{"id":1446657,"date":"2026-05-06T13:01:58","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T12:01:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&#038;p=1446657"},"modified":"2026-05-06T13:01:59","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T12:01:59","slug":"match-preview-rayo-vallecano-vs-girona-11-05-26-la-liga","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-rayo-vallecano-vs-girona-11-05-26-la-liga\/","title":{"rendered":"Rayo Vallecano vs Girona: predictions, stats, tips &#038; odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/rayo-vallecano\/\">Rayo Vallecano<\/a> welcome <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/stats\/clubs\/girona\/\">Girona<\/a> for a crucial late-season clash, with both sides aiming to finish as strongly as possible after inconsistent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/la-liga-predictions-25-26\/\">La Liga<\/a> campaigns. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rayo dominated the reverse fixture earlier this season and have a slight head-to-head momentum, but Girona&#8217;s attacking efficiency and defensive vulnerabilities create a fascinating betting landscape. Kick-off is set for 8pm on Monday at Estadio de Vallecas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-best-bets-amp-predictions\">Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on recent trends and underlying stats, here are our top betting recommendations for Rayo Vallecano v Girona. We&#8217;re particularly confident in Rayo Vallecano to win, given their home edge and Girona&#8217;s defensive frailties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Bookmaker<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Rayo Vallecano to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\">13\/10 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(43.5%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo have lost just one of their last four against Girona, including a convincing 3-1 away win earlier this season. Girona have conceded 51 goals so far, the worst of any mid-table side, and Rayo&#8217;s xG figures suggest they&#8217;re due more goals than they&#8217;ve scored.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Both Teams To Score \u2013 Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\">4\/6 @ Bet365<\/a><br>(60.0%)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona average over a goal per game and are more efficient shooters than Rayo, but their leaky back line means both teams have scored in five of the last six H2Hs. Rayo&#8217;s attacking stats suggest they should get on the scoresheet at home.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<hr \/>\r\n<h2 class=\"article-page__title\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/betmgm-sportsbook?q=gb-all-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">BetMGM<\/a> sign-up offer: Get \u00a340 in bonuses when you bet \u00a310<\/h2>\r\n<p><strong>Not signed up to BetMGM yet? 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Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. Full T&amp;Cs apply. 18+\u00a0<a class=\"c-link\" href=\"http:\/\/gambleaware.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-stringify-link=\"http:\/\/GambleAware.org\" data-sk=\"tooltip_parent\">GambleAware.org<\/a><\/p>\r\n<hr \/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Both sides have been inconsistent but Rayo Vallecano&#8217;s defensive record and positive xG suggest a slightly stronger foundation than Girona, who have struggled to keep clean sheets. Here\u2019s how the teams stand heading into this fixture:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">P<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">34<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">12<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">35<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">41<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">42<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">34<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">51<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-15<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">38<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Sergio Camello (Rayo Vallecano):<\/strong> The attacker has led Rayo\u2019s line with energy and movement, and benefits from a side averaging 14 shots per game. Look for him to be involved in most dangerous situations.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u00c1lvaro Garc\u00eda (Rayo Vallecano):<\/strong> A key source of assists and width, Garcia\u2019s pace and delivery could be crucial against Girona\u2019s vulnerable full-backs.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Cristhian Stuani (Girona):<\/strong> Girona\u2019s most experienced finisher, with a knack for converting limited chances and a 45% shot accuracy that\u2019s among the best for the visitors.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Viktor Tsygankov (Girona):<\/strong> The creative spark, Tsygankov\u2019s dribbling and passing in the final third will be vital if Girona are to break through Rayo\u2019s back line.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/SquawkaBet\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"114\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1415389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1024x114.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-300x33.jpg 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-768x86.jpg 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-1536x171.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-400x45.jpg 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-600x67.jpg 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-538x60.jpg 538w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-150x17.jpg 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1-40x4.jpg 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/2025\/11\/28163831\/Group-14764-1.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-head-to-head-last-6-meetings\">Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Girona have won four of the last nine encounters, but Rayo Vallecano have taken the last two, including a decisive 3-1 away victory this season. The fixture often produces goals, with both teams scoring in five of the previous six contests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th class=\"\" data-align=\"center\">Date<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Score<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15\/08\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona 1-3 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/01\/25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Girona<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25\/09\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona 0-0 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26\/02\/24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Girona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11\/11\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Girona<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18\/03\/23<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Rayo Vallecano 2-2 Girona<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">La Liga<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Conclusion: Will Rayo Vallecano Take Advantage of Girona&#8217;s Defensive Struggles?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>With Girona conceding more than 1.5 goals per game and Rayo Vallecano\u2019s performance data suggesting they\u2019re due more attacking output, the hosts look a solid pick for the three points. Both teams have enough attacking quality to find the net, so combining Rayo Vallecano to win <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bet365.com\/olp\/open-account?affiliate=365_03841577\">13\/10 @ Bet365<\/a> (43.5%) with both teams to score could be the way to play. Can Rayo make their xG count at home, or will Girona\u2019s clinical attackers spring another surprise?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n<h3><strong>Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/\"><strong>Latest football news<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football betting tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best betting sites<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/betting-sites\/best-free-bet-offers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Best free bet offers<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/bet\/football-tips\/accumulator\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Football accumulator tips<\/strong><\/a><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-top-stories\">\n        <h2 class=\"sq-heading-line\">Squawka Suggests<\/h2>\n        <div 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<\/article>\n\t\t\t\t        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rayo Vallecano welcome Girona for a crucial late-season clash, with both sides aiming to finish as strongly as possible after inconsistent campaigns&#8230;.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":427,"featured_media":1446656,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"Rayo Vallecano vs Girona, La Liga, betting offers, match tips, football predictions, odds, head-to-head","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Rayo Vallecano vs Girona: predictions, stats, tips & odds","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Get the Squawka Bet predictions, stats and betting tips ahead of the La Liga match between Rayo Vallecano and Girona on Monday 11 May.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-1446657","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- 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