42%;max-width:250px;background:#f4f2f6;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:center;padding:18px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/feeds.frgimages.com\/_ss5_p-201359827+u-stpymtuivmbwbqwc07uz+v-smgbzpe4qrfvjsnewbzh.png?_hv=2&amp;w=340\" alt=\"Shop NFL\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"max-width:100%;max-height:150px;object-fit:contain;mix-blend-mode:multiply;\"><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/sqstore:taxonomy-banner -->\n\n<!-- SQ_SIGNAL_END -->\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What the Squawka Signal says<\/h2>\n<!-- SQ_SIGNAL_READ_START -->\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Squawka Signal makes the Buffalo Bills its Super Bowl LXI favourites at 13.8%<\/strong>, with the Buffalo Bills leading the AFC and the Seattle Seahawks the NFC. These are the model&rsquo;s numbers &mdash; a data-led read from tens of thousands of season simulations &mdash; and they move after every week of results.<\/p>\n\n<!-- SQ_SIGNAL_READ_END -->\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How the Squawka Signal NFL model works<\/h2><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Squawka Signal is a power-rating model. It starts from an Elo rating built on every NFL game since 2021 &mdash; a single number for each team&rsquo;s strength &mdash; then applies a <strong>quarterback adjustment<\/strong>, the biggest single lever in projecting NFL results, so a team is rated on who is actually under centre rather than last year&rsquo;s roster.<\/p><p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">From those ratings we simulate the rest of the season tens of thousands of times &mdash; every game, the playoff bracket and a neutral-site Super Bowl &mdash; and count how often each team lifts the trophy. The numbers refresh as games are played, moving with results, injuries and quarterback changes. Full detail is in our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/nfl\/nfl-news\/nfl-signal-methodology\/\">Signal methodology<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NFL Super Bowl odds FAQ<\/h2><div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\"><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"nfl-super_bowl-faq-0\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">How are Squawka&rsquo;s NFL Super Bowl odds calculated?<\/strong><p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Our Squawka Signal model rates every team from five seasons of results, adjusts for each side&rsquo;s projected starting quarterback, then simulates the rest of the season tens of thousands of times. The figure is a model probability, not a sportsbook price.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"nfl-super_bowl-faq-1\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">How often do the Super Bowl odds update?<\/strong><p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">The model refreshes as games are played &mdash; through the regular season and into the playoffs &mdash; so the numbers move with results, injuries and quarterback changes.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"nfl-super_bowl-faq-2\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Do these NFL Super Bowl odds come from a sportsbook?<\/strong><p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">No. These are our Squawka Signal model&rsquo;s probabilities, not a bookmaker&rsquo;s price &mdash; a data-led read on the race, updated as games are played.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"nfl-super_bowl-faq-3\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Where can I bet on the NFL Super Bowl in the UK?<\/strong><p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Licensed UK sportsbooks &mdash; BoyleSports, bet365 and Sky Bet &mdash; price NFL Super Bowl markets. See the links on this page, and please gamble responsibly.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"nfl-super_bowl-faq-4\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who does the model make Super Bowl LXI favourite?<\/strong><p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">The model&rsquo;s current order is in the table above &mdash; it updates as the season plays out, so the favourite can change with results.<\/p><\/div><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Squawka Signal is our own NFL model, and it is live for Super Bowl LXI. It rates all 32 teams from five seasons of results and each side&rsquo;s projected quarterback, then simulates the season tens of thousands of times to give every team a title probability. The full board is below, and it sharpens after&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":1487117,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"nfl super bowl odds","_yoast_wpseo_title":"NFL Super Bowl Odds 2027: Squawka Signal Predictions | EN","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Squawka Signal's NFL Super Bowl 2027 model for UK fans: a data-led title probability for all 32 teams, updated as games are played. 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