{"id":1448718,"date":"2026-05-13T12:00:35","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T11:00:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1448718"},"modified":"2026-05-13T12:00:36","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T11:00:36","slug":"match-preview-roma-vs-lazio-18-05-26-serie-a","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-roma-vs-lazio-18-05-26-serie-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Roma vs Lazio: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The Rome derby returns to Stadio Olimpico with Roma<\/a> chasing a top-four Serie A<\/a> finish and Lazio<\/a> eager to close the gap on their city rivals. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kick-off is set for 7:45pm (UK time) on Sunday, promising a fierce contest shaped by Roma’s attacking edge and Lazio’s need for discipline. With both sides having something to prove, this edition of the Derby della Capitale could have major implications for their Serie A campaigns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on Roma’s superior attacking numbers, defensive organisation, and Lazio’s recent disciplinary struggles, here are our top betting recommendations for the derby. We’re particularly confident in Roma to win, given their stronger form and statistical dominance in key areas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Roma to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n8\/15 @ Bet365<\/a>
(65.2%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nRoma have scored 55 goals and conceded just 31 this season, with 16 clean sheets\u2014both better than Lazio. They’ve also taken 21 wins from 36, while Lazio have won just 13. The Giallorossi\u2019s attacking output and defensive solidity give them a clear edge at home.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Donyell Malen Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n21\/20 @ Bet365<\/a>
(48.8%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nMalen leads Roma with 13 league goals and is involved in over 20% of their strikes. Lazio\u2019s defence has shipped 37 and looks vulnerable, especially given their high card count. Malen\u2019s shot accuracy (45.2%) suggests he\u2019ll test the keeper again.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Roma are pushing for Champions League football, sitting five places above Lazio and boasting a +24 goal difference. Lazio\u2019s form has been patchier, especially in the final third.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Roma<\/td>\n5<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n4<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n31<\/td>\n+24<\/td>\n67<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Lazio<\/td>\n9<\/td>\n36<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n12<\/td>\n11<\/td>\n39<\/td>\n37<\/td>\n+2<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n