{"id":1448708,"date":"2026-05-13T11:07:33","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T10:07:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1448708"},"modified":"2026-05-13T11:07:34","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T10:07:34","slug":"match-preview-st-pauli-vs-wolfsburg-16-05-26-bundesliga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-st-pauli-vs-wolfsburg-16-05-26-bundesliga\/","title":{"rendered":"St Pauli vs Wolfsburg: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

St Pauli<\/a> and Wolfsburg <\/a>go head-to-head in a high-stakes Bundesliga <\/a>relegation battle at the Millerntor-Stadion. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Both sides are locked on 26 points and both sides have already had their place in the bottom three confirmed. Wolfsburg have the edge historically and in attack, but St Pauli’s shot efficiency and home support could prove decisive. Kick-off is at 2:30pm (UK time) on Saturday 16 May.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on season-long attacking and defensive trends, here are our top betting recommendations for this pivotal match. We’re especially confident in Wolfsburg’s resilience, but also see value in a cagey contest given the recent head-to-head history and both teams’ struggles in front of goal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Wolfsburg to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n13\/10 @ Betfair<\/a>
(43.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWolfsburg have scored 50% more goals than St Pauli this season and created 66 big chances (vs 43), highlighting a more potent attack. They also won the reverse fixture and have never lost to St Pauli in the last three meetings.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n6\/5 @ Betfair<\/a>
(45.5%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nFour of the last six combined matches between these sides have featured two or fewer goals. Both teams have struggled to convert their chances \u2013 St Pauli with 40 big chances missed, Wolfsburg with 54 \u2013 and each has defensive frailties, but recent head-to-heads have been tight.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

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Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Both teams are in desperate need of points, sitting 16th and 18th respectively with identical records (6 wins, 8 draws, 19 defeats from 33 matches). Wolfsburg\u2019s superior goal difference (-26 vs -29) and attacking stats edge them just ahead, but both sides enter this fixture on the back of poor form and leaky defences.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Wolfsburg<\/td>\n16<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n42<\/td>\n68<\/td>\n-26<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
St Pauli<\/td>\n18<\/td>\n33<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n28<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n-29<\/td>\n26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n