{"id":1390584,"date":"2026-02-15T16:17:05","date_gmt":"2026-02-15T16:17:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=outright_markets&p=1390584"},"modified":"2026-02-15T16:17:06","modified_gmt":"2026-02-15T16:17:06","slug":"liverpool-outright-odds-25-26","status":"publish","type":"outright_markets","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/outright-markets\/liverpool-outright-odds-25-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Liverpool odds to win the Premier League: Outright odds and predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Liverpool are enduring a difficult second season under Arne Slot, failing to mount a serious defence of their Premier League crown. Read on to see their outright odds for the 2025-26 Premier League<\/a> season, from title chances to top-four hopes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Liverpool odds to win the 2025-26 Premier League: Outright odds and prediction<\/h1>\n\n\n\n

Liverpool are the defending Premier League champions. However, their attempt to defend their title has not gone to plan. The Reds finished 10 points clear of second-place Arsenal<\/a> to secure a record-equalling 20th English top-flight title last season. It could have been a larger gap too, but Liverpool eased off after the title had been secured — going winless in their final four matches. That poor end has carried on into the new season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Slot’s side are now at 150\/1 to win a 21st title, with an implied probability of 1%. They now sit sixth in the table, 15 points adrift of leaders and favourites Arsenal, with 12 games to go. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Team<\/th>BetMGM odds<\/th>Implied probability<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Arsenal<\/td>7\/20<\/a><\/td>74.1%<\/td><\/tr>
Man City<\/td>2\/1<\/a><\/td>33.3%<\/td><\/tr>
Aston Villa<\/td>80\/1<\/a><\/td>1.2%<\/td><\/tr>
Man Utd<\/td>80\/1<\/a><\/td>1.2%<\/td><\/tr>
Liverpool<\/td>150\/1<\/a><\/td>1%<\/td><\/tr>
Chelsea<\/td>500\/1<\/a><\/td>1%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n
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Liverpool odds to finish in the 2025-26 Premier League top four: Outright odds and predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Liverpool have finished outside the top four in just one of their past nine campaigns, missing out in 2022-23. Then, they finished fifth, four points behind fourth-placed Newcastle United.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The last time Liverpool went into a season as defending champions was in 2020-21, and the Reds finished third. But they were hampered by injuries at the time, including a season-ending one for Virgil van Dijk early on. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Slot’s side sit sixth, three points behind fourth-place Man Utd, at the time of writing, with 11\/10 odds of overtaking the Red Devils and Chelsea — that’s a probability of 47.6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Team<\/th>BetMGM odds<\/th>Implied probability<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Aston Villa<\/td>21\/50<\/a><\/td>70.4%<\/td><\/tr>
Man Utd<\/td>4\/5<\/a><\/td>55.6%<\/td><\/tr>
Liverpool<\/td>11\/10<\/a><\/td>47.6%<\/td><\/tr>
Chelsea<\/td>27\/20<\/a><\/td>42.6%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n
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    Liverpool odds to finish in the 2025-26 Premier League top six: Outright odds and predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    You have to go back to the 2015\/16 campaign for the last time Liverpool finished outside the top six, when they came eighth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The Reds occupy sixth right now and are two points ahead of Brentford, while the likes of Everton, Bournemouth, Newcastle United and Sunderland cannot be ruled out. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Liverpool’s 1\/10 odds imply a probability of 90.9%, which reflects how hard it’ll be for any of those sides to catch them. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Team<\/th>BetMGM odds<\/th>Implied probability<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
    Aston Villa<\/td>1\/40<\/a><\/td>97.6%<\/td><\/tr>
    Man Utd<\/td>1\/10<\/a><\/td>90.9%<\/td><\/tr>
    Liverpool<\/td>1\/10<\/a><\/td>90.9%<\/td><\/tr>
    Chelsea<\/td>2\/13<\/a><\/td>86.7%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Liverpool ins and outs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Liverpool had a very busy summer, completing the British-record transfer of Alexander Isak from Newcastle. The Reds also spent big on the likes of Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike, Milos Kerkez and Jeremie Frimpong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    They recouped plenty of funds, however, selling Luis Diaz, Darwin Nunez and Jarell Quansah to Bayern Munich, Al-Hilal and Bayer Leverkusen, respectively. Ben Doak, Caoimhin Kelleher and Tyler Morton also fetched handsome fees, but Liverpool will feel they dropped the ball on Trent Alexander-Arnold’s move to Real Madrid. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    It was a completely silent January window at Anfield, with no players coming in or out. <\/p>\n\n\n

    Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n