{"id":1487044,"date":"2026-09-08T10:12:50","date_gmt":"2026-09-08T09:12:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/"},"modified":"2026-09-08T11:15:14","modified_gmt":"2026-09-08T10:15:14","slug":"falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1","status":"publish","type":"nfl-news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Falcons vs Steelers Prediction &#038; Tips"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our <strong>Falcons vs Steelers prediction<\/strong> favours Pittsburgh, kicking off at 6pm BST on the opening Sunday of the <a href=\"\/en\/nfl\/\">2026 NFL season<\/a>. Squawka Signal&#8217;s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh won the AFC North at 10-7 and Atlanta missed out at 8-9. The underlying numbers sit closer: the Falcons recorded 57 sacks, more than any side in this round, and conceded only 26.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_SIGNAL -->\n\n\n\n<style>\n\/* Squawka NFL picks card - palette matched to the injected sq-nsig Signal units *\/\n.sqp{--cy:#2FE6C9;--val:#38D97A;--ovr:#FF6A5A;--fair:#FFC24B;--tx:#e8f0f7;--mut:rgba(232,240,247,.60);--line:rgba(255,255,255,.10);--gold:#FFC24B;position:relative;overflow:hidden;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;color:var(--tx);max-width:960px;margin:14px auto 26px;border-radius:14px;background:linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 62%,#04121f 100%);box-shadow:0 14px 36px rgba(4,18,31,.34)}\n.sqp *{box-sizing:border-box}\n.sqp__wrap{padding:22px 26px 20px}\n.sqp__kick{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;font-size:11px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy)}\n.sqp__kick::before{content:'';width:7px;height:7px;border-radius:50%;background:var(--cy);box-shadow:0 0 9px 1px var(--cy)}\n.sqp__ttl{font-size:24px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.3px;line-height:1.14;margin:12px 0 0;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__sub{margin:7px 0 0;font-size:14.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut);max-width:70ch}\n.sqp__crests{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:10px;margin-top:14px}\n.sqp__crests img{width:28px;height:28px;display:block}\n.sqp__at{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:var(--mut);letter-spacing:.1em}\n.sqp__h3{margin:20px 0 0;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy)}\n.sqp__list{margin-top:12px;border-top:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sqp__row{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 126px;gap:14px;align-items:center;padding:14px 2px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sqp__mkt{display:block;font-size:10px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.13em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy);margin-bottom:4px}\n.sqp__pk{font-size:15.5px;font-weight:800;line-height:1.25;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__top{display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle;margin-left:8px;font-size:9.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;color:#3a2c00;background:var(--gold);padding:3px 7px;border-radius:5px}\n.sqp__why{display:block;margin-top:5px;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut)}\n.sqp__pr{text-align:center}\n.sqp__val{display:block;font-size:23px;font-weight:800;color:var(--cy);line-height:1;text-decoration:none}\na.sqp__val:hover{text-decoration:underline}\n.sqp__stars{display:block;font-size:15px;line-height:1;letter-spacing:1px;color:var(--gold)}\n.sqp__stars .d{opacity:.24}\n.sqp__lab{display:block;font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--mut);margin-top:4px}\n.sqp__verd{display:inline-block;margin-top:6px;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;padding:2px 7px;border-radius:5px}\n.sqp__verd--val{color:var(--val);background:rgba(56,217,122,.12)}\n.sqp__verd--ovr{color:var(--ovr);background:rgba(255,106,90,.12)}\n.sqp__verd--fair{color:var(--fair);background:rgba(255,194,75,.12)}\n.sqp__approach{margin:14px 0 0;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.55;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__foot{margin:16px 0 0;padding-top:13px;border-top:1px solid var(--line);font-size:11.5px;line-height:1.55;color:rgba(232,240,247,.5)}\n.sqp__foot a{color:var(--cy);font-weight:700;text-decoration:none;border-bottom:1px solid rgba(47,230,201,.35)}\n@media(max-width:640px){\n.sqp__wrap{padding:18px 15px 16px}\n.sqp__ttl{font-size:20px}\n.sqp__row{grid-template-columns:1fr 100px;gap:10px}\n.sqp__val{font-size:20px}\n}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sqp\" id=\"sqp-atlpit\">\n<div class=\"sqp__wrap\">\n<span class=\"sqp__kick\">Week 1 &middot; Editorial pick<\/span>\n<h2 class=\"sqp__ttl\">Falcons vs Steelers: our editor&#8217;s prop<\/h2>\n<p class=\"sqp__sub\">One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.<\/p>\n<div class=\"sqp__crests\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Falcons\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<span class=\"sqp__at\">AT<\/span>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/PIT.png\" alt=\"Steelers\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<\/div>\n<h3 class=\"sqp__h3\">Our prop<\/h3>\n<div class=\"sqp__list\">\n<div class=\"sqp__row\" data-market=\"Player prop\" data-selection=\"Aaron Rodgers sacked two or more times\" data-read=\"\">\n<div><span class=\"sqp__mkt\">Player prop<\/span><span class=\"sqp__pk\">Aaron Rodgers sacked two or more times<\/span><span class=\"sqp__why\">Atlanta recorded 57 sacks in 2025, the highest total in this round. Pittsburgh&#8217;s line allowed 31 across the same season.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sqp__pr\"><span class=\"sqp__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 4 of 5\">&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;<span class=\"d\">&#9733;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sqp__lab\">confidence<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"sqp__foot\">An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falcons vs Steelers: 2025 season form<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh finished 10-7 at plus 10. Atlanta went 8-9 at minus 48. Notably, though, the Falcons closed on a four-game winning run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>2025 regular season<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Falcons<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Steelers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Record<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8-9<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10-7<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Points for<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">353<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">397<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Points against<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">401<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">387<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Point differential<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-48<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+10<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sacks recorded<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">57<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">48<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sacks allowed<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Interceptions made<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Third-down offence<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">33.3%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">40.0%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Red-zone offence<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">62.0%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">58.8%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Red zone allowed<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">54.9%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">50.9%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Opponent passer rating<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">88.4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">92.2<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The sack rows tell it. Atlanta recorded 57 and allowed 26, both the better marks, while Pittsburgh managed 48 and conceded 31 with a weaker 92.2 opponent passer rating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falcons vs Steelers injury report and team news<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags land. Notably, for now, the quarterback picture is settled on one side only.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Falcons have not confirmed a starter. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster. Bijan Robinson leads the backfield regardless, moreover, with Drake London the primary target.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Aaron Rodgers starts for Pittsburgh. DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr. lead a rebuilt receiving group, meanwhile, and Rico Dowdle joins Jaylen Warren in the backfield.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJURIES -->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The matchup that settles it: Atlanta&#8217;s pass rush against Pittsburgh&#8217;s protection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atlanta recorded 57 sacks in 2025, ahead of every other side in this round, with James Pearce Jr. claiming 10 and Brandon Dorlus eight. Consequently the pressure tilts one way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh allowed 31, respectable rather than secure. However, Rodgers threw for 3,322 yards at a 93.8 rating, so the offence functions when the pocket holds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Players to watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB):<\/strong> 1,478 rushing yards, indeed fourth in the league.<\/li>\n<li><strong>James Pearce Jr. (ATL, DE):<\/strong> 10 sacks, notably for the round&#8217;s most productive pass rush.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aaron Rodgers (PIT, QB):<\/strong> 3,322 yards at a 93.8 rating, the better passer rating here.<\/li>\n<li><strong>DK Metcalf (PIT, WR):<\/strong> Now leads the Pittsburgh receivers alongside Michael Pittman Jr.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to watch Falcons vs Steelers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, which is <strong>6pm BST<\/strong> in the UK. That makes it one of the friendliest windows of the week for British viewers, indeed, landing in the early evening rather than the small hours. Sky Sports has the coverage, and NFL Game Pass on <a href=\"https:\/\/tidd.ly\/3SxpKbx\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">DAZN<\/a> carries every game. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Detail<\/th><th>Falcons vs Steelers<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td>Sunday, September 13, 2026<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Kickoff<\/strong><\/td><td>6:00pm BST \/ 1:00 PM ET, Sunday 13 Sep<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Venue<\/strong><\/td><td>Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>TV<\/strong><\/td><td>Sky Sports<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Live stream<\/strong><\/td><td>NFL Game Pass (DAZN)<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Week<\/strong><\/td><td>Week 1, 2026 NFL season<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falcons vs Steelers prediction and score projection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our <strong>Falcons vs Steelers prediction<\/strong> is a narrow Pittsburgh win. Home field and a settled quarterback carry it, although not by much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atlanta&#8217;s pass rush is the best unit on the field, and 57 sacks against a line allowing 31 decides close games. Nevertheless the Falcons still have to name a quarterback. So we will take the Steelers, 24-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Every fixture in the round is covered across our <a href=\"\/en\/nfl\/\">NFL UK hub<\/a>, and the 32 club pages sit on the <a href=\"\/en\/nfl\/teams\/\">NFL teams hub<\/a>. Kickoff times are confirmed on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfl.com\/schedules\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NFL.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falcons vs Steelers FAQ<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\"><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-1\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who is favourite to win, the Falcons or the Steelers?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Pittsburgh, narrowly. The Steelers finished 10-7 and won the AFC North, whereas Atlanta went 8-9. Ultimately the live win probability sits in the Signal block on this page.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-2\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What time is Falcons vs Steelers in the UK?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Notably 6pm BST on Sunday 13 September, which is 1:00 PM ET.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-3\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">How can I watch Falcons vs Steelers in the UK?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Sky Sports has the coverage and NFL Game Pass on DAZN carries every game. Moreover kickoff is Notably 6pm BST on Sunday 13 September, which is 1:00 PM ET.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-4\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who starts at quarterback for Atlanta?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Atlanta had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-5\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What is the score prediction for Falcons vs Steelers?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Steelers 24-20. The Steelers have home field and a settled quarterback; Atlanta&#8217;s 57 sacks, however, were the most in this round.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>18+ | Please gamble responsibly | BeGambleAware.org | Signal probabilities approximate at time of writing and subject to change<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction favours Pittsburgh, kicking off at 6pm BST on the opening Sunday of the 2026 NFL season. Squawka Signal&#8217;s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below. Pittsburgh won the AFC North at 10-7 and Atlanta missed out at 8-9. The underlying numbers&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":1487043,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"falcons vs steelers prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Falcons vs Steelers Prediction & Tips | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction, tips and odds for Week 1 in Pittsburgh. Atlanta brought the round's best pass rush. 6pm BST. 18+.","footnotes":""},"tags":[27536,26951,27542],"class_list":["post-1487044","nfl-news","type-nfl-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-atlanta-falcons","tag-nfl","tag-pittsburgh-steelers"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Falcons vs Steelers Prediction &amp; Tips | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction, tips and odds for Week 1 in Pittsburgh. 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Atlanta brought the round's best pass rush. 6pm BST. 18+.","yoast_keyword":"falcons vs steelers prediction","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nfl-news\/1487044","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nfl-news"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/nfl-news"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/394"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nfl-news\/1487044\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1487106,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/nfl-news\/1487044\/revisions\/1487106"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1487043"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1487044"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1487044"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}