{"id":1446644,"date":"2026-05-06T11:23:18","date_gmt":"2026-05-06T10:23:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/?post_type=news&p=1446644"},"modified":"2026-05-06T11:23:19","modified_gmt":"2026-05-06T10:23:19","slug":"match-preview-milan-vs-atalanta-10-05-26-serie-a","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/news\/match-preview-milan-vs-atalanta-10-05-26-serie-a\/","title":{"rendered":"Milan vs Atalanta: predictions, stats, tips & odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Two of Serie A<\/a>\u2019s most consistent sides lock horns at San Siro this weekend as Milan<\/a> host Atalanta<\/a> in a clash that could have major implications for European qualification. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

With just a point separating them in their last meeting and both sides boasting similar attacking numbers, the stage is set for a tense tactical battle. Kick-off is at 19:45 on Sunday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Based on the season\u2019s underlying numbers and recent encounters, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Milan\u2019s defensive discipline tipping the balance, but expect both attacks to play their part.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Bookmaker<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Milan to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n11\/10 @ Bet365<\/a>
(47.6%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nWe are backing Milan to win as they have lost just one of the last six home meetings with Atalanta and boast the tighter defence this season (29 conceded vs 32), as well as more clean sheets. Their conversion of big chances has also been stronger than Atalanta’s.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n8\/13 @ Bet365<\/a>
(61.9%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nThere could be value here due to both teams averaging over 1.3 goals per game this season and the last three meetings all seeing both teams score. Both sides create and miss plenty of big chances, suggesting an open encounter in attack.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

\r\n

BetMGM<\/a> sign-up offer: Get \u00a340 in bonuses when you bet \u00a310<\/h2>\r\n

Not signed up to BetMGM yet? Here's how eligible readers* can take advantage of their welcome offer:<\/strong><\/p>\r\n

    \r\n
  1. Open an account at BetMGM using\u00a0this link<\/strong><\/a>.<\/li>\r\n
  2. Select the Sports Welcome Offer.<\/li>\r\n
  3. Get the offer from the \u2018My Offers\u2019 page.<\/li>\r\n
  4. Deposit and place a \u00a310 bet at odds of 1\/1 (2.0) or greater.<\/li>\r\n
  5. When it settles, unlock \u00a340 in bonuses<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n

    \"\"<\/a><\/p>\r\n

    New customers only. 7 days to place qualifying bet of \u00a310 at 1\/1 (2.0) to receive 4 x \u00a310 Free Bets. 7 day expiry. Exclusions apply. Stake not returned. 18+. Full T&Cs apply. 18+\u00a0GambleAware.org<\/a><\/p>\r\n

    \n\n\n\n

    Season Form & Standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Milan have been more consistent, currently sitting 3rd with 67 points after 35 games, while Atalanta are 7th with 55 points. Milan\u2019s superior defensive record (29 goals conceded, 15 clean sheets) stands out, complemented by a slightly higher win rate (54%). Atalanta, meanwhile, have been harder to beat lately but lack the same defensive solidity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    Milan<\/td>\n3<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n19<\/td>\n10<\/td>\n6<\/td>\n48<\/td>\n29<\/td>\n+19<\/td>\n67<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    Atalanta<\/td>\n7<\/td>\n35<\/td>\n14<\/td>\n13<\/td>\n8<\/td>\n47<\/td>\n32<\/td>\n+15<\/td>\n55<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

    Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Unlike some of their rivals, neither Milan nor Atalanta rely on a single talisman. Milan\u2019s Rafael Le\u00e3o<\/strong> and Christopher Nkunku<\/strong> offer directness and creativity, with Le\u00e3o averaging over 2.5 key passes and 2.6 shots per 90. Atalanta\u2019s Gianluca Scamacca<\/strong> and Giacomo Raspadori<\/strong> are both capable of making an impact, combining for 18 big chances created between them across the campaign. In midfield, Milan\u2019s passing accuracy (87.5%) is driven by Tomori and Gabbia, while Atalanta\u2019s Kamaldeen Sulemana is a threat with his dribbling and ability to win fouls high up the pitch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Head-to-Head: Last 6 Meetings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Two of the last six meetings have ended all square, with neither side able to establish clear dominance. Home advantage has counted, but margins are fine \u2013 only once in the last six has either side won by more than a single goal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
    Date<\/th>\nScore<\/th>\nCompetition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
    28\/10\/25<\/td>\nMilan 1-1 Atalanta<\/td>\nSerie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    20\/04\/25<\/td>\nMilan 0-1 Atalanta<\/td>\nSerie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    06\/12\/24<\/td>\nMilan 2-1 Atalanta<\/td>\nSerie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    25\/02\/24<\/td>\nMilan 1-1 Atalanta<\/td>\nSerie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    09\/12\/23<\/td>\nMilan 3-2 Atalanta<\/td>\nSerie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
    26\/02\/23<\/td>\nMilan 2-0 Atalanta<\/td>\nSerie A<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Will Milan’s discipline prove decisive?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Milan have shown a knack for edging tight matches this term, particularly when it comes to converting chances and avoiding costly errors at the back. Atalanta\u2019s greater attacking volume may test them, but with home support and a record of just one defeat in the last six head-to-heads at San Siro, the edge could lie with the Rossoneri. Backing Milan to win at 11\/10 @ Bet365<\/a> (47.6% implied) looks a solid option for punters seeking value in a close-fought contest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n

    Read more:<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n