{"id":1448654,"date":"2026-05-13T12:26:28","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T11:26:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1448654"},"modified":"2026-05-13T12:26:29","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T11:26:29","slug":"match-preview-genoa-vs-milan-17-05-26-serie-a","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-genoa-vs-milan-17-05-26-serie-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Genoa vs Milan: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/milan\/\">Milan<\/a> make the trip to Stadio Luigi Ferraris for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/serie-a\/\">Serie A<\/a> encounter with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/genoa\/\">Genoa<\/a>, looking to extend their impressive head-to-head record and cement their Champions League credentials. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kick-off is set for 11:30am (UK time) on Sunday, with Genoa aiming to upset the odds against a side that has consistently had their number in recent meetings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Based on Milan\u2019s superior attacking and defensive metrics, as well as a dominant head-to-head record, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Milan to win, given their recent record against Genoa and their statistical superiority across the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Milan to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\">8\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(57.9%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan have won 10 of the last 17 clashes with Genoa and boast a +18 goal difference this season. Their 15 clean sheets and superior ball control (52% average possession) point to a side that dominates both ends of the pitch.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\">10\/11 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(52.4%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Both teams are disciplined at the back (Milan: 15 clean sheets, Genoa: 9), and only one of the last five head-to-heads has seen more than two goals. Expect a controlled, tactical affair.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Odds correct at the time of writing.<\/p>\n\n\n<h2 class=\"article-page__title\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/tote-sign-up-offer\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tote<\/a> sign-up offer: Bet \u00a310, get \u00a330 in free bets<\/h2>\r\n<p><strong>Not signed up to Tote yet? 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Eligibility restrictions apply. Bet min of \u00a3\/\u20ac10 at odds of 1\/1 (2.0) or greater across sports or racing (if EW then min \u00a3\/\u20ac10 Win + \u00a3\/\u20ac10 Place) within 7 days of registration. Receive \u00a3\/\u20ac20 Tote Credit and \u00a3\/\u20ac10 Free Sports Bet. Qualifying bet is the first racing pool or sports bet added to the bet slip. 7-day expiry. Full T&amp;Cs apply. Gambleaware.org.<\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standings\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"h-season-form-amp-standingsmilan-have-consistently-challenged-at-the-top-while-genoa-have-struggled-for-form-and-sit-in-the-bottom-half-here-s-how-both-sides-stand-after-36-matches\">Milan have consistently challenged at the top, while Genoa have struggled for form and sit in the bottom half. Here\u2019s how both sides stand after 36 matches:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">32<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">67<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Genoa<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">40<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">48<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-8<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">41<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Rafael Le\u00e3o (Milan)<\/strong>: Key attacking threat, with a proven record as first goalscorer and a high involvement in Milan\u2019s goal output. Likely to see plenty of the ball in advanced areas.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Niclas F\u00fcllkrug (Milan)<\/strong>: Brings aerial dominance and is a constant target for crosses, offering a different dimension if Milan look to break down Genoa\u2019s defence.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Junior Messias (Genoa)<\/strong>: Genoa\u2019s main creative spark, capable of producing something out of nothing even against stronger opposition.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Caleb Ekuban (Genoa)<\/strong>: Brings mobility and can stretch Milan\u2019s back line, though will rely on limited chances.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-5-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 5 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Genoa haven&#8217;t won any of the last five meetings against Milan but have taken three draws in this period. Matches tend to be quite tight and, the 3-3 draw in 2024 aside, fairly low scoring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">08\/01\/26<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan 1-1 Genoa<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/05\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Genoa 1-2 Milan<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/12\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan 0-0 Genoa<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">05\/05\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Milan 3-3 Genoa<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">07\/10\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Genoa 0-1 Milan<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Serie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Will Milan&#8217;s Class Prevail?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Milan arrive as the clear favourites, powered by a disciplined defence and more creative options in attack. Genoa\u2019s best hope may be to frustrate and look for moments on the counter, but Milan\u2019s recent record and statistical edge make them hard to oppose. Our top tip is Milan to win at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\">8\/11 @ Bet365<\/a> (57.9%), which looks a solid option for those seeking value from the weekend\u2019s Serie A action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/lafc-vs-real-salt-lake-predictions-betting-tips\/\" class=\"sq-card__title\">\n                                    <h2 class=\"sq-card__title-text\">LAFC vs Real Salt Lake: predictions, best bets and latest odds<\/h2>\n                                <\/a>\n                            <\/div>\n                            <div class=\"sq-card__excerpt\">\n                                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/author\/andrewfrancis\/\"\n                                   class=\"sq-card__link\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tBy Andy Francis                                <\/a>\n                                <time class=\"sq-card__label\">10 hours ago<\/time>\n                            <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n                    <\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Milan make the trip to Stadio Luigi Ferraris for a Serie A encounter with Genoa, looking to extend their impressive head-to-head record and cement the&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1448749,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Genoa vs Milan, Serie A predictions, betting tips, best odds, Genoa Milan stats, betting offers","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Genoa vs Milan: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the Serie A match between Genoa and Milan on Sunday 17th May.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1448654","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Genoa vs Milan: predictions, stats, tips &amp; 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