{"id":1450383,"date":"2026-05-21T10:24:57","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T09:24:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1450383"},"modified":"2026-05-21T10:25:00","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T09:25:00","slug":"match-preview-alaves-vs-rayo-vallecano-23-05-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-alaves-vs-rayo-vallecano-23-05-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, stats, tips &amp; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/rayo-vallecano\/\">Rayo Vallecano<\/a> head to Mendizorrotza on the final weekend of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/la-liga-predictions-25-26\/\">La Liga<\/a> season with a strong head-to-head record against <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/alaves\/\">Alaves<\/a> and a reputation for defensive discipline, but both sides have struggled to convert chances into goals this year. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kick-off is at 8pm (UK time) this Saturday, as Alaves look to end their home campaign on a high, while Rayo aim to cement a top-half finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on the trends of low conversion rates, Rayo\u2019s superior defensive record, and the head-to-head history, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Rayo avoiding defeat due to their consistent results in this fixture and their strong defensive output across the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Rayo Vallecano Double Chance (Win or Draw)<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/media.betfair.com\/redirect.aspx?pid=17720938&amp;lpid=159&amp;bid=1615\">4\/6 @ Betfair<\/a><br>(60.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo have beaten Alaves in 6 of their last 9 meetings and boast 12 clean sheets this season. The visitors also have a better passing and possession record, and their defence has stood up well in tight games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both sides average just over a goal per game, and Rayo&#8217;s defensive style has led to 12 clean sheets. 7 of their last 9 meetings have finished with two or fewer goals.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2><strong>Bet \u00a310 &amp; Get \u00a330 in Free Bets with Bet365<\/strong><\/h2>\r\n<p>Not signed up to bet365 yet? Here's how to claim one of the best bookmaker welcome offers around...\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><strong>Open an account (<a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here's a link<\/a>)<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Make a qualifying deposit of between \u00a35* and \u00a310*<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Claim the offer to receive three times your deposit in 'Free Bets'.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>To release your 'Free Bets', place qualifying bets to the value of your qualifying deposit and allow those bets to settle.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Your 'Free Bets' will become available shortly after your qualifying bets have settled<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>To use your 'Free Bets', select 'Use bet credits' in the bet slip.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1422493 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-1024x446.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"446\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-1024x446.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-300x131.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-768x335.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-400x174.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-459x200.png 459w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-138x60.png 138w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-150x65.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141-40x17.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2022\/04\/06113042\/image-141.png 1537w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p><em>Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&amp;Cs apply.<\/em><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rayo Vallecano have steadily climbed to 8th in the table, while Alaves have ensured safety but sit 14th, with defensive frailty undermining their campaign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">39<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">43<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">47<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Deportivo Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">43<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">54<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">43<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rayo&#8217;s steady improvement (3 places up since last month) and Alaves\u2019 safe but unremarkable return sum up the season for both sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Antonio Martinez Lopez (Alaves):<\/strong> 13 goals this season, leads the line for the hosts and is involved in most of their best chances.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Lucas Boye (Alaves):<\/strong> Double-figure goals (11), though his shot accuracy is just 26%. He creates frequent big chances but may need several opportunities to score.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Jorge de Frutos (Rayo):<\/strong> 10 goals, a shot accuracy of 46%, and 30 big chance assists highlight his ability to both finish and create. Most likely to test Alaves&#8217; vulnerable defence.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Alvaro Garcia (Rayo):<\/strong> 5 assists and a team-high 39 big chance assists, but only 4 goals. His creativity could be crucial if this turns into a tactical battle.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rayo Vallecano have won four of the last six meetings between the sides, with Alaves struggling to find the net in most of those encounters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/10\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Divisi\u00f3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29\/03\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 0-2 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Divisi\u00f3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/10\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Divisi\u00f3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10\/03\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Divisi\u00f3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/09\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Alaves<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Divisi\u00f3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16\/04\/22<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Primera Divisi\u00f3n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Will Rayo&#8217;s Defensive Edge Prove Decisive?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">With Rayo\u2019s clean sheet record and their historical control of this fixture, the onus is on Alaves to find attacking sharpness they\u2019ve often lacked. Will the home side turn the tide, or will Rayo\u2019s organisation and midfield class see them take something from Mendizorrotza yet again? Our tip: take the safety of <a href=\"https:\/\/media.betfair.com\/redirect.aspx?pid=17720938&amp;lpid=159&amp;bid=1615\">Rayo Vallecano double chance at 4\/6 (60.0%) with Betfair<\/a> if you\u2019re looking for a solid-value play.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/lafc-vs-real-salt-lake-predictions-betting-tips\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">LAFC vs Real Salt Lake: predictions, best bets and latest odds<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">8 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rayo Vallecano head to Mendizorrotza on the final weekend of the season with a strong head-to-head record against Deportivo Alaves and a reputation fo&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1450498,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano, predictions, stats, betting tips, odds, head-to-head, team form, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the La Liga match between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano on Saturday 23rd May.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1450383","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Alaves vs Rayo 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